Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the away win is the favourite at 1.78, while the home win and draw are priced at roughly similar odds — 4.05 and 4.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.70. At a handicap of 0, the away side Draw No Bet at 1.35 is quoted substantially shorter than the home side Draw No Bet at 2.85.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the visitors: a Bayer win is available at 1.78, an Augsburg win at 4.05 and the draw at 4.20.
Bayer showed their attacking potential in Matchday 2, thrashing Union 4:0.
Although Augsburg have started with two wins and lead the table on 6 points (goal difference 7:1), Bayer (3 points, goal difference 6:3) remain favourites because of their overall quality and high scoring rate.
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Augsburg have made a strong start to the season with two emphatic wins: first they beat Schalke 3:0 at home, then Eintracht 4:1 away.
After the match in Frankfurt, Robin Fellhauer said the team had luck on their side in the first half, while clinical finishing made the difference after the break. This attacking efficiency is also reflected in the league-wide figures: Augsburg rank 1st in the Bundesliga with 3.5 goals scored per game.
Key numbers:
Augsburg have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
No more than 3 offsides in total were recorded in 8 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Augsburg committed no more than 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable Augsburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Finn Dahmen, Noahkai Banks, Chrislain Matsima, Calvin Brackelmann, Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder, Hennes Behrens, Arijon Ibrahimovic, Robin Fellhauer, Michael Gregoritsch
Steve Mounie, Tim Breithaupt and Kristijan Jakic are unavailable for Augsburg, while Anton Kade remains a doubt.
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer began the season with a surprise 2:3 defeat to Elversberg in Matchday 1.
The team are in the early stages of working under new head coach Carles Martinez, who took charge of the club on 1 July 2026. Despite the rebuild, Bayer remain prolific: with 3.0 goals per match, the Leverkusen side rank 3rd in the league's pre-match standings.
Key numbers:
No more than 10 corners were recorded in 8 of Bayer's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
The teams were caught offside no more than 3 times in Bayer's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Bayer were caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Probable Bayer Leverkusen line-up (4-3-3): Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutierrez, Ezequiel Fernandez, Aleix Garcia, Malik Tillman, Ibrahim Maza, Afonso Moreira, Patrik Schick
Team chances
The home win is available at 4.05; the fair odds are 4.24 and the probability is 23.6%. The draw is at 4.20, with fair odds of 4.40 and a probability of 22.7%. The away win is at 1.78, with fair odds of 1.86 and a probability of 53.7%: this is the most likely outcome.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Augsburg to win | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
Bayer Leverkusen to win | 1.78 | 1.86 | 53.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is quoted notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.70. At the 3.5 line, the odds are closer: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.80 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.00.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
3.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, the away handicap (-1.5) at 2.65 is quoted shorter than the home handicap (-1.5) at 6.50. At the 1.5 line, the away handicap (+1.5) at 1.07 is notably shorter than the home handicap (+1.5) at 1.42. At the -1 line, the odds are 5.70 for the home handicap (-1) and 2.25 for the away handicap (-1); at the 1 line, they are 1.65 for the home handicap (+1) and 1.09 for the away handicap (+1). At the level handicap, the away side Draw No Bet at 1.35 is preferred to the home side Draw No Bet at 2.85.
Home | Handicap | Away |
6.50 | -1.5 | 2.65 |
1.42 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
5.70 | -1 | 2.25 |
1.65 | 1 | 1.09 |
2.85 | 0 | 1.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.42 is quoted substantially shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.65, meaning the market is more likely to expect both teams to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.42 |
No | 2.65 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds among the double-chance options are for 12 at 1.25. X2 is at 1.27, while 1X is longer at 2.05.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.05 | 1.25 | 1.27 |
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Augsburg — 1 goal, Bayer Leverkusen — 2 goals.
Augsburg team total
Augsburg team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.27 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.40; at the line of 1, Over 1 goal at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.30. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Bayer Leverkusen team total
Bayer Leverkusen team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.07 is quoted considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 6.40. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals is at 1.52 and Under 1.5 goals at 2.45. At the line of 2, the odds are almost equal: Under 2 goals at 1.85 and Over 2 goals at 1.90. At the 2.5 mark, Under 2.5 goals at 1.50 is quoted shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.40 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.45 | 1.5 | 1.52 |
1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches — 17 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 17;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 17.
