Odds overview
Aarhus are clear favourites at 1.55 to win, while the draw and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win are available at around 4.30 and 6.00 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the handicap market, Aarhus (0) at 1.18 are favoured over Egnatia Rrogozhinë (0) at 4.05.
Why Aarhus are favourites
Bookmakers favour the Danish club: Aarhus are 1.55 to win, the draw is 4.30, and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win is 6.00.
- The hosts play a balanced game: Aarhus and their opponents have combined for no more than two goals in 9 of Aarhus's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- The Albanian club rarely allow opponents to score freely, conceding no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 games.
Form and Line-up Aarhus
In European competition, Aarhus lost 0:1 away to Gent, then drew 1:1 with Copenhagen in the Süper Lig on 18 October.
There were fewer than 10.5 shots on target in 8 of Aarhus's last 10 home games.
- Aarhus received fewer than three yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Aarhus committed more than 8.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 offsides were recorded in 9 of Aarhus's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Aarhus line-up: Jesper Hansen, Daniel Gretarsson, Frederik Tingager, Tobias Mölgaard, Frederik Emmery, Rasmus Carstensen, Magnus Knudsen, Kristian Arnstad, Callum McCowatt, Tobias Bech, Janni Serra.
Form and Line-up Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë drew 1:1 with Midtjylland in the UEFA Conference League on 15 October, then beat Vllaznia 3:1 at home in the Albanian league.
Against Midtjylland, the Albanian side found space in the opposition defence and Ildi Gruda headed in the opening goal, although the Danish club had two goals disallowed in that match.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- Fewer than 30.5 fouls were recorded in 9 of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Egnatia Rrogozhinë line-up (4-3-3): Mario Dajsinani, Guillem Jaime, Andrei Yago, Eneo Bitri, Eljon Sota, Altin Kryeziu, Albano Aleksi, Karim Loukili, Ildi Gruda, Daniel Adjei, Alessandro Albanese.
The teams' chances
Aarhus are offered at 1.55 to win, with fair odds of 1.62 and a 61.8% probability. The draw is 4.30, with fair odds of 4.49 and a 22.3% probability; an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win is 6.00, with fair odds of 6.27 and a 16% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus to win | 1.55 | 1.62 | 61.8% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.49 | 22.3% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win | 6.00 | 6.27 | 16.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is the clear favourite at 1.42, compared with 2.65 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Aarhus (-1.5) at 2.40 has longer odds than Egnatia Rrogozhinë (+1.5) at 1.53. On the one-goal handicap line, Aarhus (-1) are 1.88 and Egnatia Rrogozhinë (+1) are 1.92; on the zero-handicap line, Aarhus (0) at 1.18 are markedly shorter than Egnatia Rrogozhinë (0) at 4.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.53 | |
| 1.88 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.92 | |
| 1.18 | 0 | 4.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.78 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score — No at 1.98: the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
1/5
|
69/50
|
| William Hill |
7/50
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 2 goals for Aarhus and 0.5 goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Aarhus team goals
For Aarhus team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.07 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 6.20. At 1.5 goals, Over 1.5 is 1.57 against 2.30 for Under 1.5; at 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.68 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.12; and at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is 1.37 against 2.85 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.68 | 2 | 2.12 |
| 1.37 | 2.5 | 2.85 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë team goals
For Egnatia Rrogozhinë team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.60 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.25. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.50 is clearly favoured over Over 1 at 2.55; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.23 against 3.70 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ante Čulina (Croatia)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 9.
