Odds overview
Brighton are overwhelming favourites: a Brighton win is available at 1.02, a draw at 19.00 and a Žalgiris Kaunas win at 70.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is quoted at around 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Under 2.5 goals.
Why Brighton are favourites
Bookmakers give the English club a clear advantage: Brighton are offered at 1.02 to win, a draw at 19.00, and Žalgiris Kaunas at 70.00.
- Brighton have consistently picked up points at home, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- The Lithuanian club have struggled to make an impact in attack on the European stage: Žalgiris have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Form and Line-up Brighton
The English club come into this match after a 2:0 away win over Sunderland, in which they calmly held on to their lead even after Pascal Struijk was sent off in the 57th minute. Brighton now face a demanding run of seven matches in 21 days, requiring the coaching staff to manage their resources.
- There have been fewer than 11.5 corners in 9 of Brighton’s last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Brighton have committed more than 10.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Brighton’s last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up: Bart Verbruggen, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Luka Vušković, Pascal Struijk, Olivier Boskagli, Pascal Groß, Chema Andrés, Diego Gomez, Yasin Ayari, Maxim De Cuyper, Charalampos Kostoulas.
Form and Line-up Žalgiris Kaunas
The visitors travelled to England just four days after winning the Lithuanian Cup for the first time in the club’s history, having thrashed Minija 3:0 in the final. After lifting the trophy, coach Zeljko Sopic stressed the need to keep working, while the Lithuanian side’s emotional boost will be balanced against limited time for physical recovery.
- No more than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Žalgiris’s last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Žalgiris’s opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Žalgiris’s opponents have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable line-up: Deividas Mikelionis, Amine Benchaib, Leon Kreković, Vykintas Slivka, Anthony Kalik, Aldayr Hernández Basanta, Motiejus Burba, Gabriel Debeljuh, Marko Konatar, Lirim Kastrati, Rokas Lekiatas.
The teams’ chances
A Brighton win is offered at 1.02, with fair odds of 1.07 and a 93.6% probability. A draw is available at 19.00, with fair odds of 19.90 and a 5% probability; the corresponding figures for a Žalgiris win are 70.00, 73.31 and 1.4%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without bookmaker margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 1.02 | 1.07 | 93.6% |
| Draw | 19.00 | 19.90 | 5.0% |
| Žalgiris Kaunas to win | 70.00 | 73.31 | 1.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Under 2.5 goals. Over 2 goals is offered at 1.05 and Under 2 goals at 6.90; at the 3.5-goal line, the odds are 1.36 for Over 3.5 goals and 2.89 for Under 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 5.00 | 1.12 |
| 2 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
| 3.5 | 2.89 | 1.36 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | — |
1/50
|
16/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Brighton & Hove Albion — 3.5 goals; Žalgiris Kaunas — 0.5 goals.
Brighton team goals
For Brighton’s team total, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.24, compared with 3.60 for Under 2.5 goals; at the 3.5-goal line, Over 3.5 goals is 1.64 and Under 3.5 goals is 2.15. Under 4.5 goals is quoted at 1.52, while Over 4.5 goals is 2.39.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 2.5 | 1.24 |
| 2.15 | 3.5 | 1.64 |
| 1.52 | 4.5 | 2.39 |
Žalgiris team goals
For Žalgiris’s team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 1.44, compared with 2.60 for Over 0.5 goals. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.04, while Over 1.5 goals is 7.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 0.5 | 2.60 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 7.40 |
