Odds overview
Lyon have a slight edge in the match-result market, with a win at 2.45 against 2.80 for Brest, while the draw is available at 3.55. The main 2.5-goal totals market is almost evenly matched: Over 2.5 goals is 1.87 and Under 2.5 goals is 1.93. At a handicap of 0, Lyon Draw No Bet has the slightly shorter odds of 1.78, while Brest Draw No Bet is available at 2.02.
Why Lyon are favourites
The odds make Lyon favourites: an away win is available at 2.45. Brest are 2.80 to win, while the draw is 3.55.
- The visitors have picked up points consistently over the league campaign: Lyon are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Form and Line-up Brest
On 2 November 2026, Brest won their previous league match 2:0 away to Lorient. Earlier in October, they lost 1:2 at home to Nice and drew 1:1 away to Lille.
Kamory Doumbia and Ludovic Ajorque stand out in Brest’s attack: each has scored four goals and provided one assist in nine matches in the competition.
- Brest have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Brest’s opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Egil Selvik, Kenny Lala, Lucas Tousart, Gautier Lloris, Bradley Locko, Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Baldé, Kamory Doumbia, Pathé Mboup, Ludovic Ajorque.
Brest’s Raphaël Le Guen will miss the match with an ankle injury.
Form and Line-up Lyon
On 5 November 2026, Lyon drew 1:1 away to Real Sociedad. Before that, on 1 November, they beat Angers 2:0 at home in Ligue 1.
Corentin Tolisso contributes goals from midfield: in nine league matches, he has scored twice and provided three assists.
- In 9 of Lyon’s last 10 matches in all official competitions, the teams combined for more than 5.5 shots on target.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Lyon’s last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable line-up: Dominik Greif, Zachary Athekame, Felix Bacher, Abner, Mads Bidstrup, Tanner Tessmann, Corentin Tolisso, Julien Duranville, Keito Nakamura, Khalis Merah, Kaïl Boudache.
Lyon’s injury list includes Ernest Nuamah, Loïs Openda, Moussa Niakhaté, Pavel Šulc, Tyler Morton and Mohamed Ouédraogo.
The teams’ chances
The margin-free assessment gives Lyon a 39% chance of winning at fair odds of 2.57, compared with 34.1% and 2.93 for a Brest win. The draw is assessed at 26.9%, with fair odds of 3.72. The market odds are 2.45 for Lyon to win, 2.80 for Brest to win and 3.55 for the draw.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
| Lyon win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 39.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.87 is rated slightly more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is a much stronger favourite at 1.35, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 2.90.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap prediction
The odds are high for the largest handicaps: Brest (-1.5) are 5.00 and Lyon (-1.5) are 4.60. At +1.5, the odds are almost level, with Brest (+1.5) at 1.14 and Lyon (+1.5) at 1.12. At -1, Brest (-1) are available at 4.30 and Lyon (-1) at 3.85; at +1, they are 1.22 and 1.16 respectively. With a handicap of 0, Lyon Draw No Bet at 1.78 have shorter odds than Brest Draw No Bet at 2.02.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | -1.5 | 4.60 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
| 4.30 | -1 | 3.85 |
| 1.22 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 2.02 | 0 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.68 and looks more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.13, which means at least one team would fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.13 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
| LeoVegas |
1/2
|
33/100
|
21/50
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Brest — 1 goal; Lyon — 1.5 goals.
Brest team total goals
For Brest, Over 0.5 team goals at 1.30 is a much stronger favourite than Under 0.5 at 3.30. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is shorter at 1.60 than Under 1 at 2.30. At 1.5 goals, the balance shifts: Under 1.5 is available at 1.55 and Over 1.5 at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Lyon team total goals
For Lyon, Over 0.5 team goals is offered at 1.25 and Under 0.5 at 3.65. Over 1 at 1.47 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.60; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.60 against 2.25 for Over 1.5. At 2 goals, Under 2 remains the favourite at 1.23, while Over 2 is available at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jérémy Stinat (France)
Matches — 6 (Ligue 1, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 6.
