The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League quarter-final between Borussia Dortmund (Germany) and Barcelona (Spain) will take place on April 15 at Signal Iduna Park. The first match ended with a 4-0 victory for Barcelona. Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona: prediction, betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
The Germans suffered a crushing 0-4 defeat in the first encounter. This was Dortmund's first loss in six Champions League matches (3 wins, 2 draws), and it was only the second time they failed to score in the current tournament. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least five goals. If the Germans defeat their opponent by exactly four goals, extra time will be played.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Borussia's last 9 Champions League matches.
- Dortmund has not lost in 16 of their last 17 home games in this tournament (10 wins, 6 draws).
- In 6 of their last 7 home games in the Champions League, Borussia has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-5-2)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Karim Adeyemi, Pascal Gross, Julian Brandt, Carney Chukwuemeka, Emre Can – Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beyer.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and defender Nico Schlotterbeck are injured.
Barcelona
The victory in the first game was the ninth win for the Catalans in the current tournament. Notably, in five matches during this stretch, the team scored at least four goals. In the return leg, the Spaniards can afford to lose by three goals. However, Barcelona is on a 10-match unbeaten run in the Champions League, and the last time they lost by at least four goals in this competition was in 2020.
- In 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament, the Catalans have opened the scoring.
- The team has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Champions League.
- Barcelona has won 5 of their last 6 away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Barcelona (4-3-3)
Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Pau Cubarsi, Ronald Araujo – Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Gavi – Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias, Robert Lewandowski.
Injured players include goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, midfielders Marc Bernal, Marc Casado, and Dani Olmo.
Match Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona
Dortmund's Champions League campaign appears to be nearing its end. Overcoming a four-goal deficit is challenging, and doing so against a team like Barcelona is nearly impossible. In the first match, the Catalans showcased the full strength of their attack. However, even after such a convincing victory, the Spaniards are unlikely to be cautious in the return leg. Hans Flick's side is in excellent form and will not fall below the standard they have set.
Borussia will undoubtedly try to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans. Niko Kovac's team will push forward, leaving open spaces, which is extremely dangerous against Barcelona. The Catalans have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches. As a result, the Spanish side currently boasts two of the top scorers in the 2024/25 Champions League, with Raphinha Dias already matching Lionel Messi's club record for points in a single tournament, and Robert Lewandowski holding special feelings for his former team – he has scored 29 goals in 28 matches against Dortmund.
I expect the Catalans to continue their scoring exploits. My prediction: Barcelona Individual Total Over 1.5
