Odds overview
Belgium are clear favourites: a Belgium win is available at 1.48, compared with 4.90 for a draw and 6.00 for a Turkey win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.65. In the handicap market, Turkey (+1.5) at 1.62 is favoured over Belgium (-1.5) at 2.25.
Why Belgium are favourites
A Belgium win is available at odds of 1.48, a draw at 4.90 and a Turkey win at 6.00.
- Belgium have consistently kept their opponents' scoring down: their opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Turkey struggle to score against strong opponents and have scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Form and Line-up Belgium
Belgium had mixed results in their September UEFA Nations League matches: they beat Italy convincingly 2:0 away from home, but then lost 0:1 to France at home, conceding the decisive goal only in the 88th minute.
- There have been fewer than 24.5 fouls in each of Belgium's last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
- There have been more than 2.5 goals in 8 of Belgium's last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in 8 of Belgium's last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens, Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechelen, Joaquin Seys, Roméo Lavia, Youri Tielemans, Diego Moreira, Kevin De Bruyne, Mika Godts, Charles De Ketelaere
Form and Line-up Turkey
Turkey made a difficult start to the autumn UEFA Nations League schedule, losing both home matches: first to France (0:1), then to Italy (1:4).
Turkey's UEFA Nations League matches have consistently produced more than 2.5 offsides — that mark has been reached in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 first-half goals in Turkey's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Turkey's opponents have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Turkey's opponents have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Altay Bayındır, Zeki Celik, Merih Demiral, Ozan Kabak, Oğuz Aydın, Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü, Eren Elmalı, Arda Güler, Can Uzun, Barış Alper Yılmaz
Teams' chances
A Belgium win is offered at 1.48, with fair odds of 1.55 and a probability of 64.6%. A draw is available at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.13 and a probability of 19.5%; the corresponding figures for a Turkey win are 6.00, 6.28 and 15.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium to win | 1.48 | 1.55 | 64.6% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.13 | 19.5% |
| Turkey to win | 6.00 | 6.28 | 15.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.65 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.45. The odds are closer at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 goals is 1.75 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Belgium (-1.5) are available at 2.25 and Turkey (+1.5) at 1.62. On the one-goal handicap line, Belgium (-1) are offered at 1.75 and Turkey (+1) at 2.10. For a zero handicap, Belgium (0) are available at 1.17, compared with 4.20 for Turkey (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.62 | |
| 1.75 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.10 | |
| 1.17 | 0 | 4.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.60, making it the favoured option over Both teams to score – No at 2.30: the latter means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
9/50
|
3/2
|
| 888sport |
3/20
|
9/50
|
3/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Belgium — 2 goals; Turkey — 1 goal.
Belgium team goals
Belgium team goals: Under 0.5 is available at 7.80 and Over 0.5 at 1.04; at the 1.5-goal line, the respective odds are 2.65 and 1.43. At the two-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 2.07 and Over 2 at 1.70; at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is 1.62 compared with 2.20 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.80 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| 2.07 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 1.62 | 2.5 | 2.20 |
Turkey team goals
Turkey team goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.55 and Over 0.5 at 1.47. At the one-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.70 compared with 2.10 for Over 1; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.32 and Over 1.5 is 3.05.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.05 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Rohit Saggi (Norway)
Matches — 10 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 10;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 10.
