Match bet
Benfica are a completely different side at home. After an away setback in St Gallen (1:2), the Lisbon side returned to the Estádio da Luz and thrashed the Swiss side (5:0), with Vangelis Pavlidis scoring four times in 70 minutes.
The club rebooted in the summer. Jose Mourinho left for Real Madrid, Marco Silva took charge and immediately turned the team towards attack. Georgiy Sudakov cost €20.25 million and Enzo Barrenechea €12 million. The Portuguese league does not start until 7 August, so Benfica have built up all their match sharpness in European competition — and have done so successfully.
Hearts arrive in disarray. Manager Derek McInnes left for Rangers and took Lawrence Shankland, last season's top scorer, with him. Belgian Wouter Vrancken is working without two captains, Craig Halkett and Stephen Kingsley, while Malachi Fagan-Walcott has been ruled out of the European squad with an ankle injury. The team failed to score at all against the Austrians, and the level of opposition in Lisbon will be far higher.
But the hosts are not built for clean sheets either. Their defence has been completely overhauled: Nicolas Otamendi left for River Plate, while Antonio Silva was sold to Bournemouth for £21.4 million. This back line has already conceded two goals to modest St Gallen.
The Scottish side can bite back, though. In Aberdeen, they took the lead through Oisin McEntee and were ahead until the 90th minute, when they were reduced to ten men. Set pieces and long balls are the only things that work reliably for them, and that will be enough for a goal against Benfica's stretched defence.
The hosts will win comfortably. But Trubin will not keep a clean sheet again.