Odds Overview
Alaves are favourites: the home win is available at around 1.92, the draw at 3.20 and the away win at 4.70. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 is considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.25. Alaves Draw No Bet at 1.35 is quoted substantially shorter than Valencia Draw No Bet at 3.00.
Why Alaves Are Favourites
Fonbet favour the home side: an Alaves win is available at 1.92, the draw at 3.20 and a Valencia win at 4.70.
• Alaves have made a strong start to the season and have performed like one of the leading sides from the opening rounds, recording four wins and one draw in five La Liga matches.
• Valencia have collected only one point from five La Liga rounds, losing four times; the visitors have scored a mere 0.2 goals per game and conceded 2.0 on average.
Form and Line-up Alaves
The hosts have an excellent balance between attack and defence, averaging 2.2 goals per match and conceding exactly one. Alaves rank third in the league's pre-match standings for average goals scored.
In home La Liga matches, the team reliably denies opponents space: in 8 of their last 10 games at Mendizorroza, Alaves' opponents had fewer than 11.5 shots.
- Alaves have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home La Liga matches
- In 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches, Alaves have not had fewer offsides than their opponents
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Alaves' last 10 La Liga matches
Probable Alaves line-up: Antonio Sivera, Angel Perez, Nahuel Tenaglia, Ville Koski, Jonny Otto, Abde Rebbach, Antonio Blanco, Mikel Rodriguez, Pablo Ibanez, Toni Martinez, Lucas Boye
Form and Line-up Valencia
Valencia lost to Sevilla (0:1) in the previous round, and Carlos Corberan directly linked the setbacks to squad problems. The team are bottom of La Liga's pre-match standings for goals scored, with 0.2 goals per game.
Valencia struggle in attack away from home: in 9 of their last 10 league away matches, the team have had fewer than 13.5 shots.
- In 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches, Valencia have taken no more than 5 corners
- No more than 24 fouls have been recorded in 9 of Valencia's last 10 La Liga away matches
- Valencia have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches
Probable Valencia line-up: Stole Dimitrievski, Arnau Martinez, Iker Cordoba, Pepelu, Jose Gaya, David Otorbi, Aliou Dieng, Filip Ugrinic, Ryunosuke Sato, Javi Guerra, Arnaut Danjuma
Cesar Tarrega is doubtful with a hamstring injury.
Team Chances
The home win is available at 1.92; the fair odds are 2.01 and the probability is 49.8%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 3.20, 3.35 and 29.9%, and for the away win 4.70, 4.92 and 20.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves win | 1.92 | 2.01 | 49.8% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.9% |
| Valencia win | 4.70 | 4.92 | 20.3% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.25. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is available at 2.15, while Over 2 goals is at 1.67. The gap is even more pronounced at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 goals — 1.20; Over 3.5 goals — 3.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
| 2 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.20 | 3.90 |
Handicap Prediction
Alaves (-1.5) are available at 3.75, while Valencia (+1.5) are at 1.23. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.95 for Alaves (-1) and 1.40 for Valencia (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Alaves at 1.35 are quoted shorter than Valencia at 3.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.23 | |
| 2.95 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.40 | |
| 1.35 | 0 | 3.00 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.77 is quoted shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.97, indicating a slightly more likely scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.97 |
| No | 1.77 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
The most likely double chance is 1X at 1.19. The 12 option is available at 1.35 and X2 at 1.88.
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Alaves — 1.5 goals; Valencia — 0.5 goals.
Alaves Team Total
Alaves team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.00 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.65 and 1.45. At the 1.5-goal mark, the odds are 1.65 for Under 1.5 goals and 2.20 for Over 1.5 goals; at 2 goals, they are 1.25 and 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.55 |
Valencia Team Total
Valencia team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.62. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 1.48 for Under 1 goal and 2.55 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, they are 1.22 and 3.85 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.48 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
