The Matchday 6 encounter of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between AC Milan (Italy) and Red Star Belgrade (Serbia) will take place on December 11 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 18%.
Predicted lineups for AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade
AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Emerson Royal, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Yunus Musah, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leao – Tammy Abraham.
Red Star Belgrade (4-2-3-1): Omri Glazer – Uros Spajic, Nasser Djiga, Vanja Drkusic, Sol Yeong-Woo – Rade Krunic, Timi Elsnik – Silas, Andrija Maksimovic, Felicio Milson – Aleksandar Katai.
AC Milan
Paulo Fonseca's side secured a 3-2 away victory against Slovan in the previous round. As a result, AC Milan achieved their third consecutive win in the Champions League, a feat not seen since the 2022/23 season. However, the club has conceded in nine consecutive matches in this European competition, a streak they haven't experienced since 2010. In the standings, the team holds nine points and is in 16th position.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, midfielders Christian Pulisic and Ismael Bennacer, and forward Luka Jovic will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 6 home matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 8 of the team's last 9 matches in this European competition.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 7 of AC Milan's last 8 matches in the Champions League.
Red Star Belgrade
In the last round, Vladan Milojevic's side unexpectedly thrashed Stuttgart 5-1 at home. As a result, Red Star Belgrade ended their four-match losing streak in the Champions League and earned their first points in the group stage. Notably, at least six goals have been scored in each of the last three matches involving the Serbs in the Champions League. With three points, the club is in 31st place in the standings. Having conceded 17 goals in the group stage, Red Star Belgrade is only ahead of Slovan (18) in this regard.
Defender Aden Avdic and forward Peter Olayinka will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has lost in regular time in their last seven away matches in the Champions League.
- At least four goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the team's last four matches in the Champions League.
- The Serbs have not scored more than one goal in regular time in their last six away matches in this European competition.
AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade: Match Prediction
Milan tends to play aggressively at home, spending much time in the opponent's half. As a result, the team regularly scores: in 11 of their last 14 home matches in the Champions League, AC Milan players have found the back of the net. However, their defense is not always reliable: in their last six home matches, Milan has kept a clean sheet only once.
Red Star Belgrade rarely secures positive results in away matches in the Champions League, but they perform well in attack. In 6 of their last 8 away matches in this European competition, the Serbs have scored, breaking through the defenses of teams like Manchester City, Leipzig, and Monaco. At the same time, Red Star Belgrade makes many defensive errors: in their last seven away matches in the Champions League, the Serbs have conceded at least twice.
I believe it's reasonable to expect both teams to score in this clash, so my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
