Odds overview
PAOK are slight favourites: PAOK to win is 2.35, while Brann to win is priced at around 2.90 and the draw at 3.35. On the main 2.5 goals total, Under is 1.82 against 1.93 for Over, which tilts the line slightly towards a lower-scoring scenario. In the main handicap market, PAOK Draw No Bet at 1.70 looks preferable to Brann Draw No Bet at 2.10.
Why PAOK are favourites for the match
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.35 on PAOK to win (around 39.8% probability excluding margin). A Brann success is priced at 2.90 (32.3%), while the draw is 3.35.
In the first meeting, PAOK had the upper hand and produced 23 shots, while the Norwegians had only one effort on target, reflecting the difference between the teams in creating dangerous chances.
The Greek club have shown consistency in attack, scoring in nine of their last 10 matches, and have strengthened their forward line by signing Cherif Ndiaye.
Form and Line-up Brann
Brann come into the second leg after two clean-sheet wins in domestic competitions: 4:0 over Fyllingen in the cup and 3:0 over HamKam in the league. The Norwegians' options ahead of the return fixture have been expanded by the returns from loan of Lars Remmem and Julian Laegreid.
Despite a limited number of shots in Greece, the Norwegians converted their only effort on target. Their high efficiency is backed up by their overall run: Brann have scored in nine of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Key numbers:
Brann and their opponents have earned at least four yellow cards in all of their last 10 European matches.
In nine of their last 10 European matches, Brann have been caught offside no more than twice.
Brann's opponents have received at least two yellow cards in nine of their last 10 matches on the international stage.
Probable Brann line-up (4-3-3): Simen Vidtun Nilsen — Thore Pedersen — Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen — Vetle Dragsnes — Joachim Soltvedt — Kjartan Mar Kjartansson — Lars Remmem — Kristian Eriksen — Kristall Mani Ingason — Noah Holm — Niklas Castro.
Form and Line-up PAOK
PAOK began their Greek league campaign with a comprehensive 4:0 win over Levadiakos, in which Andrija Zivkovic scored and provided two assists. Earlier, the club ended their Europa League campaign, losing 2:3 to Anderlecht in the second leg of qualifying.
Key numbers:
PAOK committed 11 fouls or fewer in nine of their last 10 European matches.
In nine of PAOK's last 10 matches on the international stage, no more than five yellow cards were shown
In eight of their last 10 away European matches, PAOK took no more than five corners.
Probable PAOK line-up (4-2-3-1): Jiri Pavlenka — Jonjoe Kenny — Aritz Elustondo — Giannis Michailidis — Abdul Rahman Baba — Greg Taylor — Tom Louchet — Andrija Zivkovic — Dimitris Pelkas — Shola Shoretire — Cherif Ndiaye.
The teams' chances
Based on average odds, PAOK are closer to victory: PAOK to win is 2.35, the margin-free price is 2.51 and the probability is 39.8%. For Brann to win, the figures are 2.90, 3.10 and 32.3%, while for the draw they are 3.35, 3.58 and 27.9% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Brann to win | 2.90 | 3.10 | 32.3% |
Draw | 3.35 | 3.58 | 27.9% |
PAOK to win | 2.35 | 2.51 | 39.8% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 goals total, Under at 1.82 is priced slightly lower than Over at 1.93. At the 3.5 line, the edge for Under is more noticeable — 1.32 against 3.05 for Over.
Under | Line | Over |
1.82 | 2.5 | 1.93 |
1.32 | 3.5 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Brann (-1.5) is 5.30, while PAOK (-1.5) is 4.40. At the 1.5 line, the prices are close: Brann (+1.5) is 1.16, PAOK (+1.5) is 1.11. For the -1 handicap, Brann (-1) is offered at 4.50 and PAOK (-1) at 3.60; at the 1 line, it is 1.23 on Brann (+1) against 1.15 on PAOK (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, PAOK (0) at 1.70 is rated higher than Brann (0) at 2.10.
Brann | Handicap | PAOK |
5.30 | (-1.5) | 4.40 |
1.16 | (+1.5) | 1.11 |
4.50 | (-1) | 3.60 |
1.23 | (+1) | 1.15 |
2.10 | (0) | 1.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.73 looks more likely than Both Teams To Score - No at 2.05, meaning the line more often expects goals from both teams.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.73 |
No | 2.05 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds among the double-chance options are on 12 at 1.30; X2 is offered at 1.40 and 1X at 1.55.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.55 | 1.30 | 1.40 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Brann — 1 goal, PAOK — 1.5 goals.
Brann team total
Brann: on the 0.5 team total, Over is 1.35 against 3.00 for Under. At the 1 line, Over at 1.65 is priced lower than Under at 2.10, while at 1.5, Under is favoured — 1.45 against 2.55 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.10 | 1 | 1.65 |
1.45 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
PAOK team total
PAOK: Over 0.5 is 1.25 against 3.65 for Under. At the 1 line, Over is offered at 1.48 and Under at 2.45; at 1.5, it is 2.25 on Over and 1.58 on Under. For a total of 2, Under at 1.22 is noticeably lower than Over at 3.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.45 | 1 | 1.48 |
1.58 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
1.22 | 2 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2024-2026);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.3;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 8;
Matches with penalties — 4 out of 8.
