Odds overview
Universitatea Craiova are favourites to win at 2.10, while a home win is priced at 3.55 and the draw at 3.20. In the main 2.5-goal market, Under 2.5 at 1.72 looks preferable to Over 2.5 at 2.07. Universitatea Craiova Draw No Bet at 1.52 is priced notably shorter than Ararat-Armenia Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Why Universitatea Craiova are favourites for the match
A Universitatea Craiova win is priced at 2.10, the draw at 3.20 and an Ararat-Armenia win at 3.55. The arguments in favour of this assessment are:
Shot control. Across their last 10 Europa League matches, the team have not been outshot by their opponents.
Strong domestic form. The visitors come into the match after a 3:1 win in the Romanian league.
Result of the first leg. A 1:1 draw in Romania, where Ararat-Armenia had only two shots on target.
Experience. Universitatea regularly play in European competition, while Ararat-Armenia do so less often.
Form and Line-up Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia have been confident in the domestic league, recording two consecutive home wins — 2:1 and 2:0. However, after the match against Universitatea Craiova (1:1), in which the Yerevan side scored first, they also dropped points against Sardarapat in the league (1:1).
Key numbers:
- No more than 2 goals were scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Under 2.5 goals landed in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Both teams scored in 9 of their previous 10 matches.
Probable Ararat-Armenia line-up (4-3-3): Joao Victor — Junior Bueno, Bruno Wilson, Alexandros Malis, Edgar Grigoryan — Hugo Oliveira, Bernardo Dias, Karen Muradyan, Arthur Serobyan, Sandro Lima, Zidan Banjaqi.
Absentees: —.
Form and Line-up Universitatea Craiova
Before travelling to Yerevan, the team asked for their domestic league match against Voluntari to be postponed, but played it on 23 August, four days before the Europa League second leg. It was successful for them — a 3:1 victory and 4.58 xG. The first match against Ararat-Armenia was completely dominated by the Romanians — seven shots, seven on target, 58% possession and 8 corners.
Key numbers:
Universitatea have conceded in 6 consecutive matches.
More than 4 yellow cards were shown in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners were taken in 6 of their previous 8 matches.
Probable Universitatea Craiova line-up (3-4-3): Laurentiu Popescu — Oleksandr Romanchuk, Vladimir Screciu, Nikola Stevanovic — Carlos Mora, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Alexandru Cicaldau, Nicusor Bancu — David Matei, Assad Al-Hamlawi, Stefan Baiaram.
Absentees: Adrian Rus will miss the match through suspension.
Team chances
The home win is available at 3.55, with a no-margin price of 3.80 and a probability of 26.3%; the draw is at 3.20, with a no-margin price of 3.43 and 29.2%. The away win at 2.10 has the highest rating: a no-margin price of 2.25 and a probability of 44.5%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Ararat-Armenia win | 3.55 | 3.80 | 26.3% |
Draw | 3.20 | 3.43 | 29.2% |
Universitatea Craiova win | 2.10 | 2.25 | 44.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is priced shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.07. For a total of 2, Over is preferred at 1.55 versus 2.35 for Under, while for 3.5, Under is favoured at 1.28 versus 3.35 for Over.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
2 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Handicap prediction
Ararat-Armenia (-1.5) is priced at 7.30 and Universitatea Craiova (-1.5) at 3.90. On the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.20 for Ararat-Armenia (+1.5) and 1.05 for Universitatea Craiova (+1.5); on the 1 line, they are 1.30 and 1.07 respectively. Universitatea Craiova Draw No Bet at 1.52 is priced shorter than Ararat-Armenia Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Home | Handicap | Away |
7.30 | -1.5 | 3.90 |
1.20 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
6.30 | -1 | 3.10 |
1.30 | 1 | 1.07 |
2.45 | 0 | 1.52 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.85, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.90: the options are rated almost equally, with a slight edge for both teams scoring.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.85 |
No | 1.90 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds in the double chance market are for X2 at 1.27, followed by 12 at 1.33. The 1X bet is priced higher at 1.70.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.70 | 1.33 | 1.27 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Ararat-Armenia — 1 goal, Universitatea Craiova — 1.5 goals.
Ararat-Armenia team total
Ararat-Armenia: Under 0.5 is available at 2.55, Over 0.5 at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under is priced at 1.72 and Over at 2.00; on 1.5, Under at 1.30 is priced notably shorter than Over at 3.15.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
1.72 | 1 | 2.00 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
Universitatea Craiova team total
Universitatea Craiova: Under 0.5 is available at 3.80, Over 0.5 at 1.22. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.50 for Under and 1.45 for Over; on 1.5, they are 1.62 and 2.17 respectively. For the 2-goal line, Under at 1.25 is priced substantially shorter than Over at 3.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
2.50 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.62 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Donatas Rumsas (Lithuania)
Matches — 11 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 11;
Matches with penalties — 2 out of 11.
