Odds Overview
AEK Athens are clear favourites: AEK Athens to win is priced at 1.55, while the draw is offered at 4.10 and Levski Sofia to win at 6.50. In the main total, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. On the main handicap, AEK Athens (-1) is rated at 1.93 and Levski Sofia (+1) at 1.87, so the prices are almost level.
Why AEK Athens Are Favourites
AEK Athens to win in the main 1X2 line is rated at odds of 1.55, bookmakers offer 4.10 for the draw, while Levski Sofia are priced at 6.50 to succeed.
- In 9 of AEK Athens' last 10 matches in all competitions, their opponents failed to score more than one goal, confirming the strength of the Greek defence.
- The Athenians consistently create chances in attack: in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, spectators saw at least one goal scored.
Form and Line-up AEK Athens
The Greek club stick to a restrained style in international fixtures: in 8 of AEK Athens' last 10 Champions League matches they received no more than two yellow cards, while in 9 of 10 games their opponents failed to commit more fouls than the Athenians.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of their last 10 European matches, AEK Athens committed at least 13 fouls.
- In 9 of their last 10 European matches, AEK Athens had more fouls than their opponents.
- In 8 of the last 10 matches in all competitions involving AEK Athens, there were no more than 3 goals.
Probable AEK Athens line-up (4-4-2): Thomas Strakosha — Lazaros Rota — Harold Moukoudi — Filipe Relvas — Stavros Pilios — Lovro Majer — Razvan Marin — Kaan Kairinen — Aboubakary Koita — Zini — Luka Jovic.
Form and Line-up Levski Sofia
The Bulgarian team approach this away match on an emotional high after a heavy 6:0 win over Spartak Varna in the domestic league. The first meeting with AEK Athens ended in a draw (0:0), extending Levski Sofia's clean-sheet run in the Champions League to four matches, while coach Julio Velazquez noted that the squad had fully recovered.
The visitors show strong resilience and consistency in the opposition box: in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia did not lose on goals and scored at least once.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of the last 10 away matches in all competitions involving Levski Sofia, there were no more than 2 offsides.
- Across the last 10 matches, Levski Sofia scored no more than 2 goals in 8 of them.
- In 8 of the last 10 matches in all competitions involving Levski Sofia, there were no more than 3 goals.
Probable Levski Sofia line-up (4-2-3-1): Svetoslav Vutsov — Aldair — Kristian Dimitrov — Nikola Serafimov — Alex Centelles — Mehdi Moubarik — Maicon — Armstrong Oko-Flex — Serginho — Everton Bala — Reinaldo.
Teams' Chances
AEK Athens to win at 1.55 corresponds to a no-margin price of 1.62 and a probability of 61.9%. For the draw, the figures are 4.10, 4.28 and 23.4%; for Levski Sofia to win, they are 6.50, 6.78 and 14.8%: the hosts are clearly ahead in expectations.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens to win | 1.55 | 1.62 | 61.9% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.28 | 23.4% |
| Levski Sofia to win | 6.50 | 6.78 | 14.8% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75 compared with 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals. On the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is 1.52 and Under 2 goals is 2.45; at 3.5, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 is significantly shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 3.40.
| Under | Line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 2 | 1.52 |
| 1.75 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.27 | 3.5 | 3.40 |
Handicap Prediction
AEK Athens (-1.5) is offered at 2.55, while Levski Sofia (+1.5) is 1.48. On the one-goal handicap, AEK Athens (-1) is 1.93 and Levski Sofia (+1) is 1.87. With a zero handicap, AEK Athens (0) is priced at 1.16 and Levski Sofia (0) at 4.30.
| AEK Athens | Handicap | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | (-1.5) | — |
| — | (+1.5) | 1.48 |
| 1.93 | (-1) | — |
| — | (+1) | 1.87 |
| 1.16 | (0) | 4.30 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.68 is preferable by price to Both teams to score - Yes at 2.13: the odds more often allow for at least one team not scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.13 |
| No | 1.68 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.11 is the most likely double chance, while 12 is priced at 1.25. X2 at 2.45 is considerably less expected, although it includes a draw or an away win.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
11/100
|
1/4
|
29/20
|
Individual Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following individual totals: AEK Athens — 1.5 goals, Levski Sofia — 0.5 goals.
AEK Athens Individual Total
AEK Athens: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 is significantly shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.50; Over 1 goal is 1.22 compared with 3.80 for Under 1 goal. On the 1.5 line, the prices are close: Under 1.5 goals is 1.97 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.77. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is rated at 1.50 and Over 2 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Individual total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.80 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Levski Sofia Individual Total
Levski Sofia: on the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 goals at 1.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.85 are almost level. Under 1 goal at 1.30 is noticeably preferable to Over 1 goal at 3.20, while Under 1.5 goals is 1.15 and Over 1.5 goals is 4.50.
| Under | Individual total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 0.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.20 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches — 14 (international fixtures, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 14;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 14.
