Odds overview
Frosinone Calcio are slight favourites to win at 2.45, compared with 2.70 for Cagliari Calcio; the draw is available at 3.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the main handicap market, Frosinone Calcio (0) are shorter at 1.82 than Cagliari Calcio (0) at 2.00.
Why Frosinone Calcio are favourites
The bookmakers make Frosinone Calcio favourites — an away win is available at 2.45, a Cagliari Calcio win at 2.70 and a draw at 3.70.
- Frosinone Calcio have consistently avoided defeat, going unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Cagliari Calcio have failed to win 7 of their last 10 competitive matches.
Form and Line-up Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio lost their previous match away to Lazio — 1:2. Their Serie A struggles continue: before that, they lost to AS Roma (2:4) and Bologna (0:2).
Cagliari Calcio's opponents received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 6 competitive matches.
- In 9 of Cagliari Calcio's last 10 Serie A home matches, their opponents received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards.
- In each of Cagliari Calcio's last 10 competitive matches, their opponents committed fewer than 19.5 fouls.
Probable line-up: Elia Caprile, Zé Pedro, Alessandro Deiola, Yerry Mina, Juan Rodriguez, Alessandro Romano, Harry Winks, Jacopo Fazzini, Ndary Adopo, Daniel Maldini, Paul Mendy.
Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi are recovering from cruciate ligament injuries, Aliou Fadera has injured his thigh, and Adam Obert is suspended after accumulating too many cards.
Form and Line-up Frosinone Calcio
Frosinone Calcio's form tells a different story: they beat Torino 2:0 in the latest round, having earlier thrashed Lecce (5:1) and drawn with Atalanta (4:4).
They have been active in attack: Frosinone Calcio scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 competitive matches.
- The teams combined for more than 7.5 shots on target in each of Frosinone Calcio's last 10 competitive matches.
- There were fewer than 3.5 goals in 8 of Frosinone Calcio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable line-up: Lorenzo Palmisani, Anthony Oyono, Gabriele Calvani, Ilario Monterisi, Gabriele Bracaglia, Giacomo Calò, Patrizio Masini, Fares Ghedjemis, Romano Schmid, Giorgi Kvernadze, Daniel Bîrligea.
Florian Grillitsch is listed as injured with a groin problem, while Antonio Raimondo is recovering from an ankle injury.
The teams' chances
A Cagliari Calcio win has average odds of 2.70, fair odds of 2.83 and a probability of 35.3%. The draw has odds of 3.70, fair odds of 3.88 and a probability of 25.8%. The corresponding figures for a Frosinone Calcio win are 2.45, 2.57 and 38.9%: the visitors have the highest estimated probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 2.70 | 2.83 | 35.3% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 38.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is favoured at 1.60 over Over 3.5 at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) are available at 4.30 and Frosinone Calcio (-1.5) at 4.20 — the odds are almost equal. At the +1.5 line, Frosinone Calcio (+1.5) at 1.16 are shorter than Cagliari Calcio (+1.5) at 1.20. At the -1 line, Frosinone Calcio (-1) at 3.45 are shorter than Cagliari Calcio (-1) at 3.75; at the +1 line, Frosinone Calcio (+1) at 1.23 are slightly shorter than Cagliari Calcio (+1) at 1.25. For the 0 handicap, Frosinone Calcio (0) at 1.82 are favoured over Cagliari Calcio (0) at 2.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 4.20 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.75 | -1 | 3.45 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 2.00 | 0 | 1.82 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.50 is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.50, so the prospect of at least one team failing to score is rated more cautiously.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Cagliari Calcio — 1.5 goals; Frosinone Calcio — 1.5 goals.
Cagliari Calcio team goals
For Cagliari Calcio, Under 0.5 goals at 3.75 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.23. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 2.50 and Over 1 at 1.50; at 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.70 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.32 is clearly favoured over Over 2 at 3.10.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.50 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
Frosinone Calcio team goals
For Frosinone Calcio, Under 0.5 goals at 4.10 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 at 1.20. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 2.90 and Over 1 at 1.35. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.82 and Over 1.5 is 1.93. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.35 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.82 | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Giovanni Airoldi (Italy)
Matches — 13 (Serie A, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.4;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 13;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 13.
