Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan host Lithuania at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium on Matchday 4 of League D Group 2 in the 2026–27 UEFA Nations League 4 October 2026 at 09:00 EDT / 06:00 PDT.
We compare the bookmakers' odds and examine the main betting options for this match.
UEFA Nations League matches between teams of this level rarely turn into open shootouts. When both national sides struggle to build attacks in possession, goals naturally become scarce, while the 2-goal totals line offers a refund if a couple of goals go in by chance.
Azerbaijan very rarely score more than one goal at home — they have done so just twice in their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches. Their recent meeting with Liechtenstein ended 0:0, after which Aykhan Abbasov explicitly highlighted the team's slow tempo and poor finishing. The national side should have won that game: they recorded 2.48 xG and 25 shots. Unsurprisingly, 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions stayed under 3.5 goals.
Lithuania adopt a similarly cagey approach: 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions produced no more than two goals. They stick to cautious football away from home in the UEFA Nations League — 9 of their last 10 matches featured no more than three goals in total.
The main risk to a low goals total is a 1:1 or 2:0 scoreline: over 1.5 goals landed in 8 of 10 matches for both national sides across all competitions. That makes backing a very low total too risky, whereas a line that offers a refund at two goals allows for a typical exchange of chances.
A slow, cagey match looks likely, so my final prediction is under 2 goals.
GustavoCorreia (Portugal)
Matches — 6 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 18;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 6.
|
Aykhan Abbasov
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Emil Balayev
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Bədavi Hüseynov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Rahil Mammadov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Rüfət Abbasov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Rəhman Daşdəmirov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Toral Bayramov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Abdulla Xaybulayev
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Aleksey İsayev
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Oruc Mammadov
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Tellur Mütəllimov
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Mahir Emreli
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
Aydın Bayramov
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Rəvan Mirzəmmədov
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Anton Krivotsyuk
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Elvin Badalov
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Anatoli Nuriyev
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Ceyhun Nuriyev
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Emin Mahmudov
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Rüfat Abdullazada
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Vüsal Isgandarli
|
fw. | 3 | 0 |
|
Emil Safarov
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Musa Qurbanly
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Renat Dadaşov
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Edgaras Jankauskas
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Tomas Švedkauskas
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Edgaras Utkus
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Justas Lasickas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Rokas Lekiatas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Vilius Armalas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Adrian Lickūnas
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Gvidas Gineitis
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Modestas Vorobjovas
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Vykintas Slivka
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Armandas Kučys
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Artūr Dolžnikov
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
Džiugas Bartkus
|
gk. | 2 | -1 |
Lukas Paukštė
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Artemijus Tutyškinas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Deividas Malžinskas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Kipras Kažukolovas
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Domantas Šluta
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
Lukas Michelbrink
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Eligijus Jankauskas
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Faustas Steponavičius
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ignas Venckus
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Manfredas Ruzgis
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Motiejus Burba
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein
Lithuania
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
Lithuania
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
| # | Team |
|
|
|
Matches played
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
G
|
Points
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Azerbaijan
|
1:0 | 0:0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
2:1
|
5 | |
2 |
Lithuania
|
1:1 | -:- | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
3:2
|
4 | |
3 |
Liechtenstein
|
-:- | 0:2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
0:2
|
1 |
