Odds overview
Chelsea are slight favourites: an away win is available at 2.30 versus 2.85 for a home win, while the draw is quoted at 3.80. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over is considerably favoured over Under — 1.48 versus 2.55. At a handicap of 0, Chelsea are shorter than Brentford: 1.72 versus 2.13.
Why Chelsea are favourites for the match
Chelsea to win is available at odds of 2.30, Brentford to win is quoted at 2.85, and the draw is available at 3.80.
• Brentford are securely in the top half of the table: after four matchdays, they are seventh with 6 points, having not lost a match (1 win and 3 draws).
• Chelsea stand out for their high scoring: the Blues' matches average 4.75 goals per game, the highest figure in the league.
Form and Line-up Brentford
Brentford have regularly shared the points in the league at the start of the season: they drew with Leeds (1:1), Sunderland (1:1) and Bournemouth (2:2). The Bees' only win in recent weeks came in the League Cup, where they beat Reading away (2:1).
Keith Andrews' side are prolific shooters in attack: averaging 17.0 shots per match, the hosts rank third in the league for this metric, while they have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home games.
- Brentford's opponents took no more than five corners in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- In 8 of Brentford's last 10 Premier League home matches, the teams registered no more than 10 shots on target.
- Referees showed at least four yellow cards in 8 of Brentford's last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Brentford line-up (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher, Michael Kayode, Kristoffer Ajer, Jannik Schuster, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mamadou Sangare, Vitaly Janelt, Mikkel Damsgaard, Yegor Yarmolyuk, Kevin Schade, Igor Thiago
Absentees: Nathan Collins, Josh Dasilva, Antoni Milambo, Sepp van den Berg, Kaye Furo (injured)
Form and Line-up Chelsea
Chelsea's previous league matches were high-scoring: the London side beat Brighton (4:3), lost to Arsenal (1:2) and drew with Hull City (2:2). After the draw with Hull, head coach Xabi Alonso publicly highlighted defensive problems and the need to maintain cohesion until the final whistle.
Away from home, however, the Blues rarely fall foul of the offside line: no more than four offsides were recorded in each of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Chelsea received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League away games.
- No more than 11 corners were recorded in 9 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Chelsea line-up (3-4-2-1): Emiliano Martinez, Wesley Fofana, Levi Colwill, Jorrel Hato, Malo Gusto, Reece James, Romeo Lavia, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, Joao Pedro
Absentees: Moises Caicedo, Emanuel Emegha (injured)
Team chances
Chelsea to win is the most likely outcome: odds of 2.30, fair odds of 2.41 and a probability of 41.5%. The respective figures for Brentford to win are 2.85, 2.99 and 33.5%, while for the draw they are 3.80, 3.99 and 25.1%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 2.85 | 2.99 | 33.5% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.99 | 25.1% |
| Chelsea win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over at 1.48 is considerably shorter than Under at 2.55. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is now favoured at 1.70 over Over at 2.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
Handicap prediction
Brentford (-1.5) are available at 4.80, while Chelsea (-1.5) are available at 3.50. At a handicap of 1, Chelsea (1) are shorter at 1.17 than Brentford (1) at 1.35, while at a handicap of 1.5, Chelsea (1.5) are at 1.13 versus Brentford (1.5) at 1.25. On the 0 handicap, Chelsea (0) are at 1.72 and Brentford (0) at 2.13. Brentford (-1) are also offered at 4.15, with Chelsea (-1) at 3.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.15 | -1 | 3.00 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.13 | 0 | 1.72 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is preferred at 1.42, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is available at 2.65.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.42 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
1/4
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
1/4
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Brentford — 1.5 goals; Chelsea — 1.5 goals.
Brentford team total
Brentford team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.20 versus Under 0.5 at 4.10; Over 1 is at 1.42 versus Under 1 at 2.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.70 is shorter than Over at 2.07, while at the 2-goal line, Under is at 1.30 versus Over at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Chelsea team total
Chelsea team total: Over 0.5 is at 1.14 versus Under 0.5 at 4.60, and Over 1 is at 1.30 versus Under 1 at 3.25. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Over at 1.82 and Under at 1.92. At the 2-goal line, Under at 1.48 is shorter than Over at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.82 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
