Odds overview
Barcelona to win at 1.09 is the clear favourite, with the draw at 11.00 and Deportivo Alavés to win at 24.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.20 has much shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 3.95.
Why Barcelona are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.09 on a Barcelona win — the hosts are clear favourites. The draw is available at 11.00 and a Deportivo Alavés win at 24.00.
- Barcelona have been strong at home in the league, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Deportivo Alavés have failed to win 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Barcelona have not lost to Deportivo Alavés in their last nine home meetings.
Form and Line-up Barcelona
Barcelona come into the match on the back of two successive defeats. On 25 October, they lost 1:2 at home to Real Madrid, having previously lost 2:4 away to Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on 20 October. Barcelona had scored freely in their earlier October matches, though: they thrashed Real Betis Balompié 5:2 on 17 October and beat Galatasaray 4:1 away in the UEFA Champions League on 13 October.
- Barcelona have had more than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Barcelona have taken more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
Probable Barcelona line-up (4-3-3): Joan García, João Cancelo, Pau Cubarsí, Gerard Martín, Alejandro Balde, Pedri, Fermín López, Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, Anthony Gordon.
Absentees: Dani Olmo, Xavi Espart, Andreas Christensen, Roony Bardghji (all injured); Eric García and Jules Koundé (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés drew 1:1 with Málaga in their most recent match on 23 October. Before that, they lost 1:2 away to Celta on 18 October and 1:2 at home to Atlético Madrid on 10 October.
- Deportivo Alavés have committed more than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- The total number of corners has not exceeded 10.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable Deportivo Alavés line-up (5-3-2): Antonio Sivera, Ángel Pérez, Nahuel Tenaglia, Ville Koski, Nicolás Valentini, Abderrahman Rebbach, Pablo Ibáñez, Antonio Blanco, Carles Aleñá, Lucas Boyé, Mariano Díaz.
Absentees: Mikel Rodriguez and Facundo Garcés (both injured).
The teams' chances
The average odds on a Barcelona win are 1.09, with fair odds of 1.14 and a probability of 87.4%. The draw is available at 11.00, with fair odds of 11.55 and a probability of 8.7%; the corresponding figures for a Deportivo Alavés win are 24.00, 25.20 and 4.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win | 1.09 | 1.14 | 87.4% |
| Draw | 11.00 | 11.55 | 8.7% |
| Deportivo Alavés to win | 24.00 | 25.20 | 4.0% |
Total goals outlook
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is available at 3.95 and Over at 1.20. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 6.50 against 1.06 for Over; at 3.5 goals, the odds are much closer, with Under at 2.32 and Over at 1.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.95 | 1.20 |
| 2 | 6.50 | 1.06 |
| 3.5 | 2.32 | 1.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
3/50
|
6/1
|
| 888sport |
1/100
|
1/20
|
13/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals outlook
The team goals markets favour Barcelona scoring far more strongly than Deportivo Alavés.
Barcelona team goals
For Barcelona, Under 3 goals is available at 2.25 and Over 3 at 1.60. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is 1.79 and Over 1.95; at 4 goals, Under is quoted at 1.42 against 2.75 for Over.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3 | 1.60 |
| 1.79 | 3.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.42 | 4 | 2.75 |
Deportivo Alavés team goals
For Deportivo Alavés, Under 0.5 goals is available at 1.81 and Over at 1.93. Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.11 against 5.20 for Over; at the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.01 and Over 9.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 0.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.50 |
