Odds overview
Atalanta are clear favourites: an Atalanta win is available at 1.17, a draw at 7.80 and a Kairat win at 15.00. In the total goals market, Over 2.5 is strongly favoured over Under 2.5, at 1.38 against 2.81. Atalanta (-1.5) are quoted at 1.61 in the handicap market, while Kairat (-1.5) are at 2.20.
Why Atalanta are favourites
The odds make Atalanta clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.17, a draw at 7.80 and a Kairat win at 15.00.
- Atalanta have been picking up points consistently in the UEFA Conference League, avoiding defeat in 3 of their last 4 matches in the competition.
- Kairat have struggled in this European competition for some time: they have not won any of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Form and Line-up Atalanta
In their most recent competitive match, on 2 November 2026, Atalanta lost 0:3 at home to Parma. Before that, on 29 October, they drew 2:2 away to Fiorentina.
Atalanta also have personnel concerns. Ahead of the match, Isak Hien was reported to be training individually on the pitch. Sead Kolasinac, who is recovering from a thigh muscle injury, remains doubtful.
- Atalanta have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitive competitions.
- The two teams combined have registered more than 5.5 shots on target in each of Atalanta's last 10 matches across all competitive competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Marco Carnesecchi, Davide Zappacosta, Giorgio Scalvini, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Ederson, Mario Pašalić, Elif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe, Nikola Krstović
Form and Line-up Kairat
On 31 October 2026, Kairat drew 1:1 with Altai VKO. That followed another draw, 2:2 against Aktobe on 25 October. In the UEFA Conference League, however, the visitors lost 1:5 to Panathinaikos on 22 October.
- Kairat have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitive competitions.
- The two teams combined have registered more than 19.5 shots in each of Kairat's last 9 matches across all competitive competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Temirlan Anarbekov, Erkin Tapalov, Aleksandr Martynovich, Olzhas Baybek, Luis Mata, Gustavo Mendonça, Jaakko Oksanen, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Marc Gual, Azamat Tuyakbaev, Edmilson
Both teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Atalanta an 81.4% chance of winning: the average odds for a home win are 1.17, with fair odds of 1.23. A draw has a 12.2% chance, with average odds of 7.80 and fair odds of 8.19; a Kairat win has a 6.4% chance, with respective odds of 15.00 and 15.74.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 1.17 | 1.23 | 81.4% |
| Draw | 7.80 | 8.19 | 12.2% |
| Kairat win | 15.00 | 15.74 | 6.4% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.81 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.38. At the 2-goal line, the odds are 4.65 for Under 2 goals and 1.14 for Over 2 goals; at the 3.5-goal line, they are 1.77 for Under 3.5 goals and 1.97 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Total goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.81 | 1.38 |
| 2 | 4.65 | 1.14 |
| 3.5 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
Handicap betting
Atalanta (-1.5) are available at 1.61, while Kairat (-1.5) are offered at 2.20.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | -1.5 | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/100
|
1/10
|
4/1
|
| William Hill |
3/100
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
| 888sport |
3/100
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines: Atalanta — 2.5 goals; Kairat — 0.5 goals.
Atalanta team total goals
For Atalanta, Under 0.5 goals is available at 7.40 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.04. At the 2-goal line, the odds are 3.10 for Under 2 goals and 1.32 for Over 2 goals; at 2.5 goals, they are 2.05 and 1.71 respectively; at 3 goals, they are 1.65 for Under 3 goals and 2.15 for Over 3 goals.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 3.10 | 2 | 1.32 |
| 2.05 | 2.5 | 1.71 |
| 1.65 | 3 | 2.15 |
Kairat team total goals
For Kairat, Under 0.5 goals is available at 1.81 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.93. Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.11 against 5.20 for Over 1.5 goals; at the 2.5-goal line, the odds are 1.01 for Under 2.5 goals and 9.60 for Over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 0.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.60 |
