Odds overview
Albania are clear favourites: an Albania win is available at 1.52, compared with around 4.05 for a draw and 7.10 for a Belarus win. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Under 2.5 at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.25. On the zero-handicap market, Albania (0) are at 1.14 against 4.60 for Belarus (0), which also points towards the hosts.
Why Albania are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: an Albania win is offered at 1.52, a draw at 4.05 and a Belarus win at 7.10.
• Albania held a scheduled training camp ahead of the tournament under Rolando Maran, with 26 players taking part.
• Belarus surrendered a two-goal lead against Burkina Faso in their most recent friendly (2:2), conceding twice after the 70th minute.
Form and Line-up Albania
Albania lost their most recent friendly to Luxembourg 0:1. At least one goal has been scored in each of the Eagles' last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Albania have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Albania's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Albania line-up (4-3-3): Alen Sherri, Elseid Hysaj, Ardian Ismajli, Berat Djimsiti, Mario Mitaj, Taulant Seferi, Ylber Ramadani, Ernest Muci, Anis Mehmeti, Mirlind Daku, Arber Hoxha
Absentees: Juljan Shehu, Medon Berisha, Klisman Cake (injured); Kristjan Asllani, Qazim Laçi (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Belarus
Belarus's opponents have scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Belarus have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Belarus's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 8 of Belarus's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Belarus line-up (3-4-2-1): Pavel Pavlyuchenko, Gleb Shevchenko, Kirill Pechenin, Roman Begunov, Vladislav Malkevich, Eugeniy Yablonskiy, Max Ebong, Yevgeny Malashevich, Ruslan Lisakovich, Valery Gromyko, Trofim Melnichenko
The teams' chances
An Albania win is offered at 1.52, with fair odds of 1.59 and an implied probability of 62.9%. The corresponding figures are 4.05, 4.23 and 23.6% for a draw, and 7.10, 7.42 and 13.5% for a Belarus win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Implied probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albania win | 1.52 | 1.59 | 62.9% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
| Belarus win | 7.10 | 7.42 | 13.5% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Over 2.5. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is favoured at 1.65, while Under 2 is at 2.17. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is at 1.20 and Over 3.5 at 3.95.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
| 2 | 2.17 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.20 | 3.95 |
Handicap betting
Albania (-1.5) are offered at 2.50 and Belarus (+1.5) at 1.50, so the market is considerably more cautious about a sizeable Albania win. At the one-goal handicap line, Albania (-1) are at 1.87 against 1.93 for Belarus (+1). At the zero-handicap line, Albania (0) are much shorter at 1.14 than Belarus (0) at 4.60.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.50 | |
| 1.87 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.93 | |
| 1.14 | 0 | 4.60 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – No is at 1.57 and looks more likely than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.30: the market expects at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.30 |
| No | 1.57 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
| William Hill |
11/100
|
1/4
|
3/2
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
1/4
|
3/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: 1.5 goals for Albania and 0.5 goals for Belarus.
Albania team goals
Albania team goals: Under 0.5 is at 4.80 and Over 0.5 at 1.13; Under 1 is at 3.40 and Over 1 at 1.27. The odds are almost equal at the 1.5-goal line: 1.90 for Under 1.5 and 1.85 for Over 1.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is at 1.45 and Over 2 at 2.65.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.90 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
Belarus team goals
Belarus team goals: Under 0.5 is at 1.78 and Over 0.5 at 1.98. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is at 1.17 against 4.15 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.09 and Over 1.5 at 5.70.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 0.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.17 | 1 | 4.15 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 5.70 |
