Odds overview
Bayern Munich are clear favourites: an away win is offered at 1.18, a home win at 11.00 and a draw at 9.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.13 is strongly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 4.85.
Why Bayern Munich are favourites
Bookmakers give Bayern Munich a clear advantage: Augsburg to win is available at 11.00, a draw at 9.00 and Bayern Munich to win at 1.18.
- Bayern Munich sit second in the Bundesliga table, while Augsburg are fourth, underlining the gap in status between the teams.
- The visitors lead the league in scoring, averaging 3.5 goals per match.
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Before the international break, Augsburg lost away to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. In their previous home match, they drew with Bayer Leverkusen, generating 1.04 xG.
During the break, Augsburg played a friendly against Hertha Berlin in which goals from Ribeiro and Claude-Maurice earned a draw. Head coach Manuel Baum said the team would focus on intense running and pressing the ball closely.
- In 9 of Augsburg's last 10 home Bundesliga matches, their opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times.
- In 9 of Augsburg's last 10 home Bundesliga matches, the two teams combined for more than 25.5 shot attempts.
- Augsburg committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Augsburg line-up (3-4-2-1): Nediljko Labrovic, Juma Bah, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Calvin Brackelmann, Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Yannik Keitel, Hennes Behrens, Uchenna Ogundu, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Rodrigo Ribeiro
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
Before the league break, Bayern Munich recorded a convincing 7:0 home win over Union Berlin, with Musiala, Kane, Olise and Saibari all scoring.
Bayern Munich return to competitive action after the international break with their attack still in strong form.
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich had more than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich's opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer, Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Ismael Saibari, Luis Díaz, Harry Kane
Each team's chances
The margin-free estimate gives Augsburg an 8.7% chance of winning, with average odds of 11.00 and fair odds of 11.54. A draw has a 10.6% chance, with average odds of 9.00 and fair odds of 9.45. Bayern Munich have an 80.8% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.18 and fair odds of 1.24.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg to win | 11.00 | 11.54 | 8.7% |
| Draw | 9.00 | 9.45 | 10.6% |
| Bayern Munich to win | 1.18 | 1.24 | 80.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.13 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 4.85. Over 3.5 goals is also favoured at the 3.5-goal line, at 1.39 compared with 2.77 for Under 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
| 3.5 | 2.77 | 1.39 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Augsburg — 1 goal; Bayern Munich — 3.5 goals.
Augsburg team total goals
For Augsburg's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.39 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.77. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is offered at 1.78 and Under 1 goal at 1.97. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.38, compared with 2.81 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 | 0.5 | 1.39 |
| 1.97 | 1 | 1.78 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.81 |
Bayern Munich team total goals
For Bayern Munich's team total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.39 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.77. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.76 and Over 3.5 goals at 1.99. Under 4.5 goals is quoted at 1.31, compared with 3.15 for Over 4.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 | 2.5 | 1.39 |
| 1.76 | 3.5 | 1.99 |
| 1.31 | 4.5 | 3.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches — 19 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 19;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 19.
