Odds Overview
Bayern Munich are overwhelming favourites: a home win is available at 1.05, while the draw and an Union Berlin win are quoted at 15.00 and 29.00. The totals market strongly expects goals: Over 2.5 goals at 1.12 is significantly more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 5.00; at the 3.5-goal line, Over is also favoured — 1.37 against 2.85. No handicap market is available.
Why Bayern Munich Are Favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts an overwhelming edge: a Bayern Munich win is available at 1.05, the draw at 15.00 and an Union Berlin win at 29.00.
- Bayern Munich have made a confident start to the league campaign: after three matches, they are fourth with 7 points and a goal difference of 7:2.
- Union Berlin have lost their last two Bundesliga matches, conceding four goals against Bayer Leverkusen (0:4) and three against Schalke 04 (1:3).
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
In their previous Bundesliga match, Bayern Munich won away at Elversberg (2:1), with Harry Kane scoring the second-half winner. Before that, Bayern Munich thrashed Bodo/Glimt (5:0) in the Champions League, with all five goals also coming after the break.
- Bayern Munich have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich have taken at least five corners in each of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich have received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer, Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Matches involving the Berlin side continue to produce plenty of goals: they drew 3:3 with Eintracht Frankfurt, while Union Berlin's opponents score an average of 3.33 goals per game — the third-highest figure in the league's pre-match table.
- Union Berlin have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- At least three offsides have been recorded in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin have received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (4-4-2): Frederik Ronnow, Josip Juranovic, Leopold Querfeld, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Michel Aebischer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Rani Khedira, Livan Burcu, Emmanuel Latte Lath, Woo-yeong Jeong
Team Chances
A Bayern Munich win at 1.05 corresponds to fair odds of 1.11 and a probability of 90.4%. The draw is available at 15.00, with fair odds of 15.80 and a probability of 6.3%, while an Union Berlin win is quoted at 29.00, 30.55 and 3.3% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich win | 1.05 | 1.11 | 90.4% |
| Draw | 15.00 | 15.80 | 6.3% |
| Union Berlin win | 29.00 | 30.55 | 3.3% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over at 1.12 is clearly favoured over Under at 5.00. At 3.5 goals, the market also favours Over: 1.37 against 2.85 for Under.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 5.00 | 1.12 |
| 3.5 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bayern Munich — 3.5 goals; Union Berlin — 0.5 goals.
Bayern Munich Team Total
Bayern Munich team total: Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.50. At the 3.5-goal line, Over is available at 1.66 against 2.12 for Under, while at 4.5 goals Under becomes the favourite — 1.49 against 2.46 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.12 | 3.5 | 1.66 |
| 1.49 | 4.5 | 2.46 |
Union Berlin Team Total
Union Berlin team total: at the 0.5-goal line, Over at 1.81 is slightly favoured over Under at 1.93. Under 1.5 goals at 1.15 is significantly shorter than Over at 4.55, while Under 2.5 goals at 1.01 is shorter than Over at 9.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 0.5 | 1.81 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.55 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Benjamin Brand (Germany)
Matches — 16 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 19;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.5;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 16;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 16.
