Odds overview
Arsenal to win is around 1.16, the draw is 7.80 and Hull City to win is 16.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is much more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.49. Arsenal (-1.5) at 1.54 has shorter odds than Hull City (-1.5) at 2.34 in the handicap market.
Why Arsenal are favourites
Bookmakers make Arsenal clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.16, the draw at 7.80 and a Hull City win at 16.00.
- Arsenal are the reigning champions of England and currently lead the Premier League.
- Despite sitting 11th, Hull City have returned to the Premier League after a nine-year absence, so most of their players lack experience at this level.
Form and Line-up Arsenal
In midweek, Arsenal played in the UEFA Champions League, beating Slavia Prague 2:1 away in another league-phase match. Defender Ezri Konsa left the pitch with knee discomfort in that game, and his availability for the upcoming match remains in doubt. Arsenal lead the Premier League by three points over Manchester City.
- Arsenal have avoided defeat in normal time in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Arsenal's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Arsenal line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Jurriën Timber, Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, Ezri Konsa, Bruno Guimarães, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard, Noni Madueke, Christos Tzolis, Kai Havertz
Absentees: Bukayo Saka (injured), Ezri Konsa (doubtful), Max Dowman (suspended)
Form and Line-up Hull City
Hull City have gone seven Premier League rounds without a win since August, although they have lost only twice in that period. Last time out, they drew 2:2 with fellow newcomers Ipswich Town. Their two wins at the start of the season have so far kept Hull City in mid-table, in 11th place.
- Hull City have failed to win in normal time in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Hull City have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable Hull City line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Lewie Coyle, Ryan Giles, Nobel Mendy, Regan Slater, Mohamed Belloumi, Elliot Stroud, Tim Iroegbunam, Oliver McBurnie
Absentees: Matthew Targett, Ilyas Ansah, Charlie Hughes, Eliot Matazo, Darko Gyabi, Lucas Gourna-Douath (injured), Matt Crooks (suspended), Jack Butland (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Arsenal to win has average odds of 1.16, fair odds of 1.22 and a probability of 81.9%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 7.80, 8.21 and 12.2%, and for Hull City to win they are 16.00, 16.84 and 5.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal to win | 1.16 | 1.22 | 81.9% |
| Draw | 7.80 | 8.21 | 12.2% |
| Hull City to win | 16.00 | 16.84 | 5.9% |
Total goals prediction
At a line of 2.5, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.49. At a line of 2, Over 2 goals at 1.19 has much shorter odds than Under 2 goals at 4.05, while at a line of 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.61 looks more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 2.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.49 | 1.48 |
| 2 | 4.05 | 1.19 |
| 3.5 | 1.61 | 2.20 |
Handicap prediction
Arsenal (-1.5) at 1.54 are rated much more highly than Hull City (-1.5) at 2.34.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | -1.5 | 2.34 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.60 is considered much more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.30: the second option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.30 |
| No | 1.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/100
|
1/10
|
4/1
|
| 888sport |
3/100
|
1/10
|
4/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The team goals markets show a clear expectation that Arsenal will score, while expectations for Hull City's goalscoring are more restrained.
Arsenal team goals
For Arsenal, Over 0.5 team goals at 1.03 is much more likely than Under 0.5 at 7.90. At a line of 2, Over 2 is 1.38 compared with 2.85 for Under 2; at 2.5, the odds are almost equal — Under 2.5 at 1.92 and Over 2.5 at 1.82. At a line of 3, Under 3 at 1.50 has shorter odds than Over 3 at 2.45.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.85 | 2 | 1.38 |
| 1.92 | 2.5 | 1.82 |
| 1.50 | 3 | 2.45 |
Hull City team goals
For Hull City, Under 0.5 team goals at 1.64 has shorter odds than Over 0.5 at 2.15, while Under 1.5 at 1.07 is much shorter than Over 1.5 at 6.20. Over 2.5 Hull City goals is offered at 9.60; no odds are listed for Under 2.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 0.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 6.20 |
| 2.5 | 9.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Farai Hallam (England)
Matches — 7 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 7.
