Odds overview
Bayern Munich are overwhelming favourites: the home win is available at 1.05, while the draw and Union Berlin win are quoted at 15.00 and 29.00. The totals market clearly expects goals: Over 2.5 at 1.12 is far more likely than Under 2.5 at 5.00; at the 3.5 line, Over is also favoured — 1.37 versus 2.85. No handicap market is available.
Why Bayern Munich are favourites
The bookmakers give the home side an overwhelming advantage: a Bayern Munich win is quoted at 1.05, the draw at 15.00 and a Union Berlin victory at 29.00.
- Bayern Munich have made a confident start to the league campaign: after three rounds, Munich are fourth with 7 points and a 7:2 goal difference.
- Union Berlin have lost their last two Bundesliga matches, conceding four goals against Bayer (0:4) and three against Schalke (1:3).
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
In their previous Bundesliga match, Bayern Munich won away to Elversberg (2:1), with Harry Kane scoring the winner in the second half. Before that, the Munich side thrashed Bodo/Glimt (5:0) in the Champions League, with all five goals also coming after the break.
- Bayern Munich have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich have taken at least five corners in their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich have received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer, Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Matches involving the Berlin side continue to produce plenty of goals: the team drew 3:3 with Eintracht, while Union Berlin's opponents score an average of 3.33 goals per game — the third-highest figure in the league's pre-match table.
- Union Berlin have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- At least three offsides have been recorded in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin have received a maximum of two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (4-4-2): Frederik Ronnow, Josip Juranovic, Leopold Querfeld, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Michel Aebischer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Rani Khedira, Livan Burcu, Emmanuel Latte Lath, Woo-yeong Jeong
Team chances
The home win at 1.05 corresponds to fair odds of 1.11 and a 90.4% probability. The draw is offered at 15.00, with fair odds of 15.80 and a 6.3% probability; the away win is available at 29.00, 30.55 and 3.3% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich win | 1.05 | 1.11 | 90.4% |
| Draw | 15.00 | 15.80 | 6.3% |
| Union Berlin win | 29.00 | 30.55 | 3.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over at 1.12 is clearly favoured over Under at 5.00. At 3.5, the market also leans towards Over: 1.37 versus 2.85 for Under.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 5.00 | 1.12 |
| 3.5 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/100
|
3/100
|
9/1
|
| 888sport |
1/100
|
3/100
|
9/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bayern Munich — 3.5 goals, Union Berlin — 0.5 goals.
Bayern Munich team total
Bayern Munich team total: Over 2.5 at 1.25 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 3.50. At the 3.5 line, Over is available at 1.66 versus 2.12 for Under, while at 4.5, Under becomes the favourite — 1.49 versus 2.46 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.12 | 3.5 | 1.66 |
| 1.49 | 4.5 | 2.46 |
Union Berlin team total
Union Berlin team total: at the 0.5 line, Over at 1.81 is slightly favoured over Under at 1.93. Under 1.5 at 1.15 is considerably shorter than Over at 4.55, while Under 2.5 at 1.01 is shorter than Over at 9.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 0.5 | 1.81 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.55 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.10 |
