Odds overview
Bayer Leverkusen are available at around 1.40 to win, with the draw at 5.30 and an Olympique Marseille win at 6.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) are offered at 2.03, slightly longer odds than Olympique Marseille (+1.5) at 1.80.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bayer Leverkusen are the bookmakers' favourites, with a home win available at 1.40. The draw is offered at 5.30 and an Olympique Marseille win at 6.80.
- Bayer Leverkusen have not lost any of their last ten home matches in the competition.
- Olympique Marseille have failed to win nine of their last ten away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won three UEFA Europa League matches, while Olympique Marseille have lost three.
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen lost 2:4 at home to Stuttgart on 31 October. Earlier, on 28 October, they were involved in another high-scoring match, this time beating Nürnberg 5:2. Bayer Leverkusen have a perfect record in the UEFA Europa League, with wins over Celje (2:0), Lech Poznań (4:0) and OFI Crete (2:0).
- Bayer Leverkusen have avoided defeat in eight of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored more than 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Janis Blaswich, Lucas Vázquez, Jarell Quansah, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez, Ezequiel Fernández, Aleix García, Jonas Hofmann, Malik Tillman, Afonso Moreira, Patrick Schick.
Absentees: Eliesse Ben Seghir, Moussa Diaby, Christian Kofane and Martin Terrier (all injured); Kennet Eichhorn (illness); Loïc Badé, Guéla Doué and Nathan Tella (all doubtful).
Form and Line-up Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille beat Toulouse 2:0 at home on 1 November. Earlier, on 25 October, they won a tight match against Le Havre 4:3. But Marseille have had little to celebrate in the UEFA Europa League so far: the French club have lost all three matches in this season's competition — to Beşiktaş (1:4), Olympiacos (0:1) and Sturm Graz (0:1).
- Olympique Marseille have lost six of their last ten official matches.
- Olympique Marseille have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange, Timothy Weah, Bamo Meïté, Nayef Aguerd, Ulisses Garcia, Tochukwu Nnadi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amine Harit, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri.
Absentees: Derek Cornelius (injured), Emerson (doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Bayer Leverkusen win has average odds of 1.40, fair odds of 1.47 and a probability of 68.0%. For the draw, the figures are 5.30, 5.57 and 18.0%; for an Olympique Marseille win, they are 6.80, 7.14 and 14.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen win | 1.40 | 1.47 | 68.0% |
| Draw | 5.30 | 5.57 | 18.0% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 6.80 | 7.14 | 14.0% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.60 and Over 2.5 at 1.45. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.72 and Over 3.5 at 2.12.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
Handicap analysis
Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) are available at 2.03 and Olympique Marseille (+1.5) at 1.80. On the one-goal handicap line, Bayer Leverkusen (-1) are offered at 1.58 and Olympique Marseille (+1) at 2.30. For the zero handicap, Bayer Leverkusen (0) are at 1.13, compared with 4.70 for Olympique Marseille (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.80 | |
| 1.58 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.30 | |
| 1.13 | 0 | 4.70 |
Both teams to score analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.68, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is at 2.12.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
7/50
|
2/1
|
| William Hill |
11/100
|
17/100
|
19/10
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
17/100
|
19/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals totals analysis
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goals totals: Bayer Leverkusen — 2.5 goals; Olympique Marseille — 0.5 goals.
Bayer Leverkusen team goals total
For Bayer Leverkusen, Under 0.5 goals is available at 8.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.03. On the two-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 2.20 and Over 2 at 1.63; on the 2.5-goal line, the respective odds are 1.68 and 2.10. Under 3 is available at 1.35 and Over 3 at 3.00.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.20 | 2 | 1.63 |
| 1.68 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.35 | 3 | 3.00 |
Olympique Marseille team goals total
For Olympique Marseille, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.58. On the one-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.53 compared with 2.40 for Over 1; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.25 and Over 1.5 at 3.45.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.58 |
| 1.53 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Orel Grinfeld (Israel)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.2;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 8;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 8.
