Odds overview
AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites: they are around 1.28 to win, compared with roughly 6.20 for a draw and 9.60 for a Hapoel Beer Sheva win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.51. AZ Alkmaar (-1.5) are available at around 1.78, while Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1.5) are 1.96.
Why AZ Alkmaar are favourites
Bookmakers make AZ Alkmaar clear favourites: a win for the Dutch side is offered at 1.28, a draw at 6.20 and a Hapoel Beer Sheva win at 9.60.
- The gap in the odds reflects the visitors' difficulties away from home in Europe: Hapoel Beer Sheva have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- The Israeli side's defence allows opponents few clear chances — their opponents average just 0.27 xG against them — but home advantage still puts AZ Alkmaar ahead in the market's view.
Form and Line-up AZ Alkmaar
In their latest league match, AZ Alkmaar lost 0:2 away to Feyenoord and surrendered top spot in the table to their opponents. They have also struggled to create chances in Europe so far: an average of 0.0 goals puts them last among 36 clubs in the pre-match UEFA Europa League figures.
- AZ Alkmaar committed more than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- AZ Alkmaar's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- AZ Alkmaar's opponents were caught offside fewer than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable AZ Alkmaar line-up (4-3-3): Jari De Busser, Elijah Dijkstra, Wouter Goes, Lewis Schouten, Mateo Chávez, Jordy Clasie, Calvin Stengs, Peer Koopmeiners, Ayoub Oufkir, Mexx Meerdink, Ro-Zangelo Daal
Form and Line-up Hapoel Beer Sheva
The Israeli club go into this European match after a 2:0 domestic league win over Ironi Tiberias. João Victor and Amankwah Forson scored their first goals for the team in that game, although one domestic success does not yet establish a sustained improvement in their scoring on the international stage.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva had fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Hapoel Beer Sheva line-up (4-2-3-1): Ofir Marciano, Guy Mizrahi, Djibril Diop, Miguel Vitor, Pedro Amador, Amankwah Forson, Lucas Ventura, Hamudi Kanaan, Javon East, Igor Zlatanović, João Victor
The teams' chances
The average odds for an AZ Alkmaar win are 1.28; the fair odds are 1.34, implying a 74.6% probability. A draw is offered at 6.20, with fair odds of 6.49 and a 15.4% probability. A Hapoel Beer Sheva win is quoted at 9.60, with fair odds of 10.05 and a 10.0% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar win | 1.28 | 1.34 | 74.6% |
| Draw | 6.20 | 6.49 | 15.4% |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva win | 9.60 | 10.05 | 10.0% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.51, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.47. At a line of 2, Under 2 goals is quoted at 4.05, compared with 1.19 for Over 2 goals. At a line of 3.5, Under 3.5 goals is 1.63 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.17.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.51 | 1.47 |
| 2 | 4.05 | 1.19 |
| 3.5 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
Handicap prediction
At a handicap line of -1.5, AZ Alkmaar (-1.5) are offered at 1.78 and Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1.5) at 1.96. At a line of -1, the odds are 1.49 for AZ Alkmaar (-1) and 2.46 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | -1.5 | 1.96 |
| 1.49 | -1 | 2.46 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| William Hill |
11/100
|
9/50
|
9/5
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
9/50
|
9/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The team goals markets reflect a clear advantage for AZ Alkmaar in expected attacking output.
AZ Alkmaar team goals
AZ Alkmaar team goals: Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 6.90, compared with 1.05 for Over 0.5 goals. At a line of 2, Under 2 goals is 2.45 and Over 2 goals is 1.50; at a line of 2.5, the odds are 1.74 for Under 2.5 goals and 2.01 for Over 2.5 goals. At a line of 3, Under 3 goals is offered at 1.40 and Over 3 goals at 2.77.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.90 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 2 | 1.50 |
| 1.74 | 2.5 | 2.01 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.77 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva team goals
Hapoel Beer Sheva team goals: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.05 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.71. At a line of 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.18, compared with 4.15 for Over 1.5 goals. At a line of 2.5, Under 2.5 goals is 1.02 and Over 2.5 goals is 8.40.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.5 | 1.71 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.02 | 2.5 | 8.40 |
