The Matchday 4 encounter of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Girona (Spain) will take place on November 5 at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. PSV vs Girona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 12 (International fixtures, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 49;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 23;
Penalties – 42%.
Probable line-ups for the PSV vs Girona match
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benitez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamengo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Junior – Gus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Girona (4-3-2-1): Paulo Gazzaniga – Miguel Gutierrez, Ladislav Krejci, Juanpe, Alejandro Frances – Ivan Martin, Yangel Herrera, Arnau Martinez – Donny van de Beek, Arnaut Danjuma – Cristhian Stuani.
PSV
The Dutch side has yet to secure a victory in the group stage of the Champions League. The club started with an away defeat to Juventus (1:3), followed by draws at home against Sporting and away at PSG (both 1:1). PSV has not won in this European competition for six consecutive matches (4 draws and 2 losses). After three rounds, Peter Bosz's team has two points and sits in 28th place in the standings.
Midfielders Joey Veerman and Jorrit Hendrix, as well as forward Fode Fofana and defender Adamo Nagalo, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of PSV's last 7 Champions League games.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of the last 9 European cup matches involving the Dutch side.
Girona
The Catalans clinched their first victory not only in the Champions League but also in European competitions in the previous round. The team defeated Slovan Bratislava 2:0 at home. It was also the first time Michel Sanchez's side kept a clean sheet in the UCL, following defeats to PSG (0:1) and Feyenoord (2:3). The win allowed them to climb to 24th place in the table.
Injuries will sideline midfielders Ivan Martin and Yaser Asprilla, defender Alejandro Frances, and forwards Arnaut Danjuma and Portu.
- Girona has only two wins in their last 10 matches in the UCL and La Liga (2 draws and 6 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of the last 9 matches involving the Catalans in these competitions.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Girona's last 6 away matches in the UCL and La Liga.
PSV vs Girona: match prediction
The Spaniards have one more point than their opponents, yet the Dutch are considered the favorites for the upcoming clash. PSV boasts strong Champions League home record, having lost just once in their last 13 matches in normal time (6 wins and 6 draws). Additionally, their impressive start in the Eredivisie, where PSV is comfortably leading and averaging 3.5 goals per match, cannot be overlooked.
On the contrary, Girona is languishing in the bottom half of their league table. The Catalans have seen a decline in scoring, face significant injury issues, and have been forced to rely on younger players. Even in La Liga, the team has struggled on the road, failing to win 5 out of 6 away matches this season. I believe that Girona, having lost almost their entire core team during the off-season, has deprived itself of a chance for a successful performance in the UCL and the championship.
I doubt the Spaniards will be able to earn points in an away match against such an experienced European competitor.
Our prediction is a PSV Victory with odds1.84
