Odds overview
Juventus are favourites: a Juventus win is available at 1.95, while an AZ Alkmaar win and a draw are quoted at around 3.75–3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.00. For the main handicap, Juventus (0) at 1.45 are considerably shorter than AZ Alkmaar (0) at 2.70.
Why Juventus are favourites
Juventus are the bookmakers' favourites. A win for the Turin club is offered at 1.95, a draw at 3.80 and an AZ Alkmaar win at 3.75.
- Juventus are unbeaten in the competition: the Italian side have not lost any of their last 10 Europa League matches.
- AZ Alkmaar have won just three of their last eight matches in all competitions.
- Juventus average three goals per game in the Europa League; only leaders Benfica score more (3.33).
Form and Line-up AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar head into this European fixture after defeats in the Dutch league: on 31 October, they narrowly lost away to Ajax (0:1), having previously lost at home to Twente (0:2). The Dutch side began their Europa League campaign with a defeat to Sunderland (0:1), but then recorded two consecutive wins — against Hapoel Tel Aviv (2:1) and Ararat-Armenia (4:0).
- AZ Alkmaar's opponents have scored fewer than three goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- AZ Alkmaar have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable AZ Alkmaar line-up (4-2-3-1): Jari De Busser, Seiya Maikuma, Wesley Hoedt, Lewis Schouten, Mees de Wit, Peer Koopmeiners, Dave Kwakman, Weslley Patati, Valdemar Byskov, Ayoub Oufkir, Bendegúz Kovács.
Absentees: Jizz Hornkamp, Stije Resink, Kees Smit, Jeroen Zoet (all injured).
Form and Line-up Juventus
In their most recent Serie A round, Juventus kept a clean sheet in a home win over Napoli (2:0). But that victory followed an away setback: on 28 October, the Turin side lost to Genoa (0:2). In the Europa League, the Italians recorded wins over NEC Nijmegen (5:0) and Celta (2:1), but then dropped points against Rennes (2:2).
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Juventus's last 10 Europa League matches.
- Juventus have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable Juventus line-up (3-4-1-2): Guglielmo Vicario, Lloyd Kelly, Bremer, Federico Gatti, Pierre Kalulu, Teun Koopmeiners, Douglas Luiz, Andrea Cambiaso, Weston McKennie, Nick Woltemade, Randal Kolo Muani.
Absentees: Kenan Yıldız, Manuel Locatelli, Khephren Thuram, Francisco Conceição, Nicolás González, Zeki Celik, Edon Zhegrova, Kamil Grabara (all injured).
The teams' chances
An AZ Alkmaar win is offered at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.91 and a probability of 25.6%. A draw is available at 3.80, with fair odds of 3.96 and a probability of 25.2%. A Juventus win is offered at 1.95, with fair odds of 2.03 and a probability of 49.2%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar win | 3.75 | 3.91 | 25.6% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.96 | 25.2% |
| Juventus win | 1.95 | 2.03 | 49.2% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.80, so the market slightly favours the over. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Handicap analysis
AZ Alkmaar (-1.5) are available at 6.70, compared with 3.35 for Juventus (-1.5). At the 1.5-goal line, AZ Alkmaar (+1.5) are quoted at 1.28 and Juventus (+1.5) at 1.06. AZ Alkmaar (-1) are offered at 5.90 and Juventus (-1) at 2.65. AZ Alkmaar (+1) are available at 1.42, compared with 1.08 for Juventus (+1). At the 0-goal line, AZ Alkmaar (0) are available at 2.70 and Juventus (0) at 1.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | -1.5 | 3.35 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.90 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.42 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2.70 | 0 | 1.45 |
Both teams to score analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.68, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is quoted at 2.10. The market considers goals from both teams more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
83/100
|
1/4
|
1/4
|
| William Hill |
4/5
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
| 888sport |
4/5
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: AZ Alkmaar — 1 goal; Juventus — 1.5 goals.
AZ Alkmaar team goals
AZ Alkmaar under 0.5 goals is available at 2.75 and AZ Alkmaar over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, AZ Alkmaar under 1 goal is quoted at 1.90 and AZ Alkmaar over 1 goal at 1.85. At the 1.5-goal line, AZ Alkmaar under 1.5 goals is available at 1.40 and AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals at 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Juventus team goals
Juventus under 0.5 goals is offered at 4.50 and Juventus over 0.5 goals at 1.15. Juventus under 1 goal is available at 3.20, while Juventus over 1 goal is at 1.30. At the 1.5-goal line, Juventus under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.85 and Juventus over 1.5 goals at 1.90. At the 2-goal line, Juventus under 2 goals is available at 1.38 and Juventus over 2 goals at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.20 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Damian Sylwestrzak (Poland)
Matches — 12 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.7;
Matches with red cards — 2 out of 12;
Matches with penalties — 8 out of 12.
