Odds overview
Bournemouth are narrow 1X2 favourites: a home win is available at 2.50, an away win at 2.70 and the draw at 3.65. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is notably preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the main handicap market, Bournemouth Draw No Bet at 1.83 is shorter than Brentford Draw No Bet at 1.97.
Why Bournemouth are favourites
Bookmakers give Bournemouth a slight edge: a home win is available at 2.50, the draw at 3.65 and a Brentford win at 2.70.
- The hosts are confident on home soil: Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Brentford are unbeaten so far this season and sit fifth with 5 points ahead of Matchday 4, which limits the market's tilt towards the hosts.
Form and Line-up Bournemouth
In their last Premier League match, Bournemouth drew 2:2 away to Newcastle before thrashing Lincoln 4:0 in the League Cup. However, the cup match came four days before the Brentford fixture, and the congested schedule could affect the team's fitness despite rotation.
In Premier League home matches, the Cherries keep the game under control: in 9 of their last 10 matches at the Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth's opponents had no more than five shots on target and were caught offside no more than twice.
Key numbers:
- At least 10 corners were taken in 8 of Bournemouth's 10 Premier League home matches.
- Bournemouth did not lose the yellow-card count in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Bournemouth scored at least once in each of their last five Premier League home matches.
Probable Bournemouth line-up (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic – Alex Jimenez, James Hill, Antonio Silva, Adrien Truffert – Tyler Adams, Alex Scott – Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert, Ryan – Evanilson
Absentees: Amine Adli, Julian Araujo, Eli Junior Kroupi, Veljko Milosavljevic (injured)
Form and Line-up Brentford
Brentford drew their last two Premier League matches by the same 1:1 scoreline — away to Leeds and at home to Sunderland.
The Bees are solid in defence, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per match at the start of the season, the third-best record in the league. In away league matches, Brentford are assertive and have not conceded more fouls than their opponents in 10 consecutive away games.
Key numbers:
- At least 11 corners were recorded in 8 of Brentford's 10 Premier League away matches.
- No more than 22 fouls were committed in total in 9 of Brentford's 10 Premier League away matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in Brentford's last six Premier League away matches.
Probable Brentford line-up (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Michael Kayode, Jannik Schuster, Kristoffer Ajer, Keane Lewis-Potter – Vitaly Janelt, Mamadou Sangare – Kevin Schade, Mikkel Damsgaard, Dango Ouattara – Igor Thiago
Absentees: Mathias Jensen, Antoni Milambo, Josh Dasilva, Sepp van den Berg (injured), Nathan Collins (doubtful)
Team chances
Home win: average odds of 2.50, fair odds of 2.61 and a probability of 38.3%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 3.65, 3.81 and 26.2%, while for an away win they are 2.70, 2.82 and 35.5%. Bournemouth hold only a slight edge over Brentford, while the draw is rated less likely.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Bournemouth to win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.3% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.81 | 26.2% |
Brentford to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. The situation is reversed at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.55, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.40.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap prediction
Bournemouth -1.5 is available at 4.20 and Brentford -1.5 at 4.40; both bets are rated unlikely. Bournemouth +1.5 at 1.15 is slightly shorter than Brentford +1.5 at 1.17. At the -1 line, Bournemouth -1 is 3.60 compared with 3.85 for Brentford -1, while at the +1 line, Bournemouth +1 is 1.22 compared with 1.25 for Brentford +1. In the Draw No Bet market, Bournemouth at 1.83 is preferred to Brentford at 1.97.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.20 | -1.5 | 4.40 |
1.15 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
3.60 | -1 | 3.85 |
1.22 | 1 | 1.25 |
1.83 | 0 | 1.97 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 looks notably more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.45. The latter outcome means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.45 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds in the double chance market are for 12 at 1.30. The 1X option is 1.50 and X2 is slightly higher at 1.55.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.50 | 1.30 | 1.55 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Bournemouth — 1.5 goals, Brentford — 1.5 goals.
Bournemouth team total
Bournemouth team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is notably preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 4.10, while Over 1 goal at 1.35 is preferred to Under 1 goal at 3.00. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.77 versus 2.00 for Over 1.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.30 is considerably shorter than Over 2 goals at 3.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.77 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Brentford team total
Brentford team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is notably preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 4.00, while Over 1 goal at 1.45 is preferred to Under 1 goal at 2.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.67 versus 2.15 for Over 1.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Over 2 goals at 3.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.67 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
1.27 | 2 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches – 2 (Premier League 2026/27, Premier League, 2026/27 season)
Average fouls per match – 22.5
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5
