Odds overview
Austria are favourites: an Austria win is available at 1.55, compared with 4.30 for a draw and 6.10 for a Kosovo win. In the total goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.00. The handicap odds are almost level: Austria (-1) at 1.88 and Kosovo (+1) at 1.92.
Why Austria are favourites
Bookmakers make the hosts favourites: Austria are available at 1.55 to win, the draw at 4.30 and Kosovo at 6.10.
• Austria began the tournament with a convincing 3:1 win over Israel, confirming their status as one of the favourites in their group.
• Kosovo also beat the Republic of Ireland 1:0, but did not score the winner until the 83rd minute, and playing away makes the visitors' task harder.
Form and Line-up Austria
Head coach Ralf Rangnick stressed his commitment to counter-pressing ahead of the September fixtures while bringing in new players to assess the squad.
Austria beat Israel in the opening round, scoring twice late on after an Israel player was sent off in the 56th minute. Forward Michael Gregoritsch was injured in that match — his place in the starting line-up is in doubt. Austria control games confidently at home and have not been outshot in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Austria had more than 13.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Austria had more than 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Austria's opponents had fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of Austria's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Austria line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Schlager, Stefan Posch, Philipp Lienhart, Kevin Danso, Phillipp Mwene, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Patrick Wimmer, Romano Schmid, Marco Grüll, Saša Kalajdžić
Absentees: Dejan Ljubicic, Florian Grillitsch, Konrad Laimer, Michael Svoboda (injured); Michael Gregoritsch (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Kosovo
The visitors' head coach Franco Foda is gradually refreshing his squad: 22-year-old midfielder Dion Kacuri has received his first call-up, while Valmir Matoshi and Vesel Demaku, who play for Austrian clubs, have only recently joined the Kosovo squad.
Kosovo's matches regularly feature goals: at least one goal was scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League games.
- Kosovo had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Kosovo had more than 11.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Kosovo's opponents had fewer than 12.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Kosovo line-up (3-4-2-1): Arijanet Muric, Mergim Vojvoda, Lumbardh Dellova, Ilir Krasniqi, Albian Hajdari, Dion Gallapeni, Edon Zhegrova, Veldin Hodza, Leon Avdullahu, Baton Zabërgja, Vedat Muriqi
Absentees: Donat Rrudhani, Kreshnik Hajrizi (injured)
Teams' chances
Austria to win: odds of 1.55, fair odds of 1.61 and a probability of 61.9%. Draw: 4.30, 4.48 and 22.3%; Kosovo to win: 6.10, 6.35 and 15.7%. The market rates an Austria win considerably more likely.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria to win | 1.55 | 1.61 | 61.9% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.48 | 22.3% |
| Kosovo to win | 6.10 | 6.35 | 15.7% |
Total goals prediction
In the totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.00, suggesting a slight lean towards a high-scoring match. At 3.5 goals, Under at 1.40 is considerably more likely than Over at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Austria (-1.5) at 2.40 has longer odds than Kosovo (+1.5) at 1.53. At a one-goal handicap, the odds are almost level: Austria (-1) at 1.88 and Kosovo (+1) at 1.92. Austria Draw No Bet (0) at 1.18 is favoured over Kosovo Draw No Bet (0) at 4.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.53 | |
| 1.88 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.92 | |
| 1.18 | 0 | 4.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.85, and Both teams to score — No at 1.90. The odds are close, with a slight edge for both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
| William Hill |
3/25
|
11/50
|
29/20
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
11/50
|
7/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Austria — 1.5 goals; Kosovo — 0.5 goals.
Austria team total goals
Austria team total goals: Under 0.5 — 5.90, Over 0.5 — 1.08; Under 1 — 4.20, Over 1 — 1.17; Under 1.5 — 2.20, Over 1.5 — 1.63; Under 2 — 1.63, Over 2 — 2.20. The market strongly favours Austria scoring at least once, while Under is favoured at the 2-goal line.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.20 | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| 1.63 | 2 | 2.20 |
Kosovo team total goals
Kosovo team total goals: Under 0.5 — 2.18, Over 0.5 — 1.65; Under 1 — 1.40, Over 1 — 2.70; Under 1.5 — 1.20, Over 1.5 — 3.90. A Kosovo goal is rated more likely than no Kosovo goal, but the market clearly favours Under at the 1 and 1.5-goal lines.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.70 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.90 |
