Odds Overview
Malta are slight favourites: Malta to win is 2.40, the draw is 2.75, and Andorra to win is around 3.70. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is clearly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.75. In the handicap market, Malta Draw No Bet is 1.60 versus 2.35 for Andorra Draw No Bet.
Why Malta Are Favourites
The bookmakers favour Malta: odds of 2.40 are available for an away win, while an Andorra win is quoted at 3.70 and the draw at 2.75.
• During the June period, Malta beat Azerbaijan and pushed Slovakia close, losing only to a goal in the final minutes.
• The main factor against Andorra remains their low scoring rate: in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, they scored no more than one goal.
Andorra Form and Line-up
Andorra produced mixed results in their June friendlies: they first beat Liechtenstein but then lost to Kosovo. Head coach Koldo Álvarez said before the first of those matches that he wanted to work on a model with greater ball possession, but in the UEFA Nations League the team are still expected to play cautiously from the back.
- Fewer than five goals were scored in each of Andorra's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- No more than two goals were scored in the first half of each of Andorra's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least one goal was scored in 8 of Andorra's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up: Iker Álvarez, Cristian García, Albert Rosas, Izan Fernández, Moisés San Nicolás, Éric de las Heras, Joan Cervós, João da Silva, Marc García, Ian Olivera, Biel Borra
Malta Form and Line-up
Ahead of the UEFA Nations League, head coach Emilio De Leo adjusted his squad: Ryan Camenzuli returned, but Joseph Mbong will miss the upcoming match through suspension. Away from home, Malta show a restrained attack with low shot volume: in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches, the team had fewer than 13.5 shots.
- Malta scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- At least 24 fouls were recorded in 9 of Malta's last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in each of Malta's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up: Henry Bonello, Ryan Camenzuli, Kurt Shaw, Matthew Guillaumier, Paul Mbong, Teddy Teuma, Irvin Cardona, Enrico Pepe, Ilyas Chouaref, Zach Muscat, Alexander Satariano
Aleandro García will miss the match through injury, while Joseph Mbong is suspended.
Team Chances
On a no-margin assessment, Malta have a 39.7% chance of winning at odds of 2.40 and fair odds of 2.52. The draw is assessed at 34.6%: 2.75 and 2.89 respectively. An Andorra win has a 25.7% chance, with odds of 3.70 and fair odds of 3.89.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra win | 3.70 | 3.89 | 25.7% |
| Draw | 2.75 | 2.89 | 34.6% |
| Malta win | 2.40 | 2.52 | 39.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is 1.40, while Over 2.5 goals is 2.75. At the line of 2, Under is 1.65 and Over is 2.15. For 3.5, Under is offered at 1.11 and Over at 5.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| 2 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 3.5 | 1.11 | 5.10 |
Handicap Prediction
Andorra (-1.5) is 7.70 versus 5.00 for Malta (-1.5). For the 1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.12 for Andorra (+1.5) and 1.04 for Malta (+1.5). Andorra (-1) is 6.70 and Malta (-1) is 4.20; Andorra (+1) is 1.20 and Malta (+1) is 1.06. In the Draw No Bet market, Malta is shorter at 1.60 than Andorra at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 6.70 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.35: the market more often expects at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.35 |
| No | 1.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
57/100
|
2/5
|
1/4
|
| William Hill |
11/20
|
11/25
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
11/25
|
1/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Andorra — 0.5 goals, Malta — 1 goal.
Andorra Team Total
Andorra team total: Under 0.5 goals is 2.10, Over 0.5 goals is 1.70. At the line of 1, Under is 1.40 and Over is 2.70; at 1.5, they are 1.20 and 3.95 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.70 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.95 |
Malta Team Total
Malta team total: Under 0.5 goals is 2.65, Over 0.5 goals is 1.45. At the line of 1, the odds are close: Under is 1.80 and Over is 1.95. For 1.5, Under is offered at 1.35 and Over at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Iker Álvarez de Eulate Molné
Biel Borrà Font
Ian Bryan Olivera de Oliveira
Max Llovera
Moisés San Nicolás Schellens
Éric Izquierdo
Babot Müller
Ot Remolins Planes
Arón Rodrigo Tapia
Gerard Solà García
Marc de Castro Prat
Christian García
Francisco Pomares
Joel Guillén
Éric Vales Ramos
Albert Rosas Ubach
Ricard Fernández Betriu
Henry Bonello
Enrico Pepe
Kurt Shaw
Zach Muscat
Matthew Guillaumier
Ilyas Chouaref
Irvin Charly Jose Cardona
Paul Mbong
James Sissons
Gabriel Mentz
Brandon Paiber
