Odds overview
Aston Villa to win at 1.92 is favoured over the draw at 3.80 and Fulham to win at 3.75. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.68, compared with 2.18 for Under 2.5. At a handicap of 0, Aston Villa Draw No Bet at 1.43 is markedly shorter than Fulham Draw No Bet at 2.65.
Why Aston Villa are favourites
Bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites: the Birmingham club are 1.92 to win, the draw is available at 3.80 and a Fulham win is quoted at 3.75.
- Aston Villa have been picking up points consistently, winning seven of their last 10 competitive matches in all competitions.
- Fulham have struggled to win in the league: the London club have failed to win 7 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
Form and Line-up Aston Villa
In their most recent match, this Wednesday, Aston Villa lost 0:3 away to Bournemouth. Despite fielding a heavily changed side, Unai Emery's team created chances worth three goals (3.30 xG). Villa's first-team players were far more clinical when they beat Manchester City 2:1 at home in the Premier League despite recording just 0.61 xG.
- Aston Villa's opponents scored fewer than 3.5 goals in all 10 of Villa's last 10 competitive matches across all competitions.
- Aston Villa scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Aston Villa's last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1):Zion Suzuki, Matty Cash, Victor Lindelöf, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, João Gomes, John McGinn, Johan Manzambi, Emiliano Buendía, Nicolas Jackson
Absentees: Amadou Onana, Matteo Ruggeri, Aaron Wan-Bissaka (injured)
Form and Line-up Fulham
Fulham lost 0:1 at home to Crystal Palace in the EFL Cup Round of 16, although Bernd Leno was absent from goal and their outfield players failed to convert chances worth 1.99 xG. The defeat ended a run of two consecutive 1:0 wins with clean sheets. Both came in the Premier League, lifting Alvaro Arbeloa's side out of the relegation zone and into 15th place.
- Fulham's opponents had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of Fulham's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Crystal Palace scored fewer than 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 competitive matches in all competitions.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of Fulham's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, David Affengruber, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Hugo Larsson, Shea Charles, Oscar Bobb, Joshua King, Alex Iwobi, Gonzalo García
Absentees: Ryan Sessegnon (suspended), Emile Smith Rowe (doubtful)
Both teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Aston Villa a 49.6% chance of winning at fair odds of 2.02, the draw a 25.0% chance at 3.99 and Fulham a 25.4% chance at 3.94. The corresponding market odds are 1.92, 3.80 and 3.75.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | 1.92 | 2.02 | 49.6% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.99 | 25.0% |
| Fulham to win | 3.75 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.18 and Over 2.5 at 1.68. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is shorter at 1.50, while Over 3.5 is offered at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.18 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
Handicap betting
Aston Villa (-1.5) are available at 3.15 and Fulham (-1.5) at 6.40. For the +1.5 handicap, Aston Villa (+1.5) and Fulham (+1.5) are quoted at 1.07 and 1.30 respectively. Aston Villa (-1) are available at 2.60, compared with 5.60 for Fulham (-1); Aston Villa (+1) are 1.09, compared with 1.50 for Fulham (+1). At a handicap of 0, Aston Villa Draw No Bet is 1.43 and Fulham Draw No Bet is 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | -1.5 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.60 | -1 | 5.60 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.43 | 0 | 2.65 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60, while Both teams to score — No is 2.25: the latter requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
1/4
|
83/100
|
| 888sport |
29/100
|
29/100
|
83/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Aston Villa — 1.5 goals; Fulham — 1 goal.
Aston Villa team total goals
For Aston Villa, Under 0.5 goals is 5.00 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.12; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.40 and 1.27. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost level: Under 1.5 goals is 1.91 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.83. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is available at 1.48 and Over 2 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.91 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Fulham team total goals
For Fulham, Under 0.5 goals is 2.90 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.97 and Over 1 goal is 1.77; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.42 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.97 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
