Belarus and San Marino will meet on Matchday 3 of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League at the Rudolf Illovszky Stadium in Budapest on 3 October 2026 at 12:00 EDT / 09:00 PDT.
We will examine how the odds have moved and assess the prospects for the main outcomes ahead of this match.
Both teams struggle to create and convert clear chances, so backing fewer than four goals looks a solid, reliable option. Belarus, the nominal hosts, are used to defending resolutely and playing pragmatically without taking unnecessary risks, while San Marino are rarely able to offer their opponents an open, end-to-end game.
Belarus have shown a consistent low-scoring trend in the UEFA Nations League: nine of their last 10 matches in the competition finished under 2.5 goals, and they scored no more than one goal in each of those 10 games. They play a very cautious style and rarely treat supporters to a goal fest.
San Marino, for their part, are constrained by their own attacking limitations. The visitors have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions. For this match to produce a high total, one side would have to score almost all the goals themselves, but Belarus have historically been unlikely to thrash opponents by a wide margin.
The main risk is the visitors' defensive record, which sometimes sees them concede goals. Nevertheless, the two sides have too little attacking potential between them for a goal fest, making a moderate total the likeliest outcome.
Prediction: Under 3.5 goals at 1.77.
Finland
Belarus
Albania
Belarus
San Marino
Albania
San Marino
Finland
San Marino
Belarus
Belarus
San Marino
Belarus
| # | Team |
|
|
|
|
Matches played
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
G
|
Points
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Albania
|
-:- | 2:0 | -:- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
5:0
|
6 | |
2 |
Finland
|
-:- | 0:0 | -:- | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
7:0
|
4 | |
3 |
Belarus
|
-:- | -:- | -:- | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
0:2
|
1 | |
4 |
San Marino
|
0:3 | 0:7 | -:- | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
0:10
|
0 |
| Bookie | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
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 | |||
 | |||
 | |||
 |
