Odds overview
Poland are favourites: a Poland win is available at 2.17, compared with around 3.35 for a Bosnia and Herzegovina win and 3.45 for a draw. Under 2.5 goals is marginally favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 versus 1.95. At handicap (0), Poland are at 1.58 and Bosnia and Herzegovina at 2.35.
Why Poland are match favourites
Bookmakers make the visitors favourites: a Poland win is offered at 2.17, a Bosnia and Herzegovina win at 3.35 and a draw at 3.45.
• The standings in Group B4 make this meeting important for both teams, but Poland remain the stronger contenders for the top places.
• Bosnia and Herzegovina have regularly struggled to secure wins, losing or drawing 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Form and Line-up Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina began their autumn campaign with contrasting results: an away win over Romania by 4:2 was followed by a 1:1 home draw with Sweden. At home, they usually play a restrained game — Under 3.5 goals has landed in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches, while the two teams combined for no more than 24.5 shots in all 10.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina had fewer than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina attempted fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Bosnia and Herzegovina line-up: Salko Hamzic, Tarik Muharemović, Sead Kolašinac, Nikola Katić, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Bašić, Amar Memić, Kerim Alajbegovic, Ermedin Demirović, Esmir Bajraktarević, Haris Tabakovic
Edin Džeko is unavailable after retiring from international football.
Form and Line-up Poland
Jan Urban's Poland thrashed Romania 6:0, with Robert Lewandowski scoring the opener from the penalty spot in the 24th minute. However, the emphatic scoreline was largely due to an early sending-off for their opponents, while Poland lost their previous away match to Sweden 1:3.
- Poland took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Under 9.5 corners occurred in 9 of Poland's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Over 2.5 offsides occurred in 8 of Poland's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Poland line-up (4-4-2): Marcin Bulka, Matty Cash, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Sebastian Szymański, Viktor Novak, Piotr Zielinski, Nicola Zalewski, Karol Świderski, Robert Lewandowski
Teams' chances
A Poland win has a 43.9% probability: odds of 2.17 and fair odds of 2.28. A Bosnia and Herzegovina win stands at 28.5% (3.35; fair odds 3.51), and a draw at 27.6% (3.45; fair odds 3.62).
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
| Poland win | 2.17 | 2.28 | 43.9% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Under is at 1.85 and Over at 1.95, giving the lower-scoring outcome a slight edge. At 3.5 goals, Under at 1.33 is considerably more likely than Over at 3.05.
| Total goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) are available at 6.20, and Poland (-1.5) at 3.70. In the handicap markets, Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1.5) are at 1.23 versus 1.07 for Poland (+1.5); Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1) are at 5.40 versus 3.00 for Poland (-1). Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1) have odds of 1.33 and Poland (+1) 1.10, while Bosnia and Herzegovina (0) and Poland (0) are at 2.35 and 1.58 respectively.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | -1.5 | 3.70 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.40 | -1 | 3.00 |
| 1.33 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.58 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.75 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.00, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
29/100
|
9/25
|
| William Hill |
3/4
|
3/10
|
3/10
|
| 888sport |
67/100
|
3/10
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Bosnia and Herzegovina — 1 goal; Poland — 1.5 goals.
Bosnia and Herzegovina total goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina team total: Under 0.5 goals is at 2.80 and Over 0.5 at 1.38; at the 1-goal line, Under is 1.90 and Over 1.85. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.38 and Over at 2.80.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Poland total goals
Poland team total: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.95 and Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, they are 2.65 and 1.42 respectively. Under 1.5 goals is at 1.70 versus 2.08 for Over 1.5, while at the 2-goal line Under is 1.28 and Over 3.35.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.35 |
