Odds overview
Real Madrid are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.25, compared with 6.70 for a draw and 10.00 for a home win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is favoured at 1.30, against 3.25 for Under 2.5. The handicap odds favour Real Madrid (-1) at 1.33 and Real Madrid (-1.5) at 1.70, while AEK (+1) are offered at 3.05 and AEK (+1.5) at 2.15; at a zero handicap, Real Madrid (0) are 1.06 against 6.60 for AEK (0).
Why Real Madrid are favourites
Real Madrid are the bookmakers' favourites: an away win is offered at 1.25, a draw at 6.70 and an AEK win at 10.00.
- Real are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- AEK have been less reliable: the Greek club are unbeaten in only 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Real have won six matches in a row, with an aggregate goal difference of 18:6.
Form and Line-up AEK
On 1 November 2026, AEK lost 0:2 away to Panathinaikos. Before that, on 28 October, the Athens club lost 1:3 away to PAOK. It was the capital club's fourth defeat in their last five matches. Their only win in that run was a 5:0 victory over Panetolikos in the Greek league. AEK have also struggled in the UEFA Champions League: after beating LASK 1:0, they lost 1:3 to Shakhtar and 1:5 to Manchester City.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 7 of AEK's last 8 matches.
- The Greek side have conceded at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Alberto Brignoli, Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Lovro Majer, Kervin Arriaga, Răzvan Marin, João Mário, Luka Jović, Barnabás Varga.
Absentees: Thomas Strakosha (injured).
Form and Line-up Real
On 1 November 2026, Real won convincingly away to Racing (3:0), with Yan Diomande contributing to another goal (four goals and three assists in his last six matches). Before that, on 25 October, the Madrid club beat Barcelona away (2:1). Real also recorded a big UEFA Champions League win, beating RB Leipzig 4:1 at home on 21 October; before that, they came from behind against AS Roma (4:3) and beat Inter (2:1).
- Real have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all official competitions.
- Real's opponents have scored more than one goal in 2 of their 14 matches this season.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois, Denzel Dumfries, Antonio Rüdiger, Dean Huijsen, Álvaro Carreras, Bernardo Silva, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Arda Güler, Kylian Mbappé, Vinicius Junior.
Absentees: Raul Asencio, Rodrygo (both injured); Federico Valverde, Ferland Mendy (both doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Real win is offered at 1.25, with fair odds of 1.31 and a probability of 76.2%. An AEK win is available at 10.00, with fair odds of 10.49 and a probability of 9.5%; the corresponding figures for a draw are 6.70, 7.03 and 14.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK win | 10.00 | 10.49 | 9.5% |
| Draw | 6.70 | 7.03 | 14.2% |
| Real win | 1.25 | 1.31 | 76.2% |
Total goals prediction
At a line of 2.5 goals, Over 2.5 is available at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.25. The odds are closer at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 is 2.00 and Over 3.5 is 1.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.25 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Handicap prediction
Real (-1.5) are offered at 1.70 and AEK (+1.5) at 2.15. At a line of -1, Real (-1) are available at 1.33, while AEK (+1) are 3.05. At a zero handicap, AEK (0) are 6.60 and Real (0) are 1.06.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.70 | |
| 2.15 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.33 | |
| 3.05 | 1 | |
| 6.60 | 0 | 1.06 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.65 and Both teams to score — No at 2.17; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/4
|
1/10
|
7/100
|
| William Hill |
14/5
|
3/25
|
7/100
|
| 888sport |
14/5
|
3/25
|
3/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: AEK — 0.5 goals; Real — 2.5 goals.
AEK team goal total
For AEK, Under 0.5 goals is 2.30 and Over 0.5 is 1.60. At a line of 1 goal, Under 1 is available at 1.43 and Over 1 at 2.65; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.20 and Over 1.5 is 3.95.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.43 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.95 |
Real team goal total
For Real, Under 2 goals is offered at 3.00 and Over 2 at 1.33. At a line of 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is 2.05 and Over 2.5 is 1.72; at 3 goals, Under 3 is 1.65 and Over 3 is 2.15.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2.05 | 2.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.65 | 3 | 2.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches — 20 (international matches, 2025/26, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 20;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 20.
