Odds overview
Augsburg are the favourites at 1.83 to win, compared with 4.05 for a draw and 3.90 for a Union Berlin win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.50, against 2.50 for Under 2.5 goals. Augsburg Draw No Bet (0) is offered at 1.38, while Union Berlin Draw No Bet (0) is 2.80.
Why Augsburg are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Augsburg are 1.83 to win, compared with 3.90 for a Union Berlin victory and 4.05 for a draw.
- Augsburg are ahead of their opponents in the table: after 6 matches, the hosts were 10th with 8 points, while Union Berlin were 17th with 5.
- The visitors' main weakness is their defence: Union Berlin have conceded an average of 2.83 goals per game this season — the second-worst record in the league.
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Augsburg lost 3:4 to Elversberg in the previous round, having conceded three goals by the 28th minute. They tried to get back into the game through two penalties, but a closely contested spell early in the second half produced almost no clear chances.
At home, however, they have looked much more assured: Augsburg have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches, steadily collecting points in front of their own fans.
- Augsburg have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Augsburg have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Finn Dahmen, Juma Bah, Chrislain Matsima, Calvin Brackelmann, Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder, Hennes Behrens, Arijon Ibrahimovic, Robin Fellhauer, Rodrigo Ribeiro
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin withstood the pressure from Borussia Dortmund in the last round and earned a 0:0 draw, keeping a second consecutive clean sheet in a hard-fought contest.
Union Berlin have struggled in attack away from home, however: they have registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, while their average of 0.83 goals per game was the second-lowest in the league.
- Union Berlin have lost 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Over 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin have attempted fewer than 12.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Frederik Rønnow, Janik Haberer, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Michel Aebischer, Andras Schafer, Rani Khedira, Kastriot Imeri, Jeong Woo-yeong, Tim Skarke
Teams' chances
Augsburg to win: average odds of 1.83, fair odds of 1.92 and a 52.1% probability. Draw: 4.05, 4.25 and 23.5%; Union Berlin to win: 3.90, 4.09 and 24.4%, respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg to win | 1.83 | 1.92 | 52.1% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.25 | 23.5% |
| Union Berlin to win | 3.90 | 4.09 | 24.4% |
Total goals betting analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.50. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.68, against 2.20 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.68 | 2.20 |
Handicap betting analysis
Augsburg (-1.5) are quoted at 2.65, while Union Berlin (-1.5) are 6.70. On the +1.5 handicap line, Augsburg (+1.5) are 1.06 and Union Berlin (+1.5) are 1.42; on the -1 line, the odds are 2.25 and 5.90. Augsburg (+1) are 1.08 against 1.63 for Union Berlin (+1), while Augsburg (0) are 1.38 against 2.80 for Union Berlin (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.42 |
| 2.25 | -1 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.38 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score betting analysis
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.50, while Both teams to score – No is 2.55: the option in which both teams score has shorter odds.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 2 goals for Augsburg and 1 goal for Union Berlin.
Augsburg team total goals
Augsburg team total goals: Under 0.5 goals is 5.60 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.09; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 2.30 and 1.60. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.70 against 2.07 for Over 2 goals; at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals is 1.40 and Over 2.5 goals is 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.07 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Union Berlin team total goals
Union Berlin team total goals: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 2.05 and Over 1 goal is 1.72; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.47 against 2.60 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1.47 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robin Braun (Germany)
Matches — 11 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 11;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 11.
