Odds overview
Benfica are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.15, while the draw is 8.80 and an away win is 15.00. Over 3.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.75 than Under 3.5 goals at 2.00. In the handicap markets, Benfica (-1.5) at 1.58 looks more attractive than Lech (-1.5) at 2.26.
Why Benfica are favourites
The odds make Benfica overwhelming favourites: a home win is available at 1.15. The draw is offered at 8.80 and a Lech win at 15.00.
- Benfica have consistently avoided defeat at home: they are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Lech, meanwhile, have been scoring freely: they have averaged 2.29 goals per match in the 2026/27 UEFA Europa League.
Form and Line-up Benfica
On 2 November, Benfica edged Alverca 1:0. Before that, on 29 October, they beat Gil Vicente by a wider margin — 4:1.
On 26 October, Benfica beat Santa Clara 2:1 away from home, while on 15 October they thrashed Celtic 4:1 at home.
- Benfica have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Benfica's opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Benfica line-up (4-2-3-1): Samuel Soares, Alexander Bah, Tomás Araújo, Clément Lenglet, Samuel Dahl, Fredrik Aursnes, João Palhinha, Dodi Lukebakio, Andreas Schjelderup, Gianluca Prestianni, Vangelis Pavlidis
Form and Line-up Lech
On 31 October, Lech beat Wisła Kraków 3:1. Before that, however, they lost 0:1 away to Siarka on 28 October.
Earlier, on 25 October, Lech won 2:1 away to Legia, while on 18 October they thrashed Korona 6:1 at home.
- Lech have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Lech have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Lech line-up (4-2-3-1): Mateusz Lis, Joel Pereira, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Terry Yegbe, Michał Gurgul, Radoslaw Murawski, Antoni Kozubal, Patrik Wålemark, Pablo Rodríguez, Leo Bengtsson, Yannick Agnero
The teams' chances
The average odds for Benfica to win are 1.15, with fair odds of 1.21 and an implied probability of 82.8%. For the draw, the figures are 8.80 and 9.24 at 10.8%; for a Lech win, they are 15.00 and 15.75 at 6.4%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica win | 1.15 | 1.21 | 82.8% |
| Draw | 8.80 | 9.24 | 10.8% |
| Lech win | 15.00 | 15.75 | 6.4% |
Total goals betting markets
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 3.30, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.28. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 5.70 and Over 2 at 1.09. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is 2.00 and Over 3.5 is 1.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.30 | 1.28 |
| 2 | 5.70 | 1.09 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Handicap betting markets
Benfica (-1.5) are available at 1.58, while Lech (-1.5) are offered at 2.26.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | -1.5 | 2.26 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
2/25
|
9/2
|
| William Hill |
3/100
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
| 888sport |
3/100
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting markets
Bookmakers have set the following team goals totals for this match: Benfica — 3 goals; Lech — 0.5 goals.
Benfica team total goals
Benfica under 0.5 goals is available at 7.90 and over 0.5 at 1.03. At the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 is quoted at 2.28 and over 2.5 at 1.57; at the 3-goal line, the respective odds are 1.75 and 2.00. Under 3.5 is offered at 1.51 and over 3.5 at 2.41.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.28 | 2.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.75 | 3 | 2.00 |
| 1.51 | 3.5 | 2.41 |
Lech team total goals
Lech under 0.5 goals is available at 1.96 and over 0.5 at 1.78. Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.15, compared with 4.55 for over 1.5; at the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 is 1.01 and over 2.5 is 9.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 0.5 | 1.78 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.55 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Martin Matosa (Slovenia)
Matches — 12 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 12;
Matches with a penalty — 4 out of 12.
