Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Bayern Munich are favourites at 2.10, Arsenal are available at 3.20 and the draw is quoted at 3.85. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. With a handicap of 0, Bayern Munich (0) at 1.60 are favoured over Arsenal (0) at 2.35.
Why Bayern Munich are favourites
Bookmakers make Bayern Munich favourites for the upcoming match: a home win is quoted at 2.10, while an Arsenal win is offered at 3.20 and the draw at 3.85.
• Bayern Munich have traditionally been strong at home in European competition, losing just 1 of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
• The hosts come into the match in high spirits after a convincing 6:1 Bundesliga win over RB Leipzig.
• In October, Harry Kane scored seven goals in five matches for club and country.
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich had two setbacks in the first half of October — draws with Augsburg (2:2) in the Bundesliga and Viking (3:3) in the UEFA Champions League — but on that Saturday, Vincent Kompany's side bounced back against fellow Champions League participants RB Leipzig (6:1). Bayern regained top spot in the domestic league but sit 10th in the Champions League after two matchdays.
- In 9 of Bayern Munich's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches, their opponents took fewer than 4.5 corners.
- Bayern Munich had more than 13.5 shots in all of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- Bayern Munich's players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- There were fewer than 23.5 fouls in each of Bayern Munich's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig, Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Lennart Karl, Ismael Saibari, Luis Díaz, Harry Kane
Unavailable: Michael Olise (suspended), Jamal Musiala (injured), Manuel Neuer (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Arsenal
Arsenal head into this away match after a 1:0 win over Nottingham Forest. It kept the London club within three points of Premier League leaders Manchester City. It was a second successive clean sheet for Mikel Arteta's side: earlier that week, they had beaten Lille 3:0 at home in the UEFA Champions League. Arsenal are short of players only on the left flank, with Piero Hincapié and Christos Tzolis injured. William Saliba has yet to appear this season.
- There were fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
- Arsenal's opponents scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
- There were fewer than 10.5 shots on target in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
- There were fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of Arsenal's last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Jurriën Timber, Ezri Konsa, Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Declan Rice, Bruno Guimarães, Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, Ebere Eze, Kai Havertz
Unavailable: Piero Hincapié, William Saliba, Christos Tzolis (injured)
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Bayern Munich a 45.4% chance, with average odds of 2.10 for a home win and fair odds of 2.20. The corresponding figures are 24.8%, 3.85 and 4.04 for the draw, and 29.8%, 3.20 and 3.35 for an Arsenal win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.4% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.04 | 24.8% |
| Arsenal win | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap line, Bayern Munich (-1.5) are available at 3.50 and Arsenal (-1.5) at 5.70. At +1.5, Bayern Munich (+1.5) have shorter odds of 1.09, compared with 1.25 for Arsenal (+1.5). Bayern Munich (-1) at 2.85 are shorter than Arsenal (-1) at 4.90, while Bayern Munich (+1) are at 1.12 compared with 1.37 for Arsenal (+1). At a handicap of 0, Bayern Munich (0) at 1.60 are favoured over Arsenal (0) at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.85 | -1 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.50 looks more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.45, which would mean at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.45 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
3/10
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Bayern Munich — 1.5 goals; Arsenal — 1.5 goals.
Bayern Munich team goals
Bayern Munich team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.13 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.90, while Over 1 at 1.25 is shorter than Under 1 at 3.45. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.91 and Over 1.5 is 1.83. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.47 is favoured over Over 2 at 2.60.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.91 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.47 | 2 | 2.60 |
Arsenal team goals
Arsenal team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.25 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.50, while Over 1 at 1.52 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.45. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.60 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.30, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.18 is considerably shorter than Over 2 at 4.10.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.52 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.18 | 2 | 4.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches — 15 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 15.
