Odds Overview
Real Madrid are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.33, while the draw is 5.50 and the home win is 9.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.37 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.85. In the main handicap market, Real Madrid (-1.5) at 1.85 looks slightly preferable to Elche (+1.5) at 1.95.
Why Real Madrid Are the Match Favourites
Bookmakers clearly favour the visitors: a Real Madrid win is available at 1.33, the draw is 5.50, and an Elche win is 9.00.
• Real Madrid are second in the table after five matches with 12 points and lead the league in scoring, averaging 2.8 goals per game.
• The hosts have serious defensive problems: Elche concede an average of 2.6 goals per match, the second-worst record in the league.
Form and Line-up Elche
In their previous match, Elche drew 1:1 with Athletic thanks to a Facundo Buonanotte penalty. Analytical reports noted that the team were more organised than in previous rounds, staying compact and pressing effectively in defence.
- At least 8 shots on target were recorded in 8 of Elche's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Elche committed at least 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Elche received no more than 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable Elche line-up (4-4-1-1): Matias Dituro, Buba Sangare, Roy Revivo, Federico Redondo, Victor Chust, Javier Morcillo, German Valera, Gonzalo Villar, Tete Morente, Fernando Nino, Facundo Buonanotte
Form and Line-up Real Madrid
In the last round, Real Madrid confidently beat Rayo Vallecano 4:1. However, head coach Jose Mourinho noted that the team dropped their physical energy, concentration and pressing intensity in the second half.
- Real Madrid won at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- No more than 3 goals were scored in 10 of Real Madrid's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- No more than 4 offsides were recorded in 9 of Real Madrid's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable Real Madrid line-up (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois, Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konate, Antonio Rudiger, Alvaro Carreras, Bernardo Silva, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappe
Team Chances
Average odds: home win — 9.00, draw — 5.50, away win — 1.33. Fair odds give Elche a 9.40 chance and a 10.6% probability of winning, the draw 5.75 and 17.4%, and Real Madrid 1.39 and 72.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche to win | 9.00 | 9.40 | 10.6% |
| Draw | 5.50 | 5.75 | 17.4% |
| Real Madrid to win | 1.33 | 1.39 | 72.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.37 is substantially shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.85. At 3.5, the odds are almost even: Under 3.5 goals — 1.87, Over 3.5 goals — 1.93.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
| 3.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
Handicap Prediction
Real Madrid (-1.5) handicap is available at 1.85, while Elche (+1.5) is 1.95. On the -1 handicap line, Real Madrid (-1) is 1.45, while Elche (+1) is 2.65. With a 0 handicap, Real Madrid (0) at 1.08 is considerably shorter than Elche (0) at 5.90.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.85 | |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.45 | |
| 2.65 | 1 | |
| 5.90 | 0 | 1.08 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.65 and is preferable to Both teams to score - No at 2.20; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Elche — 0.5 goals, Real Madrid — 2.5 goals.
Elche Team Total
Elche team total: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.35. At 1, Under 1 goal is 1.50 compared with Over 1 goal at 2.50, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.23 is considerably preferable to Over 1.5 goals at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
Real Madrid Team Total
Real Madrid team total: at the 2 line, Over 2 goals at 1.48 is considerably shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.55. At 2.5, the odds are close: Under 2.5 goals — 1.80, Over 2.5 goals — 1.95. At the 3 line, Under 3 goals at 1.48 is preferable to Over 3 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 2 | 1.48 |
| 1.80 | 2.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.48 | 3 | 2.55 |
