Odds Overview
Benfica are clear favourites: Benfica to win is 1.53, while Aarhus to win is priced at around 4.70 and the draw at 5.00. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is notably preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Benfica Draw No Bet at 1.25 looks significantly more likely than Aarhus Draw No Bet at 3.50.
Why Benfica Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers' prices favour the visitors: Benfica to win is priced at 1.53, while an Aarhus success is available at 4.70.
In the first game, Benfica won 3:1, scoring three times in the first half, and head coach Marco Silva praised his team's high level of performance before the interval.
Aarhus have to play the return leg at Randers Stadion, which is not the team's home ground.
Form and Line-up Aarhus
On 23 August, Aarhus drew 2:2 with Odense in a home league match in which they controlled the initiative and created many chances. However, in their first European match on 20 August, the Danish side lost 1:3 to Benfica, conceding all the goals in the first half. To bring the tie back to life, the hosts need to be more reliable defensively from the opening minutes.
Key numbers:
Aarhus have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 9 of Aarhus' last 10 matches in all competitions.
The 21.5 shots total has been exceeded in 8 of Aarhus' last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up: Mads Hedenstad - Eric Kahl - Muhammede Camara - Jacob Andersen - Gift Links - Frederik Emmery - Markus Solbakken - Magnus Knudsen - Tobias Bech - Sebastian Jorgensen - James Bogere.
The availability of Frederik Tingager and Kevin Yakob has not been confirmed, while Colin Rosler is available for the game.
Form and Line-up Benfica
On 13 August, Benfica drew 1:1 away to Hearts. Their two-goal cushion from the first match against Aarhus allows the Portuguese club to approach the away trip pragmatically and work from a comfortable aggregate score.
Key numbers:
Benfica have scored in all of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Over 3.5 goals has landed in 8 of Benfica's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Benfica have received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away Europa League matches.
Probable line-up: Samuel Soares - Clement Lenglet - Enzo Barrenechea - Alexander Bah - Georgiy Sudakov - Evangelos Pavlidis - Leandro Barreiro - Gianluca Prestianni - Samuel Dahl - Rafa Silva - Tomas Araujo.
Fredrik Aursnes has resumed full training and is ready to play. Joshua Wynder has limited availability, while Jaden Umeh misses the game because of treatment.
Team Chances
Aarhus to win: average odds 4.70, fair odds 5.01 and probability 20%. Draw: 5.00, 5.33 and 18.8% respectively. Benfica to win is the main option: average odds 1.53, fair odds 1.63, probability 61.3%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
AGF Aarhus to win | 4.70 | 5.01 | 20.0% |
Draw | 5.00 | 5.33 | 18.8% |
Benfica to win | 1.53 | 1.63 | 61.3% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.30 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, which points to expectations of a high-scoring match. On the 3.5 line, the balance is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.55 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.30.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.30 | 1.57 |
3.5 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
In the handicap markets, Benfica (-1.5) is available at 2.30, while Aarhus (+1.5) is 1.55. Prices are close on the 1-goal line: Benfica (-1) is 1.85 and Aarhus (+1) is 1.90. On the zero line, Benfica Draw No Bet at 1.25 is notably preferred to Aarhus Draw No Bet at 3.50.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
— | -1.5 | 2.30 |
1.55 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 1.85 |
1.90 | 1 | — |
3.50 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is offered at 1.65 and looks preferable to Both teams to score - No at 2.15, which means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.65 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Prediction
In the double chance market, 1X is 2.40, while 12 is offered at 1.15 and X2 at 1.17. The market rates the hosts avoiding defeat significantly lower.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.40 | 1.15 | 1.17 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Aarhus - 1 goal, Benfica - 2 goals.
Aarhus Team Total
Aarhus: Under 0.5 goals is 2.50 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 1.64 and Over 1 at 2.12. On the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.30, while Over 1.5 is 3.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.50 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
1.64 | 1 | 2.12 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Benfica Team Total
Benfica: Under 0.5 goals is 6.40 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.07. On the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 2.30 and Over 1.5 at 1.55. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.75 and Over 2 is 1.95. On the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.45 and Over 2.5 at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.40 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.30 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
1.75 | 2 | 1.95 |
1.45 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches - 15 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match - 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) - 5.5;
Matches with red cards - 1 of 15;
Matches with penalties - 3 of 15.
