Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Spanish La Liga match.
Girona are having a challenging season, as the Catalans simply lack the squad depth required to compete in the Champions League. Their upcoming away match against Alaves will not be an easy one. Deportivo Alavés only managed to escape the relegation zone at the end of 2024, but the mid-table team consistently entertains neutral fans with their goal-scoring ability.
Deportivo Alavés
The draw against Valencia (2:2) in the last round of December marked Deportivo's fourth consecutive draw, putting them two points ahead of Espanyol in the relegation zone. Among the bottom seven teams, the Blues have scored the most goals (21), but they have also conceded 30 — the second-worst defensive record in La Liga, tied with Espanyol. As a result, in 18 rounds, there have been 11 matches with over 2.5 total goals.
Girona
When it comes to Girona, they often participate in high-scoring encounters as well — they have had five matches with over 2.5 total goals in La Liga. In Round 18, Michel's team defeated Valladolid (3:0), thanks in large part to the attacking runs of full-backs Gutiérrez and Martínez, who contributed a total of three assists. However, the Catalans also frequently struggle defensively, having conceded 25 goals with an xGA of 19.99 (the second-worst goal difference in the league).
Deportivo Alavés vs Girona Prediction
In the last seven years, Alavés and Girona have faced each other eight times — and in every instance, at least 2 goals have been scored. I expect a dominant performance from the Catalans, but the hosts will also create opportunities in attack.