Odds overview
Borac are favourites at 1.90 to win, while the draw is around 3.60 and a KuPS win around 4.05. The odds in the 2.5-goal totals market are close: Under at 1.87 and Over at 1.93. With Borac Draw No Bet (0) at 1.40 against KuPS Draw No Bet (0) at 2.80, the market clearly favours the hosts.
Why Borac are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Borac are available at 1.90 to win, the draw at 3.60 and a KuPS win at 4.05.
- Borac can contain opponents' attacks at home: in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League, the Bosnian club conceded no more than one goal.
- KuPS rarely score freely away from home: the Finnish club scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Form and Line-up Borac
In the opening round of the UEFA Conference League, Borac lost 1:2 away to Panathinaikos, although Mladen Jurkas saved one of the two penalties awarded and his side pulled a goal back in the 80th minute.
The Bosnian club regularly create chances at home: Borac registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Borac's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- More than 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of Borac's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- More than 3.5 cards were shown in 8 of Borac's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Mladen Jurkas, Branimir Cipetić, Bart Meijers, Sinisa Sanicanin, Sebastián Herrera, Milos Jojic, Ante Roguljić, Sandi Ogrinec, Amer Hiros, Luka Juricic, Stefan Savic.
Form and Line-up KuPS
KuPS began the tournament with a 2:4 home defeat to Trabzonspor. However, in their next Finnish league match, they beat Vaasan Palloseura 2:0, scoring both goals before half-time.
The Finnish club face a congested run of Thursday and Sunday fixtures, which limits their attacking potential. KuPS did not register more than 12.5 shots in any of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- There were under 2.5 goals in 8 of KuPS's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of KuPS's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- KuPS were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Johannes Kreidl, Taneli Hämäläinen, Clinton Antwi, Arttu Lötjönen, Saku Savolainen, Bob Nii Armah, Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba, Samuel Pasanen, Valentín Gasc, Petteri Pennanen, Jaime Moreno.
Gustav Engvall has returned to the playing squad.
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Borac a 50.1% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.90 and fair odds of 2.00. The draw has a 26.4% chance, with odds of 3.60 and 3.78 respectively; a KuPS Kuopio win has a 23.5% chance, with odds of 4.05 and 4.26.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka to win | 1.90 | 2.00 | 50.1% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.78 | 26.4% |
| KuPS Kuopio to win | 4.05 | 4.26 | 23.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.87 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.93, indicating a nearly even market with a slight preference for fewer goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is 1.32 and Over is 3.10: three or more goals are expected considerably more often than four or more.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Borac (-1.5) are quoted at 3.30, substantially shorter than KuPS (-1.5) at 7.80. At the 1.5 handicap line, Borac are 1.05 against 1.28 for KuPS. Borac (-1) are 2.70 and KuPS (-1) are 6.70; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 1.06 and 1.47. Borac Draw No Bet (0) is 1.40 and KuPS Draw No Bet (0) is 2.80.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.70 | -1 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.40 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.80, while Both teams to score — No is 1.95. The market slightly favours both teams scoring over a scenario in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/4
|
29/100
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
3/10
|
91/100
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
3/10
|
91/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Borac — 1.5 goals; KuPS Kuopio — 1 goal.
Borac team total goals
Borac team total goals: Under 0.5 at 4.15, Over 0.5 at 1.17; Under 1 at 3.05, Over 1 at 1.33. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.75 and Over is 2.00; at the 2-goal line, the respective odds are 1.35 and 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
KuPS team total goals
KuPS team total goals: Under 0.5 at 2.50, Over 0.5 at 1.50; Under 1 at 1.67, Over 1 at 2.13. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.30 and Over at 3.15.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.13 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
