Odds overview
Barcelona are clear favourites: a Barcelona win is available at 1.25, while a draw is 6.70 and an Aston Villa win is 9.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.22 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 3.85. For the handicaps, Barcelona (-1.5) at 1.60 have shorter odds than Aston Villa (1.5) at 2.25.
Why Barcelona are favourites
Bookmakers make Barcelona favourites: a win for the Catalan club is offered at 1.25, a draw at 6.70 and an Aston Villa win at 9.50.
- Barcelona have consistently achieved positive results, avoiding defeat in eight of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- Aston Villa are vulnerable away from home and prone to setbacks: on 28 October, they lost 0:3 to Bournemouth without scoring.
Form and Line-up Barcelona
On 31 October, Barcelona thrashed Alavés 6:1. Before that, they lost 1:2 to Real Madrid on 25 October, having beaten Betis convincingly 5:2 on 17 October.
Lamine Yamal has two goals and four assists in three Champions League appearances. Raphinha has also been productive, scoring twice in two matches in the competition.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Barcelona's last ten matches across all official competitions.
- Barcelona have had more than 5.5 shots on target in nine of their last ten official matches.
Probable line-up: Joan García, Pau Cubarsí, Gerard Martín, João Cancelo, Alejandro Balde, Marc Bernal, Fermín López, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Anthony Gordon, Raphinha
Dani Olmo, Eric García, Andreas Christensen and Xavi Espart will miss out for Barcelona through injury.
Form and Line-up Aston Villa
Aston Villa drew 1:1 with Fulham on 31 October. Before that, the Birmingham club beat Manchester City 2:1 on 24 October and Viking 3:1 on 21 October.
Nicolas Jackson and Ross Barkley have each scored three goals in three Champions League matches this season. Barkley has also provided an assist.
- Aston Villa have avoided defeat in eight of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- The two teams have combined for more than 5.5 shots on target in nine of Aston Villa's last ten official matches.
Probable line-up: Zion Suzuki, Tyrone Mings, Pau Torres, Victor Lindelöf, Joao Gomes, Ross Barkley, John McGinn, Ibrahim Mbaye, Emiliano Buendía, Alisson, Nicolas Jackson
Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Amadou Onana and Matteo Ruggeri will miss out for Aston Villa through injury.
The teams' chances
Barcelona to win is available at 1.25, with fair odds of 1.32 and a probability of 75.9%. A draw is quoted at 6.70, with fair odds of 7.07 and a probability of 14.2%; Aston Villa to win is available at 9.50, with fair odds of 10.02 and a probability of 10.0%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win | 1.25 | 1.32 | 75.9% |
| Draw | 6.70 | 7.07 | 14.2% |
| Aston Villa to win | 9.50 | 10.02 | 10.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.22 has considerably shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 3.85. At the 3.5-goal line, Over 3.5 goals is also favoured — 1.55 compared with 2.40 for Under 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.85 | 1.22 |
| 3.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
Handicap prediction
Barcelona (-1.5) are offered at 1.60, while Aston Villa (1.5) are 2.25. At the 1-goal line, Barcelona (-1) are 1.32 and Aston Villa (1) are 3.10. With a zero handicap, Barcelona (0) at 1.07 have considerably shorter odds than Aston Villa (0) at 6.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.25 | |
| 1.32 | -1 | |
| 1 | 3.10 | |
| 1.07 | 0 | 6.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.50, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is available at 2.50.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/25
|
1/10
|
11/4
|
| William Hill |
3/50
|
11/100
|
29/10
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
11/100
|
29/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Barcelona — 3 goals; Aston Villa — 1 goal.
Barcelona team total goals
For Barcelona, Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 3-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 3 goals is 1.90 and Over 3 goals is 1.85. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.5 | 1.58 |
| 1.90 | 3 | 1.85 |
| 1.60 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
Aston Villa team total goals
For Aston Villa, Over 0.5 goals at 1.47 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.60 and Over 1 goal is 2.25; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.27 compared with 3.40 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.25 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
