Odds Overview
Armenia are the favourites: a home win at 1.70 is considerably shorter than a draw at 3.85 and an away win at 5.00. The odds are almost even for the 2.5-goal total — Under 2.5 at 1.88 and Over 2.5 at 1.92. Armenia Draw No Bet is available at 1.25, compared with Latvia Draw No Bet at 3.45, underlining the hosts' advantage.
Why Armenia Are the Favourites
Bookmakers regard the hosts as favourites: Armenia to win is available at 1.70, the draw at 3.85 and Latvia to win at 5.00.
• The hosts have home advantage in Yerevan, while Latvia lost their last match 0:1 to the Faroe Islands.
• However, there is little between the opponents: Armenia drew 1:1 with Moldova in June, scoring only in the 89th minute, so the favourites' advantage does not look overwhelming.
Form and Line-up Armenia
Armenia have struggled to hold onto leads and win regularly: they have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions. The current squad includes all their strongest players: Eduard Spertsyan, Nayair Tiknizyan, Edgar Sevikyan and others.
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Armenia committed 11 fouls or fewer.
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Armenia's players received no more than two yellow cards.
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions involving Armenia, no more than four yellow cards were shown.
Probable Armenia line-up (4-3-3): Aleksandr Mishiev, Erik Piloyan, Georgiy Harutyunyan, Sergey Muradyan, Nayair Tiknizyan, Narek Aghasaryan, Edgar Sevikyan, Eduard Spertsyan, Ugochukwu Iwu, Artur Miranyan, Artur Serobyan
Absentees: Vahan Bichakhchyan (injured)
Form and Line-up Latvia
The Latvian Football Federation has published its squad for the autumn cycle: Vladislavs Gutkovskis, Janis Ikaunieks and Roberts Uldrikis are included among the forwards, while Marko Regza is absent from the announced squad. Paolo Nicolato has also called up five debutants: Oskars Vientiess, Oskars Rubenis, Daniils Patijčuks, Markuss Strods and Alberts Aleksejans.
In away matches in the Nations League, Latvia favour low-scoring football with few shots: in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the tournament, the combined total of both teams' shots, including blocked shots, did not exceed 25.
- In 8 of Latvia's last 10 away Nations League matches, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
- In 9 of Latvia's last 10 away Nations League matches, they received at least two yellow cards.
- In 8 of Latvia's last 10 away Nations League matches, Latvia and their opponents committed at least 24 fouls.
Probable Latvia line-up (3-4-2-1): Rihards Matrevics, Antonijs Cernomordijs, Raivis Jurkovskis, Dennis Cirkin, Andrejs Ciganiks, Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Lukass Vapne, Roberts Savalnieks, Janis Ikaunieks, Eduards Daskevics, Roberts Uldrikis
Team Chances
Armenia to win is available at 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78 and a probability of 56.1%. The figures for a draw are 3.85, 4.03 and 24.8%, while Latvia to win is at 5.00, 5.24 and 19.1%: Armenia remain clear favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.1% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Latvia win | 5.00 | 5.24 | 19.1% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 is available at 1.88 and Over 2.5 at 1.92, so expectations in the main totals market are almost even. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 3.00, meaning a high total is considered less likely.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Handicap Prediction
Armenia (-1.5) is available at 2.80, while Latvia (+1.5) is at 1.38. On the one-goal handicap line, Armenia (-1) is at 2.20 compared with 1.65 for Latvia (+1). Armenia Draw No Bet at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Latvia Draw No Bet at 3.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.38 | |
| 2.20 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.65 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.85, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.90. The odds are close, with a slight edge for the scenario in which both teams score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
29/100
|
11/10
|
| William Hill |
9/50
|
1/4
|
11/10
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
1/4
|
11/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Armenia — 1.5 goals, Latvia — 0.5 goals.
Armenia Team Total
Armenia team total: Under 0.5 is available at 4.90 compared with 1.12 for Over 0.5; Under 1 is at 3.50 compared with 1.25 for Over 1. At the 1.5 line, the odds are almost even: Under at 1.92 and Over at 1.83. At the 2-goal mark, Under at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.50 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.60 |
Latvia Team Total
Latvia team total: Under 0.5 is available at 2.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under at 1.52 is shorter than Over at 2.45, while at the 1.5 mark, Under at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.52 | 1 | 2.45 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
