Odds overview
Brighton & Hove Albion are overwhelming favourites: a Brighton win is available at 1.02, compared with 19.00 for a draw and 70.00 for a Žalgiris Kaunas win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is offered at around 1.12, against 5.00 for Under 2.5 goals.
Why Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites
Bookmakers give the English club a clear advantage: a Brighton & Hove Albion win is offered at 1.02, a draw at 19.00 and a Žalgiris Kaunas win at 70.00.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have regularly picked up points at home, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- The Lithuanian club have struggled to make an attacking impact in international competition: Žalgiris Kaunas scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Form and Line-up Brighton & Hove Albion
The English club come into this match after a 2:0 away win over Sunderland, in which they calmly held on to their lead even after Pascal Struijk was sent off in the 57th minute. Brighton & Hove Albion now face a demanding run of seven matches in 21 days, forcing the coaching staff to manage the squad's resources.
- There were fewer than 11.5 corners in 9 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion committed more than 10.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 9 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Brighton & Hove Albion line-up: Bart Verbruggen, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Luka Vušković, Pascal Struijk, Olivier Boskagli, Pascal Groß, Chema Andrés, Diego Gomez, Yasin Ayari, Maxim De Cuyper, Charalampos Kostoulas.
Form and Line-up Žalgiris Kaunas
The visitors travelled to England just four days after winning the Lithuanian Cup for the first time in the club's history, having thrashed Minija 3:0 in the final. After lifting the trophy, coach Zeljko Sopic stressed the need to keep working, while the Lithuanians' emotional lift will be balanced against limited time for physical recovery.
- The total did not exceed 3.5 goals in 9 of Žalgiris Kaunas's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Žalgiris Kaunas's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of the club's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Žalgiris Kaunas's opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in the club's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Žalgiris Kaunas line-up: Deividas Mikelionis, Amine Benchaib, Leon Kreković, Vykintas Slivka, Anthony Kalik, Aldair Hernández Basanta, Motiejus Burba, Gabriel Debeljuh, Marko Konatar, Lirim Kastrati, Rokas Lekiatas.
The teams' chances
A Brighton & Hove Albion win is offered at 1.02, with fair odds of 1.07 and a probability of 93.6%. A draw is available at 19.00, with fair odds of 19.90 and a probability of 5%; the corresponding figures for a Žalgiris Kaunas win are 70.00, 73.31 and 1.4%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion win | 1.02 | 1.07 | 93.6% |
| Draw | 19.00 | 19.90 | 5.0% |
| Žalgiris Kaunas win | 70.00 | 73.31 | 1.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Under 2.5 goals. Over 2 goals is offered at 1.05, while Under 2 goals is at 6.90; at the 3.5-goal line, the odds are 1.36 for Over 3.5 goals and 2.89 for Under 3.5 goals.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 5.00 | 1.12 |
| 2 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
| 3.5 | 2.89 | 1.36 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | — |
1/50
|
18/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 3.5 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.5 goals for Žalgiris Kaunas.
Brighton & Hove Albion team goals
For Brighton & Hove Albion's team goals, Over 2.5 is available at 1.24, compared with 3.60 for Under 2.5; at the 3.5-goal line, Over 3.5 is at 1.64 and Under 3.5 at 2.15. Under 4.5 is offered at 1.52, while Over 4.5 is at 2.39.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 2.5 | 1.24 |
| 2.15 | 3.5 | 1.64 |
| 1.52 | 4.5 | 2.39 |
Žalgiris Kaunas team goals
For Žalgiris Kaunas's team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 1.44, compared with 2.60 for Over 0.5. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.04, while Over 1.5 is at 7.40.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 0.5 | 2.60 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 7.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mikkel Redder (Denmark)
Matches — 14 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 3.6;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 5 of 14.
