Odds overview
Borac are favourites at 1.90 to win, while the draw and a KuPS win are available at around 3.60 and 4.05 respectively. The odds for the 2.5-goal total are close: Under 2.5 is 1.87 and Over 2.5 is 1.93. With Borac Draw No Bet (0) at 1.40 against KuPS Draw No Bet (0) at 2.80, the market clearly favours the hosts.
Why Borac are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Borac win is offered at 1.90, the draw at 3.60 and a KuPS win at 4.05.
- Borac are adept at containing opponents at home: in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League, the Bosnian club's opponents scored no more than one goal.
- KuPS rarely score freely away from home: the Finnish club scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Form and Line-up Borac
In the opening round of the UEFA Conference League, Borac lost 1:2 away to Panathinaikos, although Mladen Jurkas saved one of the two penalties awarded and his side pulled a goal back in the 80th minute.
The Bosnian club regularly create chances at home: Borac registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- Under 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Borac's last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- Over 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of Borac's last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- Over 3.5 cards were shown in 8 of Borac's last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Mladen Jurkas, Branimir Cipetić, Bart Meijers, Sinisa Sanicanin, Sebastián Herrera, Milos Jojic, Ante Roguljić, Sandi Ogrinec, Amer Hiros, Luka Juricic, Stefan Savic.
Form and Line-up KuPS
KuPS began the tournament with a 2:4 home defeat to Trabzonspor. In their next Finnish league match, however, they beat Vaasan Palloseura 2:0, scoring both goals before half-time.
The Finnish club face a demanding run of Thursday and Sunday fixtures, which limits their attacking potential. KuPS have not registered more than 12.5 shots in any of their last 10 UEFA Conference League away matches.
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of KuPS's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Under 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of KuPS's last 10 UEFA Conference League away matches.
- KuPS were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in all 10 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Johannes Kreidl, Taneli Hämäläinen, Clinton Antwi, Arttu Lötjönen, Saku Savolainen, Bob Nii Armah, Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba, Samuel Pasanen, Valentín Gasc, Petteri Pennanen, Jaime Moreno.
Gustav Engvall has returned to the matchday squad.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Borac a 50.1% chance, with average odds of 1.90 for a home win and fair odds of 2.00. The draw is rated at 26.4%, with average odds of 3.60 and fair odds of 3.78; a KuPS Kuopio win has a 23.5% chance, with odds of 4.05 and 4.26 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka to win | 1.90 | 2.00 | 50.1% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.78 | 26.4% |
| KuPS Kuopio to win | 4.05 | 4.26 | 23.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.87 and Over 2.5 at 1.93, suggesting an almost even market with a slight preference for fewer goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is 1.32 and Over is 3.10: three or more goals are expected considerably more often than four or more.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Borac (-1.5) at 3.30 is considerably shorter than KuPS (-1.5) at 7.80. At the 1.5 handicap line, Borac are 1.05 against 1.28 for KuPS. Borac (-1) are available at 2.70 and KuPS (-1) at 6.70; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 1.06 and 1.47. Borac Draw No Bet (0) is 1.40, while KuPS Draw No Bet (0) is 2.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.70 | -1 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.40 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.80, while No is 1.95. The market slightly favours both teams scoring over a scenario in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
1/5
|
69/50
|
| William Hill |
3/20
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
3/20
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 1.5 goals for Borac and 1 goal for KuPS Kuopio.
Borac team total goals
Borac team total: Under 0.5 goals is 4.15 and Over 0.5 is 1.17; Under 1 is 3.05 and Over 1 is 1.33. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.75 and Over is 2.00; at the 2-goal line, they are 1.35 and 3.00 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
KuPS team total goals
KuPS team total: Under 0.5 goals is 2.50 and Over 0.5 is 1.50; Under 1 is 1.67 and Over 1 is 2.13. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is offered at 1.30 and Over at 3.15.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.13 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ívar Orri Kristjánsson (Iceland)
Matches — 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 9.
