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23 October 2024, 20:00
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15:00
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Under 2.5 163/100
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Over 2.5 91/100
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Barcelona vs Bayern Munich: prediction & betting odds 23 October 2024

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Following the international break, the Champions League returns with a marquee fixture between Barcelona and Bayern Munich. The Catalans haven’t beaten their German rivals in nine years, and for Vincent Kompany, this will be his first encounter against a top European club. With numerous intriguing storylines, this is one match not to miss.

Barcelona

Under Hansi Flick, Barcelona are steadily becoming a powerhouse, scoring an average of 3.3 goals per match in the league. The main attacking threat is, unsurprisingly, Robert Lewandowski. In La Liga, Robert has already netted 12 goals, twice as many as Kylian Mbappé, and four more than Bayern’s key striker Harry Kane. Their head-to-head could steal the spotlight this round.

Barcelona’s Last 5 Matches

Date

Competition

Match

Score

25.09.24

La Liga

Barcelona — Getafe

1:0

28.09.24

La Liga

Osasuna — Barcelona

4:2

01.10.24

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona — Young Boys

5:0

06.10.24

La Liga

Alaves — Barcelona

0:3

20.10.24

La Liga

Barcelona — Sevilla

5:1

Robert Lewandowski comes into the game in high spirits after scoring twice against Sevilla. However, the main highlight leading into this fixture is the return of Pablo Gavi. The 20-year-old midfielder, deemed one of Barcelona's brightest talents, hasn't played for almost a year due to a cruciate ligament injury. He played 8 minutes against Sevilla, replacing his friend Pedro López.

Gavi is likely to feature against Bayern Munich too, possibly for more than eight minutes. However, the joint record of Pedri and Gavi in the Champions League is not impressive: five losses and one draw. Barcelona’s longer unpleasant streak with Bayern Munich includes just one win and one draw in ten matches, with the last five games ending in a cumulative 2:19 scoreline. This is a genuine opportunity to change that narrative, with all top players available, Iñaki Peña adequately replacing Marc-André ter Stegen, and Hansi Flick’s system functioning without a hitch: against AS Monaco, they played a man down from the 10th minute, while they defeated Osasuna with a mostly reserve lineup.

Bayern Munich

Like Barcelona, Bayern Munich started the season with a new head coach — although a more modest one. Initially, Vincent Kompany looked quite promising with six wins at the start and an incredible 9:2 against Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League, setting a record for goals by one team in a tournament match. However, now the German superpower looks like a stumbling giant, with two draws and a loss in their last five matches over the past month.

Their most telling game was against Aston Villa, who prevented the Germans from capitalising on their chances and punished them on the counter. Notably, this was the first game since March where Bayern did not score. It’s hard to imagine they won't score at least once in two consecutive Champions League games.

Bayern Munich’s Last 5 Matches

Date

Competition

Match

Score

21.09.24

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen — Bayern Munich

0:5

28.09.24

Bundesliga

Bayern Munich — Bayer Leverkusen

1:1

02.10.24

UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa — Bayern Munich

0:1

06.10.24

Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayern Munich

3:3

19.10.24

Bundesliga

Bayern Munich — Stuttgart

4:0

Travelling to the Catalan capital, Bayern Munich enter as Barcelona’s historical nemesis in the Champions League — even Lionel Messi seldom found joy against Manuel Neuer, and the team consistently conceded. Interestingly, in the last 10 encounters between these teams, both sides scored only twice, and the total over 2.5 only failed twice.

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Meeting former teams — for both Hanci Flick and Robert Lewandowski—adds layers to what is already a fixture brimming with European football history, contrasting philosophies, and major stakes. The intrigue is heightened by the memory of Flick’s last game, that unforgettable 8:2 during the COVID season, which the Catalans will never forget. Now, the former nemesis guides the team forward, with Flick appearing more solid than Kompany. Sure, the past haunts Barcelona fans, but another crushing defeat seems improbable this season.

Both teams are focused on possession, offensive dominance, and decisive victories — Flick and Kompany share similar tactics and player profiles, ensuring a high-quality spectacle. A humble affair is unlikely — both clubs need points after recent setbacks, neither enjoys playing a secondary role, and the six-match winning streak by the Germans adds more spice. Furthermore, a defeat for Barcelona would result in their second-longest losing streak against a single club, akin to their run against Real Madrid from 1962 to 1965.

While Bayern don’t appear as formidable this season, despite four commanding victories, the prediction is that Barcelona will not lose, and the match promises to be an enthralling contest.

Betting prediction
Barcelona to win or draw
Cf
Odds
11/25
Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
7/20

Team lineups

Barcelona

H. Flick
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Diego Kochen
gk. 0 0
Iñaki Peña
gk. 9 0
Marc-André ter Stegen
gk. 7 0
Wojciech Szczęsny
gk. 0 0
Alejandro Balde
df. 13 0
Andreas Bødtker Christensen
df. 0 0
Eric García
df. 9 0
Gerard Martín Langreo
df. 10 0
Hector Fort
df. 7 0
Iñigo Martínez
df. 13 0
Jules Olivier Koundé
df. 14 0
Pau Cubarsi
df. 14 0
Ronald Araujo
df. 0 0
Sergi Domínguez Viloria
df. 4 0
Dani Olmo
mf. 7 0
Fermín Fermín
mf. 8 0
Frenkie de Jong
mf. 5 0
Gavi Gavi
mf. 5 0
Marc Bernal Casas
mf. 0 0
Marc Casadó Torras
mf. 12 0
Pablo Torre
mf. 6 0
Pedri Pedri
mf. 14 0
Ansu Fati
fw. 5 0
Ferran Torres García
fw. 9 0
Pau Victor
fw. 9 0
Raphinha
fw. 14 0
Robert Lewandowski
fw. 14 0
Yamal Lamine
fw. 13 0
Bayern Munich

V. Kompany
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Daniel Peretz
gk. 0 0
Manuel Neuer
gk. 3 0
Sven Ulreich
gk. 0 0
Adam Aznou
df. 3 0
Alphonso Davies
df. 3 0
Dayot Upamecano
df. 2 0
Eric Dyer
df. 2 0
Hiroki Ito
df. 0 0
Josip Stanišić
df. 0 0
Min-Jae Kim
df. 3 0
Raphaël Guerreiro
df. 3 0
Sacha Boey
df. 14 0
Tarek Noah Buchmann
df. 0 0
Aleksandar Pavlovic
mf. 2 0
Joao Palhinha
mf. 3 0
Joshua Kimmich
mf. 3 0
Leon Goretzka
mf. 4 0
Michael Olise
mf. 2 0
Noel Aséko-Nkili
mf. 0 0
Arijon Ibrahimovic
fw. 0 0
Harry Kane
fw. 3 0
Jamal Musiala
fw. 3 0
Kingsley Coman
fw. 2 0
Leroy Sané
fw. 5 0
Mathys Tel
fw. 3 0
Nestory Irankunda
fw. 0 0
Serge Gnabry
fw. 3 0
Thomas Müller
fw. 3 0

Previous matches in the tournament

Barcelona
1 October, 2024
Champions League
Barcelona
BSC Young Boys
5
0
W
Show more Hide
Bayern Munich
2 October, 2024
Champions League
Aston Villa
Bayern Munich
1
0
L
Show more Hide

H2H: Barcelona — Bayern Munich

Champions League 2022-2023
26 October, 2022
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
0
3
13 September, 2022
Bayern Munich
Barcelona
2
0
Champions League 2021-2022
8 December, 2021
Bayern Munich
Barcelona
3
0
14 September, 2021
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
0
3
Champions League 2019-2020
14 August, 2020
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
2
8
Champions League 2014-2015
12 May, 2015
Bayern Munich
Barcelona
3
2
6 May, 2015
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
3
0
Champions League 2012-2013
30 April, 2013
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
0
3
22 April, 2013
Bayern Munich
Barcelona
4
0
Champions League 2008-2009
13 April, 2009
Bayern Munich
Barcelona
1
1
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Liverpool
8 7 0 1 17:5 21
2
Barcelona
8 6 1 1 28:13 19
3
Arsenal FC
8 6 1 1 16:3 19
4
Internazionale
8 6 1 1 11:1 19
5
Atlético de Madrid
8 6 0 2 20:12 18
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 5 1 2 15:7 16
7
Lille
8 5 1 2 17:10 16
8
Aston Villa
8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9
Atalanta
8 4 3 1 20:6 15
10
Borussia Dortmund
8 5 0 3 22:12 15
11
Real Madrid
8 5 0 3 20:12 15
12
Bayern München
8 5 0 3 20:12 15
13
Milan
8 5 0 3 14:11 15
14
PSV
8 4 2 2 16:12 14
15
PSG
8 4 1 3 14:9 13
16
Benfica
8 4 1 3 16:12 13
17
Monaco
8 4 1 3 13:13 13
18
Brest
8 4 1 3 10:11 13
19
Feyenoord
8 4 1 3 18:21 13
20
Juventus FC
8 3 3 2 9:7 12
21
Celtic
8 3 3 2 13:14 12
22
Manchester City
8 3 2 3 18:14 11
23
Sporting CP
8 3 2 3 13:12 11
24
Club Brugge
8 3 2 3 7:11 11
25
D. Zagreb
8 3 2 3 12:19 11
26
Stuttgart
8 3 1 4 13:17 10
27
Shakhtar Donetsk
8 2 1 5 8:16 7
28
Bologna
8 1 3 4 4:9 6
29
Crvena zvezda
8 2 0 6 13:22 6
30
Sturm Graz
8 2 0 6 5:14 6
31
Sparta Prague
8 1 1 6 7:21 4
32
RB Leipzig
8 1 0 7 8:15 3
33
Girona
8 1 0 7 5:13 3
34
Salzburg
8 1 0 7 5:27 3
35
Slovan Bratislava
8 0 0 8 7:27 0
36
Young Boys
8 0 0 8 3:24 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Liverpool
4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2
Arsenal FC
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
3
Internazionale
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
4
Bayer Leverkusen
4 4 0 0 9:0 12
5
Bayern München
4 4 0 0 14:3 12
6
Barcelona
4 3 1 0 14:3 10
7
Lille
4 3 1 0 11:4 10
8
Aston Villa
4 3 1 0 7:2 10
9
PSV
4 3 1 0 11:5 10
10
Celtic
4 3 1 0 10:3 10
11
Atlético de Madrid
4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 13:5 9
13
Real Madrid
4 3 0 1 14:7 9
14
Milan
4 3 0 1 7:5 9
15
Monaco
4 3 0 1 10:5 9
16
Manchester City
4 2 2 0 11:4 8
17
PSG
4 2 1 1 7:5 7
18
Brest
4 2 1 1 4:5 7
19
Sporting CP
4 2 1 1 8:7 7
20
Club Brugge
4 2 1 1 3:4 7
21
Feyenoord
4 2 0 2 8:9 6
22
Juventus FC
4 2 0 2 5:4 6
23
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 2 0 2 5:9 6
24
Sturm Graz
4 2 0 2 2:3 6
25
Atalanta
4 1 2 1 7:3 5
26
D. Zagreb
4 1 2 1 4:6 5
27
Benfica
4 1 1 2 9:8 4
28
Stuttgart
4 1 1 2 7:8 4
29
Bologna
4 1 1 2 3:4 4
30
Crvena zvezda
4 1 0 3 10:11 3
31
Sparta Prague
4 1 0 3 4:9 3
32
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 6:8 3
33
Girona
4 1 0 3 5:6 3
34
Salzburg
4 0 0 4 1:13 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 4:14 0
36
Young Boys
4 0 0 4 1:11 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Atalanta
4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 14:10 9
4
Atlético de Madrid
4 3 0 1 12:6 9
5
Benfica
4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6
Arsenal FC
4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7
Internazionale
4 2 1 1 2:1 7
8
Feyenoord
4 2 1 1 10:12 7
9
Lille
4 2 0 2 6:6 6
10
Aston Villa
4 2 0 2 6:4 6
11
Borussia Dortmund
4 2 0 2 9:7 6
12
Real Madrid
4 2 0 2 6:5 6
13
Milan
4 2 0 2 7:6 6
14
PSG
4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15
Brest
4 2 0 2 6:6 6
16
Juventus FC
4 1 3 0 4:3 6
17
D. Zagreb
4 2 0 2 8:13 6
18
Stuttgart
4 2 0 2 6:9 6
19
Bayer Leverkusen
4 1 1 2 6:7 4
20
PSV
4 1 1 2 5:7 4
21
Monaco
4 1 1 2 3:8 4
22
Sporting CP
4 1 1 2 5:5 4
23
Club Brugge
4 1 1 2 4:7 4
24
Bayern München
4 1 0 3 6:9 3
25
Manchester City
4 1 0 3 7:10 3
26
Crvena zvezda
4 1 0 3 3:11 3
27
Salzburg
4 1 0 3 4:14 3
28
Celtic
4 0 2 2 3:11 2
29
Bologna
4 0 2 2 1:5 2
30
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 0 1 3 3:7 1
31
Sparta Prague
4 0 1 3 3:12 1
32
Sturm Graz
4 0 0 4 3:11 0
33
RB Leipzig
4 0 0 4 2:7 0
34
Girona
4 0 0 4 0:7 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 3:13 0
36
Young Boys
4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Odds

OVER/UNDER
BookieOVER ()UNDER ()
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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