Armenia vs Latvia: prediction & betting odds 25 September 2026

Odds overview

Armenia are favourites: their win at 1.70 is considerably shorter than the draw at 3.85 and a Latvia win at 5.00. The odds for the 2.5-goal total are almost level — Under at 1.88 and Over at 1.92. In the handicap market, Armenia Draw No Bet (0) is 1.25 against 3.45 for Latvia Draw No Bet (0), underlining the hosts' advantage.

Why Armenia are favourites

Bookmakers make the hosts favourites: an Armenia win is offered at 1.70, the draw at 3.85 and a Latvia win at 5.00.

• The hosts have home advantage in Yerevan, while Latvia lost their last match to the Faroe Islands 0:1.

• Even so, there is little between the teams: Armenia drew 1:1 with Moldova in June, scoring only in the 89th minute, so their advantage as favourites is far from decisive.

Form and Line-up Armenia

Armenia have struggled to hold on to leads and win consistently: they have failed to win nine of their last 10 matches in all competitions. All their strongest players are in the current squad, including Eduard Spertsyan, Nayair Tiknizyan and Edgar Sevikyan.

• Armenia committed 11 fouls or fewer in eight of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
• Armenia's players received no more than two yellow cards in eight of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
• No more than four yellow cards were shown in eight of Armenia's last 10 home matches in all competitions.

Probable Armenia line-up (4-3-3): Aleksandr Mishiev, Erik Piloyan, Georgiy Harutyunyan, Sergey Muradyan, Nayair Tiknizyan, Narek Aghasaryan, Edgar Sevikyan, Eduard Spertsyan, Ugochukwu Iwu, Artur Miranyan, Artur Serobyan

Unavailable: Vahan Bichakhchyan (injured)

Form and Line-up Latvia

The Latvian Football Federation has published its squad for the autumn fixtures: Vladislavs Gutkovskis, Janis Ikaunieks and Roberts Uldriķis are among the attacking players, while Marko Regza is absent from the published squad. Paolo Nicolato has also called up five debutants: Oskars Vientiess, Oskars Rubenis, Danils Pātijčuks, Markuss Strods and Alberts Aleksanjans.

Away from home in the UEFA Nations League, Latvia favour low-scoring matches with few shots: in eight of their last 10 away matches in the competition, the combined number of shots by both teams, including blocked shots, did not exceed 25.

• Latvia's opponents scored no more than one goal in eight of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
• Latvia received at least two yellow cards in nine of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
• Latvia and their opponents committed at least 24 fouls in eight of Latvia's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.

Probable Latvia line-up (3-4-2-1): Rihards Matrevics, Antonijs Černomordijs, Raivis Jurkovskis, Dennis Cirkin, Andrejs Cigaņiks, Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Lūkass Vapne, Roberts Savaļnieks, Janis Ikaunieks, Eduards Daškevičs, Roberts Uldriķis

Teams' chances

An Armenia win is offered at 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78 and a fair probability of 56.1%. The corresponding figures are 3.85, 4.03 and 24.8% for the draw, and 5.00, 5.24 and 19.1% for a Latvia win: Armenia remain clear favourites.

Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.88 and Over 2.5 at 1.92, so the main totals market is almost evenly balanced. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.33 is much shorter than Over at 3.00, indicating that a high-scoring match is considered less likely.

Handicap prediction

Armenia (-1.5) are offered at 2.80, while Latvia (+1.5) are at 1.38. On the one-goal line, Armenia (-1) are at 2.20 against 1.65 for Latvia (+1). At a handicap of zero, Armenia Draw No Bet (0) at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Latvia Draw No Bet (0) at 3.45.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85, while Both teams to score — No is at 1.90. The odds are close, with a slight edge for both teams finding the net.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	17/100	29/100	1/1
William Hill	9/50	1/4	11/10
888sport	9/50	3/10	19/20

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Armenia — 1.5 goals; Latvia — 0.5 goals.

Armenia team goals

For Armenia's team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 4.90 against 1.12 for Over 0.5, and Under 1 at 3.50 against 1.25 for Over 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under at 1.92 and Over at 1.83. At the two-goal line, Under at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.60.

Latvia team goals

For Latvia's team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 2.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the one-goal line, Under at 1.52 is shorter than Over at 2.45, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.65.

Who Will Referee the Match

Martin Matosa (Slovenia)

Matches — 7 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);

Average fouls per match — 27;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.6;

Matches with a red card — 1 of 7;

Matches with a penalty — 1 of 7.