Odds overview
Bournemouth to win at 2.20 looks more favourable than AC Milan to win at 3.10, while the draw is offered at 3.65. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Bournemouth Draw No Bet (0) at 1.65 is markedly shorter than AC Milan Draw No Bet (0) at 2.25.
Why Bournemouth are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a modest edge: Bournemouth are offered at 2.20 to win, compared with 3.10 for AC Milan and 3.65 for the draw.
- The English club have started the competition strongly and, after two UEFA Europa League league-phase matches, sit fifth in the table with a maximum six points and a 5:1 goal difference.
- AC Milan have to manage their resources amid a demanding schedule of seven matches in 20 days, with the trip to England falling in the middle of that run.
- Bournemouth have lost just once in their last six home matches.
Form and Line-up Bournemouth
Bournemouth are producing excellent results in Europe and domestically. In the UEFA Europa League, they beat Real Sociedad (2:1) and kept a clean sheet against Sturm Graz (3:0), while in the Premier League they defeated Sunderland (2:0) in the most recent round.
- Bournemouth's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Bournemouth have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners have been taken in 7 of Bournemouth's last 8 matches.
Probable Bournemouth line-up (4-4-2): Djordje Petrovic, Adam Smith, Bafodé Diakité, António Silva, Julio Soler, Marcus Tavernier, Lewis Cook, Tyler Adams, Ben Gannon-Doak, Álvaro Rodríguez, Evanilson.
Absentees: Julián Araujo, Eli Junior Kroupi, Alex Scott (all injured).
Form and Line-up AC Milan
AC Milan are enjoying an impressive run. In the UEFA Europa League, the Italian giants thrashed Red Bull Salzburg (4:0) away from home, while in the Italian league they drew with Sassuolo (1:1) and came from behind to beat Atalanta 3:2 in the most recent round. Amorim's side have gone four matches unbeaten since losing to Benfica (0:2) in the UEFA Europa League.
- AC Milan's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- AC Milan have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- AC Milan's opponents have been caught offside fewer than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable AC Milan line-up (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović, Omari Hutchinson, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alphadjo Cisse, Francesco Camarda.
Absentees: Alexis Saelemaekers, Matteo Gabbia (both injured), Filippo Terracciano (suspended).
The teams' chances
Bournemouth to win: average odds of 2.20, fair odds of 2.31 and a fair probability of 43.2%. The figures for a draw are 3.65, 3.84 and 26.1%, while those for an AC Milan win are 3.10, 3.26 and 30.7%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26.1% |
| AC Milan win | 3.10 | 3.26 | 30.7% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is offered at 2.10 and Over at 1.73. At 3.5 goals, Under at 1.45 is shorter than Over at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
Handicap betting
Bournemouth (-1.5) at 3.65 is shorter than AC Milan (-1.5) at 5.60. At the +1.5 line, Bournemouth are 1.09 against AC Milan at 1.25; at -1, Bournemouth are 3.00 against AC Milan at 4.90; at +1, Bournemouth are 1.13 against AC Milan at 1.35. For handicap (0), Bournemouth at 1.65 are shorter than AC Milan at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | -1.5 | 5.60 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.00 | -1 | 4.90 |
| 1.13 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.65 | 0 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.60 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.30, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
29/100
|
7/10
|
| William Hill |
3/10
|
29/100
|
73/100
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
29/100
|
73/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Bournemouth — 1.5 goals; AC Milan — 1 goal.
Bournemouth team total goals
Bournemouth team total goals: Under 0.5 at 4.30 versus Over 0.5 at 1.16; Under 1 at 2.95 versus Over 1 at 1.35; at 1.5, Under at 1.78 and Over at 1.98 have similar odds; Under 2 at 1.35 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
AC Milan team total goals
AC Milan team total goals: Under 0.5 at 3.30 versus Over 0.5 at 1.28; Under 1 at 2.25 versus Over 1 at 1.60; Under 1.5 at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
