Odds Overview
Atalanta look clear favourites at odds of 1.17, compared with 7.10 for the draw and 14.00 for Hapoel Tel Aviv to win. In the main goals total, Over 2.5 at 1.40 is noticeably preferred to Under 2.5 at 2.75. Atalanta (-1.5) are priced at 1.43, while Hapoel Tel Aviv (+1.5) are 2.60.
Why Atalanta Are Match Favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: Atalanta to win can be backed at 1.17.
Atalanta represent Italy's Serie A and begin their European campaign under Maurizio Sarri, having completed their preparations with a friendly win over Athletic Club.
The visitors are inferior to their opponents in class.
Hapoel lost their most recent away match to GKS Katowice by a score of 1:2.
Form and Line-up Atalanta
Atalanta come into the start of their European campaign after successful friendlies, beating Schalke 04 (3:0) and Athletic Club (1:0). The Bergamo side have scored in nine of their last 10 competitive games.
Key numbers:
Atalanta have received no more than two yellow cards in eight of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
A maximum of four yellow cards have been shown in nine of Atalanta's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
In eight of the last 10 matches involving Atalanta across all competitions, the teams have been caught offside at least three times.
Probable line-up: Marco Carnesecchi — Odilon Kossounou — Gianluca Scamacca — Lazar Samardzic — Ederson — Raoul Bellanova — Giacomo Raspadori — Giorgio Scalvini — Lorenzo Bernasconi — Nicola Zalewski — Gianluca Gaetano
Kamaldeen Sulemana will miss the match through injury, while Isak Hien's involvement is in doubt.
Form and Line-up Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel reached the play-offs by getting past Ludogorets (2:0, 2:2) and GKS Katowice (2:0, 1:2) in the qualifying rounds. In nine of the Israeli club's last 10 games, their opponents committed at least 12 fouls, while Hapoel themselves did not win on yellow cards.
Key numbers:
No more than three goals have been scored in eight of the last 10 home matches involving Hapoel across all competitions.
In nine of Hapoel's last 10 home games across all competitions, their opponents scored a maximum of one goal.
Hapoel have had at least four shots on target in eight of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Asaf Tzur — Marcus Regis Coco — Fernand Mayembo — Chico — Doron Leidner — Falcao — Andrian Kraev — Stav Turiell — Roee Alkokin — Omri Altman — Emmanuel Boateng
Team Chances
Atalanta to win is offered at 1.17; the margin-free estimate is 1.25, with a probability of 80.1%. For the draw, the figures are 7.10, 7.58 and 13.2%, while for Hapoel Tel Aviv to win they are 14.00, 14.94 and 6.7% respectively: the market clearly favours the hosts.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Atalanta to win | 1.17 | 1.25 | 80.1% |
Draw | 7.10 | 7.58 | 13.2% |
Hapoel Tel Aviv to win | 14.00 | 14.94 | 6.7% |
Goals Total Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over at 1.40 is much shorter than Under at 2.75. At 3.5, the choice is more balanced: Under is priced at 1.78, Over at 1.98.
Line | Under goals | Over goals |
2.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
3.5 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Handicap Prediction
Atalanta (-1.5) at 1.43 are priced noticeably shorter than Hapoel Tel Aviv (+1.5) at 2.60, reflecting an expectation of a convincing home win.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
1.43 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.68 is preferred to Both teams to score — Yes at 2.12: it is more likely that at least one of the teams will fail to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.12 |
No | 1.68 |
Double Chance Prediction
12 at 1.08 has much shorter odds than X2 at 4.70, so a draw looks like a less expected outcome.
1X | 12 | X2 |
— | 1.08 | 4.70 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Atalanta — 2.5 goals, Hapoel Tel Aviv — 0.5 goals.
Atalanta Team Total
Atalanta: Over 2 at 1.33 is noticeably preferred to Under 2 at 3.05; on the 2.5 line, Over at 1.65 is shorter than Under at 2.10. At 3, the prices change: Under at 1.63 is priced shorter than Over at 2.15.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.05 | 2 | 1.33 |
2.10 | 2.5 | 1.65 |
1.63 | 3 | 2.15 |
Hapoel Tel Aviv Team Total
Hapoel: Under 0.5 at 1.72 is priced shorter than Over 0.5 at 2.00. On the 1 line, Under at 1.15 is much shorter than Over at 4.40, while at 1.5 it is Under at 1.08 against Over at 6.10, pointing to low expectations for the visitors' goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.72 | 0.5 | 2.00 |
1.15 | 1 | 4.40 |
1.08 | 1.5 | 6.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 10 (international fixtures, 2024–2026);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.7;
Matches with red cards – 1 out of 10;
Matches with penalties – 1 out of 10.
