Odds overview
Bayern Munich are slight favourites at 2.30 to win, compared with 2.80 for Atlético Madrid; the draw is 3.95. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.43 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.65. For a handicap of 0, Bayern Munich (0) are available at 1.75, while Atlético Madrid (0) are 2.10.
Why Bayern Munich are favourites
Bookmakers favour Bayern Munich: they offer 2.30 for a Bayern win, 3.95 for a draw and 2.80 for an Atlético Madrid win.
- Bayern Munich have been consistent: they are unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Atlético Madrid have slipped up more often in the competition: they are unbeaten in 6 of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Form and Line-up Atlético Madrid
On 31 October 2026, Atlético Madrid beat Levante 2:0 away from home. Earlier, they beat Deportivo 1:0 at home on 24 October and drew 1:1 away to Stuttgart on 20 October.
Atlético Madrid have been solid defensively: their opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Atlético Madrid have had more than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home Champions League matches.
Probable line-up: Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Álex Grimaldo, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Álex Baena, Rodrigo Mendoza, Jonathan David, Julián Alvarez.
Atlético Madrid list Johnny Cardoso (muscle injury) and Morten Hjulmand (suspension) as absent.
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
On 31 October 2026, Bayern Munich drew 2:2 at home with Borussia Dortmund. Before that, they thrashed Magdeburg 6:1 on 28 October and beat Freiburg 3:1 on 25 October.
Bayern Munich's away Champions League matches have produced plenty of goals: the teams have scored more than 2.5 goals between them in 9 of Bayern's last 10 away matches in the competition.
- Bayern Munich have scored more than 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Bayern Munich have had more than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Probable line-up: Jonas Urbig, Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Min-jae Kim, Josip Stanišić, Tom Bischof, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Alphonso Davies, Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Joshua Kimmich.
Bayern Munich list Manuel Neuer, Serge Gnabry, Luis Díaz, Ismael Saibari and Bara Sapoko Ndiaye as absent.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Bayern Munich a 41.6% chance of winning, with fair odds of 2.40. Atlético Madrid have a 34.2% chance at 2.93, while the draw has a 24.2% chance at 4.13. Market odds are 2.80 for Atlético Madrid to win, 3.95 for a draw and 2.30 for Bayern Munich to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid to win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.2% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
| Bayern Munich to win | 2.30 | 2.40 | 41.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.43 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.65. The odds are closer at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 is 1.77 and Over 3.5 is 2.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.43 |
| 3.5 | 1.77 | 2.05 |
Handicap prediction
Atlético Madrid (-1.5) are available at 4.80, while Bayern Munich (-1.5) are 3.45. For a handicap of +1.5, the odds are 1.27 for Atlético Madrid (+1.5) and 1.13 for Bayern Munich (+1.5); for a handicap of +1, they are 1.35 and 1.18 respectively. With a handicap of 0, Bayern Munich (0) at 1.75 are shorter than Atlético Madrid (0) at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 3.45 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.10 | -1 | 2.95 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 2.10 | 0 | 1.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.40, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 2.75.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.40 |
| No | 2.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
11/50
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
57/100
|
1/4
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
4/5
|
1/4
|
33/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Atlético Madrid — 1.5 goals; Bayern Munich — 1.5 goals.
Atlético Madrid team total goals
For Atlético Madrid, Over 0.5 goals is 1.18 compared with 4.05 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.38 and Under 1 is 2.80. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.03, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.32 compared with 3.10 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.80 | 1 | 1.38 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
Bayern Munich team total goals
For Bayern Munich, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.14 and Under 0.5 at 4.70; Over 1 is 1.28 and Under 1 is 3.35. At 1.5 goals, Over 1.5 and Under 1.5 have similar odds — 1.77 and 1.97 respectively — while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.55 compared with 2.40 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.40 |
