Odds overview
Atalanta are clear favourites: they are available at 1.50 to win, compared with 4.60 for the draw and 6.30 for a Parma win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. Parma (+1.5) at 1.60 looks more likely than Atalanta (-1.5) at 2.30.
Why Atalanta are favourites
Bookmakers make Atalanta favourites for this match: a home win is offered at 1.50, the draw at 4.60 and a Parma win at 6.30.
- Atalanta regularly take points from these meetings: they have avoided defeat against Parma in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
- Parma have struggled away from home, failing to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Form and Line-up Atalanta
Atalanta's most recent match, on 29 October, ended in a 2:2 draw with Fiorentina. A few days earlier, on 25 October, they played out an even higher-scoring 4:4 draw with Frosinone Calcio.
Atalanta rarely fail to score, though: they have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Atalanta have failed to win 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Over 0.5 goals has landed in each of Atalanta's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Marco Carnesecchi, Giorgio Scalvini, Thomas Kristensen, Relja Obrić, Davide Zappacosta, Gianluca Gaetano, Ederson, Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe, Nikola Krstović.
Raoul Bellanova, Gianluca Scamacca, Franck Kessié, Giacomo Raspadori and Odilon Kossounou are listed as unavailable.
Form and Line-up Parma
In their recent league match on 28 October, Parma drew 0:0 at home to Udinese Calcio. Before that, on 24 October, they lost 1:2 away to Lazio.
Parma score few goals away from home: they have failed to reach 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Parma have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions has had fewer than 3.5 goals.
Probable line-up: Giovanni Daffara, Enrico Delprato, Mariano Troilo, Dominik Drobnic, Sascha Britschgi, Vincent Sierro, Mandela Keita, Franco Carboni, Adrián Bernabé, El Bilal Touré, David Romero.
Nesta Elphege and Thomas Pompei are listed as unavailable.
The teams' chances
For an Atalanta win, the average odds are 1.50, the fair odds are 1.56 and the probability is 63.9%. The corresponding figures are 4.60, 4.80 and 20.8% for a draw, and 6.30, 6.57 and 15.2% for a Parma win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 1.50 | 1.56 | 63.9% |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.80 | 20.8% |
| Parma win | 6.30 | 6.57 | 15.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.50, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
Atalanta (-1.5) are available at 2.30, while Parma (+1.5) are offered at 1.60. Atalanta (-1) are quoted at 1.78 and Parma (+1) at 2.05. For the zero handicap, Atalanta (0) at 1.16 are considerably shorter than Parma (0) at 4.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.60 | |
| 1.78 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.05 | |
| 1.16 | 0 | 4.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75, while Both teams to score — No is available at 2.00; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
1/5
|
69/50
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
1/5
|
81/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Atalanta — 2 goals, Parma — 0.5 goals.
Atalanta team goals
For Atalanta, Under 0.5 goals is available at 7.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.05. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 2.45 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.50; at the 2-goal line, the odds are 1.82 and 1.93 respectively. Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.45 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.60.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.20 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.82 | 2 | 1.93 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
Parma team goals
For Parma, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.25 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.52 compared with 2.45 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.52 | 1 | 2.45 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Valerio Crezzini (Italy)
Matches — 12 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 2.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 12;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 12.
