Odds overview
Hoffenheim are the 1X2 favourites at 2.08, while Borussia Mönchengladbach to win is 3.10 and the draw is 4.15. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.40, compared with 2.70 for Under 2.5. In the main handicap market, Hoffenheim (0) at 1.60 are favoured over Borussia Mönchengladbach (0) at 2.30.
Why Hoffenheim are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.08 for a Hoffenheim win, compared with 3.10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach to win. The draw is quoted at 4.15.
- The main reason the visitors are favourites is the hosts' poor defending: Borussia concede an average of 3.6 goals per match, the worst record in the league.
- Hoffenheim have the stronger attack: the visitors have scored an average of 1.8 goals per game in the opening stages of the season.
Form and Line-up Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach lost to Cologne in the previous round: Joe Scally equalised, but Said El Mala scored the winner for their opponents. The team are rebuilding under Alexander Blessin, who led his first training session on 29 September 2026.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's opponents have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- There have been more than 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Moritz Nicolas, Kevin Diks, Jan Leszczyński, Daiki Hashioka, Lukas Ullrich, Joe Scally, Florian Neuhaus, Philipp Sander, Robin Hack, Hugo Bolin, Isac Lidberg
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim lost to Hamburg in the last round. After Bernardo was sent off, they had to defend deeper and conceded the decisive goal in the closing minutes.
- There have been more than 2.5 goals in 9 of Hoffenheim's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- The teams have combined for more than 8.5 shots on target in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Hoffenheim's players have been caught offside fewer than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Oliver Baumann, Ozan Kabak, Bernardo, Koki Machida, Vladimír Coufal, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Bambasé Conté, Fisnik Asllani, Adam Daghim, Tim Lemperle
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Hoffenheim a 46.0% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.08 and fair odds of 2.17. Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 30.9% chance, with average and fair odds of 3.10 and 3.24 respectively; the draw has a 23.1% chance, with corresponding odds of 4.15 and 4.33.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 3.10 | 3.24 | 30.9% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.33 | 23.1% |
| Hoffenheim win | 2.08 | 2.17 | 46.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.40 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.70. The 3.5-goal line is more evenly balanced: Under 3.5 is 1.80 and Over 3.5 is 2.00.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Handicap prediction
Hoffenheim (-1.5) at 3.10 have shorter odds than Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5) at 4.90. At the +1.5 line, Hoffenheim (+1.5) are shorter at 1.13, compared with 1.32 for Borussia Mönchengladbach (+1.5). Hoffenheim (-1) are 2.65 and Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1) are 4.30; at the +1 line, the odds are 1.16 and 1.45 respectively. On the 0 handicap, Hoffenheim (0) at 1.60 are favoured over Borussia Mönchengladbach (0) at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | -1.5 | 3.10 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.30 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 2.30 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.38 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.80, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.38 |
| No | 2.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
73/100
|
11/50
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
7/10
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Borussia Mönchengladbach — 1.5 goals; Hoffenheim — 1.5 goals.
Borussia Mönchengladbach team total goals
For Borussia Mönchengladbach's team total, Over 0.5 at 1.20 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.15; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.48 against 2.55 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 has longer odds of 2.18 than Under 1.5 at 1.65; at the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 3.30 against 1.28 for Under 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.55 | 1 | 1.48 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.18 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Hoffenheim team total goals
For Hoffenheim's team total, Over 0.5 at 1.10 is favoured over Under 0.5 at 5.40, while Over 1 at 1.25 is favoured over Under 1 at 3.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is 1.68 against 2.12 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.65 is slightly shorter than Over 2 at 2.17.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | 1.68 |
| 1.65 | 2 | 2.17 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sören Storks (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.9;
Matches with a red card — 2 of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 14.
