Odds overview
Arsenal are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.70, compared with 4.70 for a Brighton win, while the draw is quoted at 3.95. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.77 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.05. In the main handicap market, Arsenal Draw No Bet at 1.28 is notably more likely than Brighton Draw No Bet at 3.35.
Why Arsenal are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider the visitors favourites: Arsenal to win is available at 1.70 (a 55.8% no-margin probability). Brighton's chances of winning are rated at 4.70 (20.2%), while the draw is available at 3.95 (24.0%).
• Arsenal top the Premier League table after taking the maximum 12 points from their opening four matches, with an aggregate goal difference of 8:1.
• The team's away form supports their status: the Gunners have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Brighton & Hove Albion
In their latest cup match, Brighton & Hove Albion showed character to beat Manchester United 3:2 after coming back from 0:2 down. At home in the Premier League, the Seagulls consistently put opponents under pressure: they have not been beaten on total shots in 10 consecutive matches.
Their high level of activity in front of the opposition goal has kept the hosts top of the Premier League for average scoring, at 3.25 goals per match at the start of the season.
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Brighton & Hove Albion's opponents have had no more than five shots on target.
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Brighton & Hove Albion have committed at least 11 fouls.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have taken at least five corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Brighton & Hove Albion line-up (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen, Ferdi Kadioglu, Lewis Dunk, Luka Vuskovic, Olivier Boscagli, Yasin Ayari, Diego Gomez, Pascal Gross, Maxim De Cuyper, Charalampos Kostoulas, Malick Yalcouye
Absentees: Mats Wieffer, Kaoru Mitoma, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Evan Ferguson, Stefanos Tzimas, Zadok Yohanna, Michael Svoboda (injured)
Form and Line-up Arsenal
In their latest EFL Cup match, Arsenal beat Ipswich 4:2 despite rotating the squad. The London side defend reliably away from home in the league: opponents have not had more than five shots on target in 10 consecutive away matches.
The Gunners control the tempo well away from home, with the combined number of shots by both teams not exceeding 26.5 in their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Arsenal have scored at least once in all of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Arsenal have taken no more than five corners.
- No more than three goals have been scored in each of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Arsenal line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Jurrien Timber, Ezri Konsa, Gabriel Magalhaes, Riccardo Calafiori, Declan Rice, Bruno Guimaraes, Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, Christos Tzolis, Kai Havertz
Absentees: William Saliba (injured), Ben White (doubtful)
Team chances
Arsenal to win has average odds of 1.70; the fair odds are 1.79, with a probability of 55.8%. The figures for the draw are 3.95, 4.16 and 24.0%, while Brighton & Hove Albion to win is 4.70, 4.95 and 20.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 4.70 | 4.95 | 20.2% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.16 | 24.0% |
| Arsenal to win | 1.70 | 1.79 | 55.8% |
Total goals prediction
In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.77 is quoted shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.05. On the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is notably favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
Arsenal (-1.5) at 2.75 is quoted significantly shorter than Brighton & Hove Albion (-1.5) at 8.50. On the +1.5 handicap, Arsenal (+1.5) at 1.04 is favoured over Brighton & Hove Albion (+1.5) at 1.40; on the -1 line, Arsenal (-1) is available at 2.25 versus 7.20 for Brighton & Hove Albion (-1). For the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.05 on Arsenal (+1) and 1.65 on Brighton & Hove Albion (+1), while the Draw No Bet market offers 1.28 on Arsenal and 3.35 on Brighton & Hove Albion.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 2.75 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.20 | -1 | 2.25 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3.35 | 0 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.75 is quoted shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00, so at least one goal from each team looks slightly more likely than a scenario in which at least one side does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Brighton & Hove Albion — 1 goal, Arsenal — 1.5 goals.
Brighton & Hove Albion team total
Brighton & Hove Albion team total: Over 0.5 at 1.50 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.50. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.67 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.15, while on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.30 is available against Over 1.5 at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.15 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Arsenal team total
Arsenal team total: Over 0.5 at 1.11 and Over 1 at 1.20 are clear favourites over Under 0.5 at 5.30 and Under 1 at 3.90. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.75 is quoted shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.00, while on the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.53 is favoured over Over 2 at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.90 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.53 | 2 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Darren England (England)
Matches — 26 (Premier League, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.2;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 26;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 26.
