Odds overview
Brann are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.16, while a draw and a Lincoln Red Imps win are quoted at around 8.20 and 15.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.93.
Why Brann are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts: a Brann win is available at 1.16, a draw at 8.20 and a Lincoln Red Imps win at 15.00.
• The match in Bergen will be played in conditions familiar to Brann’s players — with temperatures around +10°C and possible rain.
• Lincoln Red Imps play in Gibraltar’s semi-professional league.
• Lincoln Red Imps’ last visit to Scandinavia this summer ended in a heavy 0:3 defeat to Swedish side Mjällby, who were making their European debut.
Form and Line-up Brann
Brann lost their latest Norwegian league match 0:2 at home to Viking, conceding twice in the opening minutes and failing to turn the game around even after an opponent was sent off in the 38th minute. That defeat is understandable, however: Viking lead the Eliteserien, while Brann sit seventh. Brann have already played three home matches in Europe this season, winning two of them and scoring three goals in each victory.
- More than 8.5 corners were recorded in 8 of Brann’s last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Brann were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Brann committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Brann line-up (4-3-3): Simen Vidtun Nilsen, Thore Pedersen, Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen, Neraysho Kasanwirjo, Vetle Dragsnes, Christian Eriksen, Jacob Lungi Sørensen, Eggert Aron Gudmundsson, Sævar Atli Magnússon, Noah Holm, Jonas Torsvik
Absentees: Leo Kornic, Sakarias Opsahl and Ulrik Mathisen (injured); Niklas Castro (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps beat Europa 2:0 in their latest Gibraltar league match, scoring both goals early in the second half. It is Juanma Pavón Domínguez’s side’s only competitive outing since the international break. They have not played in Europe since August, when they beat Larne 3:0 away to secure their place in the UEFA Conference League league phase.
- Lincoln Red Imps had fewer than 11.5 shots in each of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in each of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Lincoln Red Imps line-up (5-3-2): Nauzet García, Julian Erteling, Bernardo Lopes, Christian Rutjens, Nano, Graeme Torrilla, Mandi, Leon Mason, Álvaro Romero, Álex Mula, Kike Gomez
The teams’ chances
A Brann win has average odds of 1.16, with fair odds of 1.22 and an implied probability of 82.0%. The corresponding figures are 8.20, 8.62 and 11.6% for a draw, and 15.00, 15.76 and 6.3% for a Lincoln Red Imps win.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann to win | 1.16 | 1.22 | 82.0% |
| Draw | 8.20 | 8.62 | 11.6% |
| Lincoln Red Imps to win | 15.00 | 15.76 | 6.3% |
Total goals odds
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.93 and Over 2.5 at 1.35. At the 2-goal line, Under is offered at 4.85 and Over at 1.13. The odds are close at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 is 1.83 and Over 3.5 is 1.91.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.93 | 1.35 |
| 2 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
| 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
7/100
|
11/2
|
| William Hill |
3/100
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
| 888sport |
3/100
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals odds
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Brann at 2.5 goals and Lincoln Red Imps at 0.5 goals.
Brann team total goals
Brann team total: Under 1.5 goals — 3.95, Over 1.5 — 1.20; Under 2.5 — 2.12, Over 2.5 — 1.66; Under 3.5 — 1.43, Over 3.5 — 2.63.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.12 | 2.5 | 1.66 |
| 1.43 | 3.5 | 2.63 |
Lincoln Red Imps team total goals
Lincoln Red Imps team total: Under 0.5 goals — 1.82, Over 0.5 — 1.92; Under 1.5 — 1.12, Over 1.5 — 5.00. Over 2.5 is available at 9.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 0.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 5.00 |
| 2.5 | 9.60 |
