Odds overview
Bayern Munich are clear favourites: they are 1.18 to win, compared with 11.00 for Augsburg and 9.00 for the draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.13 is strongly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 4.85.
Why Bayern Munich are favourites
Bookmakers give Bayern Munich a clear advantage: an Augsburg win is offered at 11.00, the draw at 9.00 and a Bayern Munich win at 1.18.
- Bayern Munich are 2nd in the Bundesliga table, while Augsburg are 4th, underlining the difference in standing between the teams.
- The visitors lead the league for goals scored, averaging 3.5 goals per match.
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Before the international break, Augsburg lost away to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. In their previous home match, they drew with Bayer Leverkusen, generating 1.04 xG.
During the break, the team played a friendly against Hertha BSC. Goals from Ribeiro and Claude-Maurice earned a draw, while head coach Manuel Baum stressed intensive running and pressing the ball tightly.
- In 9 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, their opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times.
- In 9 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, the teams combined for more than 25.5 attempted shots.
- Augsburg committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Augsburg line-up (3-4-2-1): Nediljko Labrovic, Juma Bah, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Calvin Brackelmann, Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Yannik Keitel, Hennes Behrens, Uchenna Ogundu, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Rodrigo Ribeiro
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
Before the league break, Bayern Munich claimed a convincing 7:0 home win over Union Berlin, with Musiala, Kane, Olise and Saibari among the scorers.
Bayern Munich return to competitive action after the international break with their attacking strength intact.
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich had more than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich's opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer, Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Ismael Saibari, Luis Díaz, Harry Kane
The teams' chances
A margin-free assessment gives Augsburg an 8.7% chance of winning, with average odds of 11.00 and fair odds of 11.54. The draw has a 10.6% chance, with average odds of 9.00 against fair odds of 9.45. Bayern Munich have an 80.8% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.18 and fair odds of 1.24.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg to win | 11.00 | 11.54 | 8.7% |
| Draw | 9.00 | 9.45 | 10.6% |
| Bayern Munich to win | 1.18 | 1.24 | 80.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.13 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 4.85. At the 3.5-goal line, Over 3.5 goals is also favoured — 1.39 compared with 2.77 for Under 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under total | Over total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
| 3.5 | 2.77 | 1.39 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/2
|
2/25
|
1/20
|
| 888sport |
18/5
|
2/25
|
1/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Augsburg — 1 goal; Bayern Munich — 3.5 goals.
Augsburg team goals
Augsburg team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.39 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.77; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.78 and Under 1 is 1.97; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.38 than Over 1.5 at 2.81.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 | 0.5 | 1.39 |
| 1.97 | 1 | 1.78 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.81 |
Bayern Munich team goals
Bayern Munich team goals: Over 2.5 at 1.39 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.77; at the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is 1.76 and Over 3.5 is 1.99; Under 4.5 is 1.31 compared with 3.15 for Over 4.5.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 | 2.5 | 1.39 |
| 1.76 | 3.5 | 1.99 |
| 1.31 | 4.5 | 3.15 |
