The DFB-Pokal quarter-final between Bayern Munich and RasenBallsport Leipzig will take place on 11 February at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayern Munich
In the previous round, Bayern Munich beat Union away from home (3:2). That victory was the club’s fifth in their last six matches in the DFB-Pokal (one defeat), and in every one of those wins Bayern Munich scored at least three goals. However, the side have failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive games in the national cup. Surprisingly, Bayern Munich have reached the quarter-finals only for the second time in the last six seasons. Before that, Bayern Munich lifted the trophy in back-to-back years.
- At least four goals have been scored in five of the team’s last six matches in the national cup.
- At home in this tournament, the club have gone nine matches without a draw (six wins, three defeats).
- Bayern Munich have conceded in six straight home matches in the DFB-Pokal.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)*
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer – Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Luis Diaz – Harry Kane.
RasenBallsport Leipzig
In the last round, Ole Werner’s men thrashed Energie away from home (4:1). As a result, RasenBallsport Leipzig have won seven of their previous nine matches in the DFB-Pokal and have been highly prolific in that spell: only in the two defeats during this run did the club score fewer than three goals. The team’s recent DFB-Pokal record is better than that of their upcoming opponents. The club have reached the quarter-finals in five of the last six editions and have lifted the trophy twice in that period.
- Both teams have scored in five of the team’s previous seven DFB-Pokal matches.
- Away from home, the club have won six of their last eight matches in this tournament (two defeats).
- A goal in both halves has been scored in eight of the previous nine away matches of RasenBallsport Leipzig in the national cup.
Potential RasenBallsport Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Maarten Vandevoordt – David Raum, Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba – Ezechiel Banzuzi, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald – Konrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, defender Castello Lukeba and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo are injured.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 7 (DFB-Pokal, 2022/23 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second cautions) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 14%.
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Match Prediction
Just under a month ago the teams met in the league. Up to the 50th minute, RasenBallsport Leipzig were leading 1:0, but then Bayern Munich stepped it up and put five past their opponents. Head-to-head meetings between these clubs are generally high-scoring too: at least four goals were scored in five of the last six Bundesliga clashes. We think the cup tie will follow the same pattern.
Bayern Munich continue to strike fear into opposing defences. Vincent Kompany’s side are comfortably the top scorers in the league. The club have backed that up in the DFB-Pokal as well, scoring at least three goals in five of their last six matches. However, defensive issues have also followed them in this competition: Bayern Munich have conceded in five of their previous seven games, including against lower-league opposition.
RasenBallsport Leipzig sit in the top five for goals scored in the 2025/26 Bundesliga. At the same time, Ole Werner’s men have conceded the most among the teams in the European qualification places. In the DFB-Pokal, the club have failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight matches, but their scoring run now stands at eight games, and in six matches during that stretch RasenBallsport Leipzig scored at least three times.
Prediction: Over 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
